Login Register
01.09.2026 18:45
County Ground
Referee: M. Corlett
Swindon Town
Match Timeline
Port Vale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
Oliver Lynch · Assist: Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel
Port Vale
⚽
13'
Aaron Drinan
Swindon Town
🔄
46'
Matthew Craig ↔ Ben Garrity
Port Vale
🔄
46'
Onel Hernández ↔ Lewis Montsma
Port Vale
🔄
46'
Ben Waine ↔ Tyreece Simpson
Port Vale
🔄
56'
Ryan Tafazolli ↔ Ben Middlemas
Swindon Town
🔄
56'
Tom Nichols ↔ Joe Snowdon
Swindon Town
🟨
58'
Cameron Humphreys
Port Vale
⚽
71'
Ben Middlemas
Swindon Town
🔄
74'
Ollie Palmer ↔ Louis Millard
Swindon Town
🔄
76'
Rhys Walters ↔ George Hall
Port Vale
🔄
81'
Liam Gordon ↔ Jaheim Headley
Port Vale
🟨
87'
Jack Thomson
Swindon Town
⚽
90+4'
Louis Millard · Assist: Anthony Munda
Swindon Town
🔄
90'
Aaron Drinan ↔ James Ball
Swindon Town

Swindon Town vs Port Vale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Swindon Town Win 49.7%
Draw 15.4%
Port Vale Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swindon Town1.16
Port Vale1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swindon Town Swindon Town
L W D W W
8 GF / 6 GA
Port Vale Port Vale
D D L W W
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
5
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
2
1.33
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swindon Town Swindon Town 9 matches
Port Vale Port Vale 7 matches
Swindon Town Statistic Port Vale
4 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
4 Losses 1
14 Goals For 11
15 Goals Against 4
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
5 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 4
7 Over 2.5 2
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
1.33 Shots On Goal 3.33
4 Total Shots 11
2.33 Corners 4.33
48.7% Ball Possession 57.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 7 times, Port Vale won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:18 from Swindon Town's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Swindon Town 4-3-3 / Port Vale 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Swindon Town wins 7, draws 2, Port Vale wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 25:15 10 31
W W W W W
2 13 7 5 1 28:18 10 26
D W D L W
3 13 5 7 1 21:12 9 22
W L W D D
4 14 5 7 2 17:17 0 22
D L L W W
5 14 6 3 5 23:25 -2 21
L W W L L
6 14 5 5 4 24:18 6 20
W W D L L
7 14 5 5 4 24:21 3 20
L L W D D
8 14 5 5 4 20:19 1 20
W L D L W
9 14 4 7 3 23:17 6 19
D W D W D
10 14 5 4 5 24:21 3 19
L W D L D
11 14 4 7 3 19:17 2 19
W D W L D
12 14 5 4 5 11:9 2 19
L W W D W
13 14 5 4 5 15:17 -2 19
W D W D L
14 14 4 6 4 20:17 3 18
W L D D W
15 14 5 3 6 17:22 -5 18
L D W W L
16 14 4 5 5 18:18 0 17
W L L W D
17 14 5 1 8 17:23 -6 16
L D L L L
18 12 4 3 5 10:14 -4 15
W L D W W
19 14 4 3 7 17:26 -9 15
L L D L D
20 12 3 5 4 9:9 0 14
D W L W D
21 13 3 3 7 14:19 -5 12
L D L W D
22 14 2 6 6 18:25 -7 12
L D D L L
23 13 2 6 5 12:19 -7 12
L L D D L
24 12 2 3 7 13:21 -8 9
W D L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League