ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
--.--.---- --:--
County Ground
Referee: S. Oldham
Swindon Town
Match Timeline
Chesterfield
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Thomas Wilson-Brown
Swindon Town
19'
L. Bonis · Assist: A. Dobra
Chesterfield
45'
B. Middlemas · Assist: A. Drinan
Swindon Town
🔄
46'
T. Nichols ↔ A. Borland
Swindon Town
🔄
46'
J. Knight-Lebel ↔ M. Olakigbe
Swindon Town
🔄
46'
K. McFadzean ↔ J. Donacien
Chesterfield
🟨
51'
Junior Hoilett
Swindon Town
🟨
58'
Ryan Stirk
Chesterfield
61'
D. Markanday · Assist: A. Dobra
Chesterfield
🔄
70'
L. Mandeville ↔ T. Naylor
Chesterfield
🔄
71'
J. Hoilett ↔ O. Palmer
Swindon Town
🔄
71'
T. Wilson-Brown ↔ J. Snowdon
Swindon Town
🟨
75'
Ben Middlemas
Swindon Town
🔄
76'
B. Middlemas ↔ D. Oldaker
Swindon Town
🟨
78'
Lee Bonis
Chesterfield
🔄
90+3'
L. Bonis ↔ W. Grigg
Chesterfield
🔄
90+3'
A. Dobra ↔ J. Berry-McNally
Chesterfield
🔄
90+4'
S. Braybrooke ↔ W. Dickson
Chesterfield

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Swindon Town Win 41.4%
Draw 14.5%
Chesterfield Win 44.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swindon Town1.44
Chesterfield1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swindon Town Swindon Town
WWDLW
77 GF / 61 GA
Chesterfield Chesterfield
WLDWL
71 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
28
BTTS Yes
28
31
Over 2.5
21
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swindon Town Swindon Town 48 matches
Chesterfield Chesterfield 47 matches
Swindon Town Statistic Chesterfield
24 Wins 21
9 Draws 16
15 Losses 10
77 Goals For 71
61 Goals Against 57
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
28 BTTS Yes 28
41 Over 1.5 34
31 Over 2.5 21
15 Over 3.5 14
14 Clean Sheets 15
7 Failed To Score 5
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.93
11.17 Total Shots 12.11
5 Corners 5.48
50.2% Ball Possession 58.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Chesterfield. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Swindon Town expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Chesterfield in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chesterfield having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Swindon Town Analysis

From their first 45 matches, Swindon Town have collected 75 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 22 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 69:57 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Drinan (22 goals), O. Palmer (8 goals), O. Clarke (6 goals), with creative support from F. Munroe (6 assists), J. Snowdon (5 assists), D. Oldaker (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Chesterfield Analysis

Chesterfield are currently 7 in the standings with 76 points from 45 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 16 draws, and 9 losses, while the 69:55 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Bonis (12 goals), Tom Naylor (8 goals), D. Markanday (7 goals), with creative support from L. Mandeville (11 assists), D. Markanday (5 assists), D. Duffy (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 6 times, Chesterfield won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Swindon Town's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.69 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: Swindon Town 4-1-3-2 / Chesterfield 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Swindon Town wins 6, draws 2, Chesterfield wins 5
Stats
Swindon Town Swindon Town
Chesterfield Chesterfield
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
353 Total passes 366
233 Passes accurate 243
2.30 expected_goals 1.60
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Swindon Town
Formation
Chesterfield
C. Ripley
C. Ripley
J. Knight-Lebel
J. Knight-Lebel
R. Tafazolli
R. Tafazolli
T. Wilson-Brown
T. Wilson-Brown
J. McGregor
J. McGregor
T. Nichols
T. Nichols
B. Middlemas
B. Middlemas
J. Batty
J. Batty
J. Hoilett
J. Hoilett
A. Drinan
🎯
A. Drinan
F. Holman
F. Holman
R. Boot
R. Boot
S. Curtis
S. Curtis
K. McFadzean
K. McFadzean
S. Swinkels
S. Swinkels
L. Gordon
L. Gordon
S. Braybrooke
S. Braybrooke
R. Stirk
R. Stirk
D. Markanday
D. Markanday
L. Mandeville
L. Mandeville
A. Dobra
🎯
A. Dobra
L. Bonis
L. Bonis
Swindon Town 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
C. Ripley
G
22
J. Knight-Lebel
↓ 46'
D
17
R. Tafazolli
D
16
T. Wilson-Brown
↓ 71' 🟨 17'
D
33
J. McGregor
M
7
T. Nichols
↓ 46'
M
20
B. Middlemas
⚽ 45' ↓ 76' 🟨 75'
M
26
J. Batty
M
30
J. Hoilett
↓ 71' 🟨 51'
F
23
A. Drinan
🎯 45'
F
24
F. Holman
F
Substitutes
12
L. Ward
G
44
D. Oldaker
↑ 76'
M
3
F. Mabete
D
25
A. Borland
↑ 46'
M
28
O. Palmer
↑ 71'
F
29
M. Olakigbe
↑ 46'
F
19
J. Snowdon
↑ 71'
M
Chesterfield 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
R. Boot
G
29
S. Curtis
D
6
K. McFadzean
↓ 46'
D
26
S. Swinkels
D
19
L. Gordon
D
36
S. Braybrooke
↓ 90+4'
M
8
R. Stirk
🟨 58'
M
24
D. Markanday
⚽ 61'
M
7
L. Mandeville
↓ 70'
M
17
A. Dobra
🎯 19' 🎯 61' ↓ 90+3'
M
10
L. Bonis
⚽ 19' ↓ 90+3' 🟨 78'
F
Substitutes
1
Z. Hemming
G
9
W. Grigg
↑ 90+3'
F
44
J. Donacien
↑ 46'
D
46
T. Pearce
D
4
T. Naylor
↑ 70'
M
28
J. Berry-McNally
↑ 90+3'
F
25
W. Dickson
↑ 90+4'
F
Last matches: Swindon Town
25.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Grimsby
0
4
L
18.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Accrington ST
2
2
D
10.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Colchester
0
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Walsall
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Cambridge United
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Tranmere
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Gillingham
2
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Crewe
1
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Barnet
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Shrewsbury
1
3
L
11.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Newport County
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Oldham
3
0
W
03.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Harrogate Town
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Barrow
3
1
W
27.01.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Notts County
1
2
L
24.01.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Bromley
1
2
L
Last matches: Chesterfield
15.05.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Notts County
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Notts County
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Crewe
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
14.04.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Grimsby
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Tranmere
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Barrow
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Cheltenham
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Accrington ST
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Oldham
0
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Notts County
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Shrewsbury
2
3
L
03.03.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Colchester
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Barnet
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Crawley Town
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Gillingham
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Harrogate Town
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Bristol Rovers
3
2
W
31.01.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Walsall
2
2
D
27.01.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Salford City
1
0
W
H2H: Swindon Town vs Chesterfield
02.05.26
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1
2
L
29.11.25
H2H
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
1
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1
0
W
09.08.24
H2H
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
1
1
D
24.02.18
H2H
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
2
1
L
11.11.17
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
2
2
D
04.03.17
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
0
1
L
13.08.16
H2H
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
3
1
L
23.04.16
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1
0
W
28.11.15
H2H
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
0
4
W
17.01.15
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
3
1
W
28.10.14
H2H
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
0
3
W
25.03.12
H2H
Chesterfield
Swindon Town
2
0
L
Last matches: Swindon Town
18.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Accrington ST
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Walsall
2
1
W
28.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Crewe
1
2
L
11.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Newport County
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Oldham
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Barrow
3
1
W
17.01.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Salford City
2
3
L
01.01.26
Lea
Swindon Town
Gillingham
2
0
W
20.12.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Crawley Town
1
0
W
09.12.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Cheltenham
0
1
L
06.12.25
FA
Swindon Town
Bolton
4
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Grimsby
2
2
D
08.11.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Tranmere
2
1
W
25.10.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Colchester
0
0
D
21.10.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Notts County
2
2
D
27.09.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Bromley
2
0
W
13.09.25
Lea
Swindon Town
Harrogate Town
3
1
W
H2H at home: Swindon Town
02.05.26
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1
0
W
11.11.17
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
2
2
D
04.03.17
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
0
1
L
23.04.16
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1
0
W
17.01.15
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
3
1
W
Last matches: Chesterfield
15.05.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Notts County
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Fleetwood Town
1
1
D
06.04.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Barrow
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Accrington ST
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Notts County
3
2
W
28.02.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Barnet
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Crawley Town
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Bristol Rovers
3
2
W
27.01.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Salford City
1
0
W
24.01.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Newport County
1
2
L
04.01.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Milton Keynes Dons
2
2
D
01.01.26
Lea
Chesterfield
Oldham
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Chesterfield
Shrewsbury
1
0
W
09.12.25
Lea
Chesterfield
Cambridge United
1
1
D
22.11.25
Lea
Chesterfield
Crewe
3
3
D
15.11.25
Lea
Chesterfield
Grimsby
1
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Chesterfield
Stevenage
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Chesterfield
Tranmere
1
1
D
04.10.25
Lea
Chesterfield
Colchester
2
6
L
20.09.25
Lea
Chesterfield
Bromley
2
2
D
H2H away: Chesterfield
02.05.26
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1
0
L
11.11.17
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
2
2
D
04.03.17
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
0
1
W
23.04.16
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
1
0
L
17.01.15
H2H
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
3
1
L

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation