Swindon Town vs Chesterfield Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
25.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Swindon Town
Chesterfield
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Swindon Town
48 matches
Chesterfield
47 matches
| Swindon Town | Statistic | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 21 |
| 9 | Draws | 16 |
| 15 | Losses | 10 |
| 77 | Goals For | 71 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.51 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 28 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 31 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.93 |
| 11.17 | Total Shots | 12.11 |
| 5 | Corners | 5.48 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 58.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Chesterfield. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Swindon Town expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Chesterfield in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chesterfield having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
From their first 45 matches, Swindon Town have collected 75 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 22 wins, 9 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 69:57 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Drinan (22 goals), O. Palmer (8 goals), O. Clarke (6 goals), with creative support from F. Munroe (6 assists), J. Snowdon (5 assists), D. Oldaker (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Chesterfield are currently 7 in the standings with 76 points from 45 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 16 draws, and 9 losses, while the 69:55 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Bonis (12 goals), Tom Naylor (8 goals), D. Markanday (7 goals), with creative support from L. Mandeville (11 assists), D. Markanday (5 assists), D. Duffy (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 6 times, Chesterfield won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:15 from Swindon Town's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.69 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Chesterfield
Away
|
46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 |
Swindon Town
Home
|
46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|