ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

22.08.2026 14:00

Swindon Town

2 - 1

Cheltenham

County Ground

Referee: C. Hicks

Swindon Town

Match Timeline

Cheltenham

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Swindon Town vs Cheltenham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away or Draw

Probability 64.2%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 78.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 82.2%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away or Draw	64.2%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	78.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	82.2%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	-	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Swindon Town Win 35.8%

Draw 20.8%

Cheltenham Win 43.4%

Expected Goals (xG)

Swindon Town1.43

Cheltenham1.63

Recent Form (Last 5)

Swindon Town

WWDLW

12 GF / 11 GA

Cheltenham

WLDWL

5 GF / 3 GA

Key Stats

1.71

Average Goals Scored

1.67

1.57

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swindon Town 7 matches

Cheltenham 3 matches

Swindon Town	Statistic	Cheltenham
3	Wins	2
1	Draws	0
3	Losses	1
12	Goals For	5
11	Goals Against	3
1.71	Avg Goals Scored	1.67
1.57	Avg Goals Conceded	1
4	BTTS Yes	1
5	Over 1.5	3
5	Over 2.5	2
4	Over 3.5	0
2	Clean Sheets	1
2	Failed To Score	1
0	Shots On Goal	4
4	Total Shots	6
1	Corners	5
49%	Ball Possession	40%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 4 times, Cheltenham won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Swindon Town's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (79.2%)

Predicted formations: Swindon Town 4-2-3-1 / Cheltenham 4-1-4-1

H2H summary: Swindon Town wins 4, draws 4, Cheltenham wins 6

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Bristol Rovers	5	4	0	1	12:6	6	12	W W W W L
2	Swindon Town Home	5	3	1	1	8:6	2	10	W W L W D
3	Barnet	5	2	3	0	12:8	4	9	D D D W W
4	Tranmere	5	2	3	0	9:5	4	9	W D D D W
5	Walsall	5	2	3	0	8:4	4	9	D D W D W
6	Fleetwood Town	5	2	3	0	6:3	3	9	W D D D W
7	Crewe	5	2	3	0	5:3	2	9	D D D W W
8	Cheltenham Away	5	2	2	1	10:9	1	8	D W D L W
9	York	5	2	2	1	9:8	1	8	D L W D W
10	Oldham	5	2	1	2	7:5	2	7	L D W L W
11	Grimsby	5	1	4	0	7:6	1	7	D D D D W
12	Colchester	5	2	1	2	6:8	-2	7	L L W W D
13	Gillingham	5	1	3	1	6:6	0	6	W D D D L
14	Northampton	5	1	3	1	3:3	0	6	W D D L D
15	Salford City	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6	W W L L L
16	Exeter City	5	1	2	2	4:4	0	5	D D L W L
17	Chesterfield	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5	D D L W L
18	Rotherham	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5	L D W D L
19	Accrington ST	5	1	2	2	9:11	-2	5	W D L L D
20	Newport County	5	1	1	3	9:10	-1	4	L L D L W
21	Crawley Town	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4	L D L W L
22	Rochdale	5	1	0	4	5:10	-5	3	L W L L L
23	Shrewsbury	5	1	0	4	2:10	-8	3	L L W L L
24	Port Vale	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2	L L D D L

Promotion - League One

Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)

Relegation - National League