ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
28.02.2026 12:30
County Ground
Referee: R. Ricardo
Swindon Town
Match Timeline
Bristol Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Ollie Clarke
Swindon Town
🟨
32'
Kofi Balmer
Bristol Rovers
⚽
43'
K. Thompson-Sommers · Assist: E. Harrison
Bristol Rovers
⚽
58'
O. Palmer · Assist: J. Batty
Swindon Town
🔄
67'
E. Harrison ↔ F. Cavegn
Bristol Rovers
🔄
69'
J. Hoilett ↔ M. Olakigbe
Swindon Town
🔄
69'
W. Wright ↔ B. Kirkman
Swindon Town
🔄
69'
J. Snowdon ↔ F. Holman
Swindon Town
🟨
83'
Joel Senior
Bristol Rovers
🟨
88'
Joe Quigley
Bristol Rovers
🔄
89'
J. Batty ↔ B. Bodin
Swindon Town
🟨
90'
Richard Smallwood
Bristol Rovers
🔄
90+3'
R. De Havilland ↔ L. Thomas
Bristol Rovers

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Swindon Town Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bristol Rovers Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swindon Town1.7
Bristol Rovers1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swindon Town Swindon Town
WWDLW
64 GF / 44 GA
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers
WLDWL
34 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
21
BTTS Yes
15
25
Over 2.5
19
4.54
Shots on Goal
2.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swindon Town Swindon Town 37 matches
Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 35 matches
Swindon Town Statistic Bristol Rovers
21 Wins 10
4 Draws 3
12 Losses 22
64 Goals For 34
44 Goals Against 58
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
21 BTTS Yes 15
31 Over 1.5 24
25 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 15
4.54 Shots On Goal 2.94
11.84 Total Shots 10.94
4.89 Corners 4.85
50.2% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 6 times, Bristol Rovers won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:13 from Swindon Town's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Swindon Town 3-4-1-2 / Bristol Rovers 4-4-2
H2H summary: Swindon Town wins 6, draws 4, Bristol Rovers wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation