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25.09.2026 18:45
Strawberry Arena
Referee: Ondrej Berka, Czechia
Sweden
Match Timeline
Romania
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
Alexander Isak · Assist: Yasin Ayari
Sweden
⚽
29'
Dennis Man · Assist: Andrei Rațiu
Romania
🟨
37'
Răzvan Marin
Romania
⚽
43'
Viktor Gyökeres
Sweden
🟨
45+2'
Virgil Ghiță
Romania
🔄
46'
Tudor Băluță ↔ Vladimir Screciu
Romania
VAR
53'
Elliot Stroud
Sweden
🔄
63'
Emil Holm ↔ Daniel Svensson
Sweden
🔄
63'
Carl Starfelt ↔ Hjalmar Ekdal
Sweden
🔄
67'
Ianis Hagi ↔ Florin Tănase
Romania
🔄
67'
Louis Munteanu ↔ Valentin Mihăilă
Romania
🔄
76'
Viktor Gyökeres ↔ Benjamin Nygren
Sweden
🔄
77'
Alexander Bernhardsson ↔ Patrik Wålemark
Sweden
🔄
81'
Răzvan Marin ↔ Nicolae Stanciu
Romania
🟨
83'
Vladimir Screciu
Romania
🔄
84'
Sebastian Nanasi ↔ Gabriel Gudmundsson
Sweden
🟨
86'
Dennis Man
Romania
🔄
88'
Dennis Man ↔ Vlad Dragomir
Romania
🟨
90+1'
Andrei Coubiș
Romania

Sweden vs Romania Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sweden Win 66.6%
Draw 15%
Romania Win 18.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sweden1.53
Romania1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sweden Sweden
WWDLW
10 GF / 15 GA
Romania Romania
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
1
5.5
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sweden Sweden 6 matches
Romania Romania 3 matches
Sweden Statistic Romania
1 Wins 1
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 3
15 Goals Against 4
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
5 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 3
5 Over 2.5 1
4 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
5.5 Shots On Goal 2.33
11.67 Total Shots 7.33
3.33 Corners 3.33
47.2% Ball Possession 14%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Sweden won 2 times, Romania won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Sweden's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Sweden 4-4-2 / Romania 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Sweden wins 2, draws 0, Romania wins 1

Standings

League B - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:3 4 10
W D W W
2 4 2 2 0 6:3 3 8
W D W D
3 4 1 1 2 7:4 3 4
L W L D
4 4 0 0 4 3:13 -10 0
L L L L
Promotion
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