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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Swansea
FT
1 - 2
Derby
Swansea.com Stadium
Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England
Swansea
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
34'
J. Ward · Assist: C. Elder
Derby
⚽
53'
L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
56'
L. Cullen ↔ G. Franco
Swansea
🔄
57'
J. Fulton ↔ M. Stamenic
Swansea
🔄
57'
Ronald ↔ M. Benson
Swansea
🔄
71'
L. Salvesen ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
74'
J. Eom ↔ Z. Inoussa
Swansea
🔄
80'
P. Agyemang ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
80'
J. Ward ↔ R. Nyambe
Derby
🟨
82'
Ben Brereton Díaz
Derby
🔄
83'
Z. Vipotnik ↔ A. Idah
Swansea
🟨
90+4'
Callum Elder
Derby
⚽
90'
E. Galbraith
Swansea

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Swansea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swansea1.12
Derby1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swansea Swansea
WWDLW
15 GF / 22 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
22 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
9
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
7
3.38
Shots on Goal
2.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swansea Swansea 16 matches
Derby Derby 16 matches
Swansea Statistic Derby
4 Wins 6
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 5
15 Goals For 22
22 Goals Against 22
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
9 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
3.38 Shots On Goal 2.81
11 Total Shots 8.5
4.63 Corners 4.63
55.1% Ball Possession 41.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Swansea won 4 times, Derby won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:15 from Swansea's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Swansea 4-3-3 / Derby 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Swansea wins 4, draws 3, Derby wins 5
Stats
Swansea Swansea
Derby Derby
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 2
10 Fouls 20
0 Offsides 0
73% Ball Possession 27%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Goal 5
1 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
4 Shots insidebox 9
5 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
678 Total passes 241
585 Passes accurate 160
0.63 expected_goals 1.05
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Swansea
Formation
Derby
L. Vigouroux
L. Vigouroux
J. Key
J. Key
B. Cabango
B. Cabango
C. Burgess
C. Burgess
J. Tymon
J. Tymon
L. Cullen
↓
L. Cullen
J. Fulton
↓
J. Fulton
E. Galbraith
⚽
E. Galbraith
Ronald
↓
Ronald
Z. Vipotnik
↓
Z. Vipotnik
J. Eom
↓
J. Eom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
J. Widell Zetterstrom
S. Langas
S. Langas
D. Batth
D. Batth
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
J. Ward
⚽ ↓
J. Ward
B. Clark
B. Clark
E. Adams
E. Adams
C. Elder
🎯
C. Elder
P. Agyemang
↓
P. Agyemang
B. Brereton Diaz
B. Brereton Diaz
L. Salvesen
⚽ ↓
L. Salvesen
Swansea 4-3-3
Starting XI
22
L. Vigouroux
G
2
J. Key
D
5
B. Cabango
D
15
C. Burgess
D
14
J. Tymon
D
20
L. Cullen
↓ 56'
M
4
J. Fulton
↓ 57'
M
30
E. Galbraith
⚽ 90'
M
35
Ronald
↓ 57'
F
9
Z. Vipotnik
↓ 83'
F
10
J. Eom
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Fisher
G
6
M. Stamenic
↑ 57'
M
7
M. Widell
M
16
I. Samuels-Smith
D
17
G. Franco
↑ 56'
M
21
M. Benson
↑ 57'
F
26
K. Casey
D
27
Z. Inoussa
↑ 74'
F
33
A. Idah
↑ 83'
F
Derby 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
G
6
S. Langas
D
4
D. Batth
D
5
M. Clarke
D
23
J. Ward
⚽ 34' ↓ 80'
M
42
B. Clark
M
32
E. Adams
M
20
C. Elder
🎯 34' 🟨 90+4'
M
7
P. Agyemang
↓ 80'
F
25
B. Brereton Diaz
🟨 82'
F
15
L. Salvesen
⚽ 53' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Vickers
G
3
C. Forsyth
D
11
C. Blackett-Taylor
F
14
A. Weimann
↑ 80'
F
16
L. Thompson
M
19
K. Jackson
↑ 71'
F
24
R. Nyambe
↑ 80'
D
35
C. Nelson
D
37
O. Eames
M
Last matches: Swansea
15.08.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Swansea
Leganes
1
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Merthyr Town
0
3
L
24.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Udinese
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Swansea
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
02.05.26
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
21.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
1
0
W
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
H2H: Swansea vs Derby
14.02.26
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
0
L
25.11.25
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
2
L
05.04.25
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
0
W
27.11.24
H2H
Derby
Swansea
1
2
W
09.04.22
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
1
W
02.10.21
H2H
Derby
Swansea
0
0
D
01.05.21
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
1
W
16.12.20
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
0
L
08.02.20
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
3
L
10.08.19
H2H
Derby
Swansea
0
0
D
01.05.19
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
1
D
01.12.18
H2H
Derby
Swansea
2
1
L
Last matches: Swansea
01.08.26
Fri
Swansea
Leganes
1
0
W
24.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Udinese
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Swansea
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
02.05.26
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
3
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
3
L
07.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
1
0
W
08.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Wednesday
4
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Blackburn
3
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Birmingham
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Swansea
West Brom
1
1
D
01.01.26
Cha
Swansea
West Brom
1
0
W
19.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
2
1
W
09.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
1
0
W
06.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Oxford United
2
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
1
4
L
H2H at home: Swansea
25.11.25
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
2
L
05.04.25
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
0
W
09.04.22
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
1
W
01.05.21
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
1
W
08.02.20
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
3
L
01.05.19
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
1
D
Last matches: Derby
15.08.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
H2H away: Derby
25.11.25
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
2
W
05.04.25
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
0
L
09.04.22
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
1
L
01.05.21
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
1
L
08.02.20
H2H
Swansea
Derby
2
3
W
01.05.19
H2H
Swansea
Derby
1
1
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea Home
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation