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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
25.11.2025 19:45
Swansea
FT
1 - 2
Derby
Swansea.com Stadium
Referee: Andrew Kitchen, England
Swansea
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
34'
J. Ward · Assist: C. Elder
Derby
⚽
53'
L. Salvesen
Derby
🔄
56'
L. Cullen ↔ G. Franco
Swansea
🔄
57'
J. Fulton ↔ M. Stamenic
Swansea
🔄
57'
Ronald ↔ M. Benson
Swansea
🔄
71'
L. Salvesen ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
74'
J. Eom ↔ Z. Inoussa
Swansea
🔄
80'
P. Agyemang ↔ A. Weimann
Derby
🔄
80'
J. Ward ↔ R. Nyambe
Derby
🟨
82'
Ben Brereton Díaz
Derby
🔄
83'
Z. Vipotnik ↔ A. Idah
Swansea
🟨
90+4'
Callum Elder
Derby
⚽
90'
E. Galbraith
Swansea

Swansea vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Swansea Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swansea1.12
Derby1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swansea Swansea
WWDLW
15 GF / 22 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
22 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
9
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
7
3.38
Shots on Goal
2.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swansea Swansea 16 matches
Derby Derby 16 matches
Swansea Statistic Derby
4 Wins 6
5 Draws 5
7 Losses 5
15 Goals For 22
22 Goals Against 22
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
9 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
3.38 Shots On Goal 2.81
11 Total Shots 8.5
4.63 Corners 4.63
55.1% Ball Possession 41.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Swansea won 5 times, Derby won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Swansea's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.31 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Swansea 4-3-3 / Derby 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Swansea wins 5, draws 3, Derby wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea Home
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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