Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
81.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
5.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
25.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
68.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Swansea
Charlton
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Swansea
46 matches
Charlton
46 matches
| Swansea | Statistic | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 13 |
| 11 | Draws | 14 |
| 18 | Losses | 19 |
| 55 | Goals For | 44 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 60 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.87 | Shots On Goal | 3.52 |
| 12.37 | Total Shots | 10.98 |
| 4.61 | Corners | 4.11 |
| 54.3% | Ball Possession | 42.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Swansea expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Charlton in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Charlton having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Charlton. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Swansea arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 61 points compared to Charlton in 19 on 53, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Swansea are currently 11 in the standings with 61 points from 45 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 10 draws, and 18 losses with goals at 54:58 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Z. Vipotnik (23 goals), Liam Cullen (6 goals), A. Idah (4 goals), with creative support from Josh Tymon (9 assists), Ronald (5 assists), Gonçalo Franco (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Charlton sit 19 with 53 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 14 draws, and 18 defeats with a 43:55 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Carey (8 goals), Charlie Kelman (7 goals), James Bree (4 goals), with creative support from James Bree (5 assists), Greg Docherty (3 assists), T. Campbell (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Swansea won 4 times, Charlton won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from Swansea's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Swansea
8
3
6
4
6
5
Lineups
Swansea
Udinese
Swansea
VfL Bochum
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
Swansea
Norwich
Swansea
QPR
Swansea
Southampton
Swansea
Leicester
Swansea
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
Swansea
Coventry
Swansea
Wrexham
Swansea
Portsmouth
Swansea
Stoke City
Swansea
Ipswich
Swansea
Preston
Swansea
Bristol City
Swansea
Derby
Swansea
Sheffield Wednesday
Swansea
Watford
Swansea
Hull City
Charlton
Gillingham
Charlton
Maribor
Charlton
Dartford
Charlton
Hull City
Charlton
Ipswich
Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
Charlton
Preston
Charlton
Watford
Charlton
Bristol City
Charlton
Norwich
Charlton
Oxford United
Charlton
Middlesbrough
Charlton
Birmingham
Charlton
Wrexham
Charlton
West Brom
Charlton
Southampton
Charlton
Portsmouth
Charlton
Stoke City
Charlton
QPR
Charlton
Leicester
Swansea
Udinese
Swansea
VfL Bochum
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
Swansea
Southampton
Swansea
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Coventry
Swansea
Stoke City
Swansea
Preston
Swansea
Bristol City
Swansea
Sheffield Wednesday
Swansea
Blackburn
Swansea
Birmingham
Swansea
West Brom
Swansea
West Brom
Swansea
Wrexham
Swansea
Portsmouth
Swansea
Oxford United
Swansea
Derby
Swansea
Ipswich
Swansea
Norwich
Charlton
Gillingham
Charlton
Maribor
Charlton
Dartford
Charlton
Sheffield Wednesday
Charlton
Watford
Charlton
Oxford United
Charlton
Middlesbrough
Charlton
West Brom
Charlton
Southampton
Charlton
Leicester
Charlton
Millwall
Charlton
Blackburn
Charlton
Portsmouth
Charlton
Norwich
Charlton
Birmingham
Charlton
Coventry
Charlton
Stoke City
Charlton
Wrexham
Charlton
Hull City
Charlton
Ipswich
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Swansea
Home
|
46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 |
Charlton
Away
|
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|