ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
26.09.2026 14:00
VBS Community Stadium

Sutton Utd vs Forest Green Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sutton Utd Win 37.4%
Draw 21.7%
Forest Green Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sutton Utd1.64
Forest Green1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
WWDLW
23 GF / 18 GA
Forest Green Forest Green
WLDWL
25 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
8
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sutton Utd Sutton Utd 16 matches
Forest Green Forest Green 15 matches
Sutton Utd Statistic Forest Green
9 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 6
23 Goals For 25
18 Goals Against 29
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
8 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Forest Green's more proactive style and Sutton Utd's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Forest Green having the stronger overall control. Sutton Utd have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Forest Green.

Sutton Utd Analysis

Sutton Utd sit 8 with 15 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 9:9, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Forest Green Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Forest Green have collected 13 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sutton Utd won 1 times, Forest Green won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:16 from Sutton Utd's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.3%)
H2H summary: Sutton Utd wins 1, draws 3, Forest Green wins 6

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 23:11 12 23
W W D W W
2 9 6 2 1 23:12 11 20
W W D W D
3 9 5 3 1 13:7 6 18
D W W W D
4 9 5 2 2 20:13 7 17
L W W D W
5 9 5 1 3 20:16 4 16
L L W W W
6 9 5 1 3 10:10 0 16
D W L L L
7 9 4 3 2 18:14 4 15
W D L L W
8 9 4 3 2 10:7 3 15
L D W W D
9 9 5 0 4 11:12 -1 15
W L L L W
10 9 5 0 4 12:15 -3 15
W W L W W
11 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 14
W W D D L
12 9 4 2 3 11:10 1 14
W L D L D
13 9 4 1 4 14:11 3 13
D W W L W
14 9 4 1 4 13:14 -1 13
L D W W L
15 9 3 2 4 13:13 0 11
W D L D L
16 9 2 4 3 16:14 2 10
L D D L W
17 9 2 3 4 11:12 -1 9
W L D W D
18 9 2 3 4 10:12 -2 9
D D W L D
19 9 3 0 6 7:11 -4 9
L L L W L
20 9 2 2 5 11:15 -4 8
L L W L W
21 9 2 2 5 16:23 -7 8
W L L D L
22 9 2 1 6 11:15 -4 7
L L W L L
23 9 1 1 7 9:23 -14 4
L W L D L
24 9 1 1 7 6:20 -14 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation