MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
13.09.2026 17:00
Stadion Gradski

Sutjeska vs Dečić Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sutjeska Win 24.4%
Draw 10.9%
Dečić Win 64.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sutjeska0.89
Dečić1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sutjeska Sutjeska
WWDLW
20 GF / 26 GA
Dečić Dečić
WLDWL
14 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
9
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sutjeska Sutjeska 21 matches
Dečić Dečić 10 matches
Sutjeska Statistic Dečić
5 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
11 Losses 3
20 Goals For 14
26 Goals Against 8
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
9 BTTS Yes 4
12 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Dečić's more proactive style and Sutjeska's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dečić. Dečić carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while Sutjeska sit 8 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Dečić look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dečić having the stronger overall control.

Sutjeska Analysis

Sutjeska are currently 8 in the standings with 5 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 6:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dečić Analysis

Dečić approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 13 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 8:3 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sutjeska won 6 times, Dečić won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:12 from Sutjeska's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
H2H summary: Sutjeska wins 6, draws 5, Dečić wins 4

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:3 5 13
L W W W W
2 7 3 3 1 8:5 3 12
L W D W W
3 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
W W L W D
4 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
W L D L W
5 7 2 2 3 7:7 0 8
W D W D L
6 6 2 2 2 2:3 -1 8
L D D L W
7 6 1 4 1 4:2 2 7
D D D W D
8 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
W L D L L
9 6 1 2 3 2:6 -4 5
L D L D L
10 6 0 4 2 3:7 -4 4
L L D D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga