MONTENEGRO FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Gradski
Sutjeska
Match Timeline
Dečić
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
M. Mrvaljevic
Sutjeska
🟨
30'
L. Maras
Dečić
🟨
43'
V. Cavor
Sutjeska
🟨
49'
D. Bozovic
Dečić
🔄
59'
D. Bozovic ↔ M. Djokaj
Dečić
🔄
59'
B. Radusinovic ↔ D. Perovic
Dečić
62'
A. Raznatovic
Sutjeska
🟥
65'
L. Ujkaj
Dečić
66'
V. Cavor
Sutjeska
🔄
67'
V. Cavor ↔ P. Anicic
Sutjeska
🔄
67'
A. Kecojevic ↔ J. Cadjenovic
Sutjeska
🔄
70'
P. Sekulovic ↔ A. Maloku
Dečić
🔄
70'
P. Pavlicevic ↔ N. Braunovic
Dečić
🔄
75'
M. Simun ↔ A. Scekic
Sutjeska
🔄
75'
M. Mrvaljevic ↔ V. Kalezic
Sutjeska
🔄
78'
T. Selimi ↔ I. Ndiaye
Dečić
🔄
81'
A. Raznatovic ↔ M. Djukanovic
Sutjeska

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sutjeska Win 70.2%
Draw 0%
Dečić Win 29.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sutjeska1.52
Dečić1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sutjeska Sutjeska
WWDLW
62 GF / 42 GA
Dečić Dečić
WLDWL
47 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
21
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sutjeska Sutjeska 37 matches
Dečić Dečić 37 matches
Sutjeska Statistic Dečić
21 Wins 15
6 Draws 9
10 Losses 13
62 Goals For 47
42 Goals Against 47
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
21 BTTS Yes 19
28 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 9
13 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 2
0 Total Shots 8
0 Corners 6
0% Ball Possession 42%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dečić having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dečić. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sutjeska Analysis

Sutjeska come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 66 points after 33 matches. They have recorded 20 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a 56:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on V. Cavor (9 goals), A. Raznatovic (7 goals), I. Vukcevic (5 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Dečić Analysis

Dečić come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 51 points from 33 matches. The record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 42:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Selimi (10 goals), A. Kajevic (6 goals), D. Bozovic (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pavlicevic (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sutjeska won 6 times, Dečić won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:12 from Sutjeska's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Sutjeska 4-3-3 / Dečić 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sutjeska wins 6, draws 5, Dečić wins 4

Lineups

Sutjeska
Formation
Dečić
V. Giljen
V. Giljen
M. Vracar
M. Vracar
R. Dedic
R. Dedic
I. Vukcevic
I. Vukcevic
M. Simun
M. Simun
A. Raznatovic
A. Raznatovic
V. Cavor
V. Cavor
A. Kecojevic
A. Kecojevic
D. Hocko
D. Hocko
A. Babic
A. Babic
M. Mrvaljevic
M. Mrvaljevic
D. Radosevic
D. Radosevic
D. Bozovic
D. Bozovic
L. Ujkaj
L. Ujkaj
L. Maras
L. Maras
T. Selimi
T. Selimi
P. Sekulovic
P. Sekulovic
J. Dresaj
J. Dresaj
R. Gjelaj
R. Gjelaj
B. Radusinovic
B. Radusinovic
P. Pavlicevic
P. Pavlicevic
V. Strikovic
V. Strikovic
Sutjeska 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
V. Giljen
4
M. Vracar
6
R. Dedic
7
I. Vukcevic
19
M. Simun
↓ 75'
22
A. Raznatovic
⚽ 62' ↓ 81'
24
V. Cavor
⚽ 66' ↓ 67' 🟨 43'
30
A. Kecojevic
↓ 67'
44
D. Hocko
72
A. Babic
99
M. Mrvaljevic
⚽ 13' ↓ 75'
Substitutes
32
M. Kljajic
2
A. Golubovic
9
P. Anicic
↑ 67'
16
O. Djinovic
20
J. Cadjenovic
↑ 67'
25
M. Djukanovic
↑ 81'
55
A. Scekic
↑ 75'
70
V. Kalezic
↑ 75'
88
M. Jukovic
Dečić 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
D. Radosevic
7
D. Bozovic
↓ 59' 🟨 49'
17
L. Ujkaj
🟥 65'
18
L. Maras
🟨 30'
19
T. Selimi
↓ 78'
20
P. Sekulovic
↓ 70'
22
J. Dresaj
23
R. Gjelaj
32
B. Radusinovic
↓ 59'
74
P. Pavlicevic
↓ 70'
77
V. Strikovic
Substitutes
33
M. Dragojevic
8
A. Maloku
↑ 70'
11
M. Djokaj
↑ 59'
15
P. Ljuljdjuraj
29
N. Braunovic
↑ 70'
44
D. Perovic
↑ 59'
72
I. Ndiaye
↑ 78'
Last matches: Sutjeska
23.07.26
UEF
Sutjeska
ML Vitebsk
0
3
L
15.07.26
UEF
Sutjeska
Kairat Almaty
0
2
L
08.07.26
UEF
Sutjeska
Kairat Almaty
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Sutjeska
FK Sarajevo
1
2
L
24.06.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Mornar
0
1
L
23.06.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Borac Banja Luka
0
1
L
24.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jedinstvo
1
3
L
20.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Mladost DG
1
0
W
09.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Bokelj
3
2
W
26.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jezero
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Petrovac
1
0
W
12.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Mornar
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Mladost DG
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Dečić
2
1
W
11.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
4
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Bokelj
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jezero
1
1
D
Last matches: Dečić
15.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
04.07.26
Fri
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
4
1
W
17.06.26
Fri
Dečić
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
1
D
24.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
1
L
20.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
2
L
10.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
3
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
26.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
18.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
L
12.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
4
2
W
08.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
2
L
11.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
2
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
0
1
L
01.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
25.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
2
1
W
H2H: Sutjeska vs Dečić
16.05.26
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
3
0
W
15.03.26
H2H
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
2
W
26.11.25
H2H
Dečić
Sutjeska
2
1
L
22.11.25
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
3
1
W
17.09.25
H2H
Dečić
Sutjeska
3
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
1
W
07.12.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
1
1
D
02.10.24
H2H
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
0
D
04.08.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
1
1
D
18.05.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
0
1
L
17.03.24
H2H
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
0
D
26.11.23
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
1
1
D
17.09.23
H2H
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
4
W
30.08.23
H2H
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
0
L
07.05.23
H2H
Dečić
Sutjeska
0
3
W
Last matches: Sutjeska
15.07.26
UEF
Sutjeska
Kairat Almaty
0
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Sutjeska
FK Sarajevo
1
2
L
24.05.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jedinstvo
1
3
L
26.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Jezero
1
1
D
12.04.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Buducnost Podgorica
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Mladost DG
1
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
4
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Bokelj
2
1
W
25.02.26
Fir
Sutjeska
Petrovac
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Mornar
2
2
D
10.02.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Jezero
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Mladost DG
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Otrant-Olympic
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Bokelj
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Iskra
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Sutjeska
Arsenal Tivat
3
0
W
10.12.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Mornar
0
1
L
06.12.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Jedinstvo
2
0
W
22.11.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Dečić
3
1
W
26.10.25
Fir
Sutjeska
Jezero
1
0
W
H2H at home: Sutjeska
16.05.26
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
3
0
W
22.11.25
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
3
1
W
07.12.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
1
1
D
04.08.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
1
1
D
18.05.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
0
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
1
1
D
Last matches: Dečić
09.07.26
UEF
Dečić
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
17.06.26
Fri
Dečić
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
1
D
24.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
0
1
L
02.05.26
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
18.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
L
08.04.26
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
0
W
11.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
0
D
21.02.26
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
2
1
W
06.12.25
Fir
Dečić
Bokelj
1
1
D
22.11.25
Fir
Dečić
Sutjeska
1
3
L
02.11.25
Fir
Dečić
Petrovac
1
1
D
18.10.25
Fir
Dečić
Mornar
0
1
L
01.10.25
Fir
Dečić
Mladost DG
2
1
W
21.09.25
Fir
Dečić
Arsenal Tivat
1
1
D
13.09.25
Fir
Dečić
Jezero
0
4
L
24.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Buducnost Podgorica
0
2
L
10.08.25
Fir
Dečić
Jedinstvo
1
0
W
31.07.25
UEF
Dečić
Rapid Vienna
2
4
L
H2H away: Dečić
16.05.26
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
3
0
L
22.11.25
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
3
1
L
07.12.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
1
1
D
04.08.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
1
1
D
18.05.24
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
0
1
W
26.11.23
H2H
Sutjeska
Dečić
1
1
D

Standings

1. CFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 22 6 8 61:36 25 72
L W W D W
2 36 20 9 7 51:29 22 69
W D D D W
3 36 13 12 11 44:36 8 51
D D W L D
4 36 14 9 13 43:45 -2 51
L L L W D
5 36 13 9 14 36:35 1 48
D W D D L
6 36 14 4 18 49:54 -5 46
W L D W W
7 36 12 10 14 36:46 -10 46
L W L D D
8 36 10 11 15 38:48 -10 41
W W L L D
9 36 8 12 16 38:48 -10 36
W D W L W
10 36 9 8 19 30:49 -19 35
W W L D L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation