CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
CEPSUM Stadium
Referee: S. Bowman
Supra du Quebec
Match Timeline
York United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
O. Boughanmi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
59'
L. Accettola ↔ B. Badibanga
York United
🔄
59'
A. Almagro ↔ S. Gonzales
York United
66'
S. Mlah · Assist: B. Kabore
Supra du Quebec
🔄
68'
S. Yeates ↔ J. Cordova
York United
🔄
68'
J. Altobelli ↔ O. Bassett
York United
69'
L. A. Kwemi · Assist: D. Choiniere
Supra du Quebec
71'
T. Skublak
York United
🟨
75'
D. Abzi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
76'
B. Kabore ↔ R. Bey
Supra du Quebec
🔄
84'
L. A. Kwemi ↔ A. Sissoko
Supra du Quebec
86'
S. Rea · Assist: D. Abzi
Supra du Quebec
🟨
90+3'
O. Boughanmi
Supra du Quebec
🟥
90+3'
O. Boughanmi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
90+3'
S. Rea ↔ C. Bayiha
Supra du Quebec

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 25%
Draw 22.5%
York United Win 52.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec0.88
York United1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
6 GF / 7 GA
York United York United
WLDWL
11 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
3
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
2
0.83
Shots on Goal
2.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 6 matches
York United York United 7 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic York United
2 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
3 Losses 0
6 Goals For 11
7 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
3 BTTS Yes 4
3 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 0
0.83 Shots On Goal 2.5
4.83 Total Shots 4.33
2.33 Corners 1.17
19.2% Ball Possession 15.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by York United's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward York United having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward York United. Supra du Quebec have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. York United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 11 points while Supra du Quebec sit 5 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec sit 5 with 6 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 5:6 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Marcoux (1 goals), L. A. Kwemi (1 goals), M. Chretien (1 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (1 assists), C. Auguste (1 assists), C. Bayiha (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

York United Analysis

York United approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 11 points after 5 outings. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:4, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Altobelli (3 goals), T. Skublak (3 goals), G. Bitar (1 goals), with creative support from A. Almagro (1 assists), B. Badibanga (1 assists), Juan Córdova (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, York United won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.5%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec - / York United 3-4-3
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 1, draws 0, York United wins 0

Lineups

York United
Formation
Supra du Quebec
D. Urtiaga
D. Urtiaga
R. Lopez
R. Lopez
C. Guzman
C. Guzman
O. Leon
O. Leon
M. Ferrari
M. Ferrari
S. Yeates
S. Yeates
K. Kibato
K. Kibato
A. Almagro
A. Almagro
L. Accettola
L. Accettola
J. Altobelli
J. Altobelli
T. Skublak
T. Skublak
J. Milli
J. Milli
C. Auguste
C. Auguste
K. Ferdinand
K. Ferdinand
M. Chretien
M. Chretien
D. Abzi
🎯
D. Abzi
S. Mlah
S. Mlah
O. Boughanmi
O. Boughanmi
B. Kabore
🎯
B. Kabore
S. Rea
S. Rea
D. Choiniere
🎯
D. Choiniere
L. A. Kwemi
L. A. Kwemi
York United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Urtiaga
6
R. Lopez
8
C. Guzman
4
O. Leon
16
M. Ferrari
7
S. Yeates
↓ 68'
21
K. Kibato
11
A. Almagro
↓ 59'
13
L. Accettola
↓ 59'
18
J. Altobelli
↓ 68'
77
T. Skublak
⚽ 71'
Substitutes
12
I. Pavela
39
B. Badibanga
↑ 59'
23
J. Cordova
↑ 68'
10
O. Bassett
↑ 68'
5
F. Sturing
9
S. Gonzales
↑ 59'
30
J. Cabral
Supra du Quebec 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
J. Milli
2
C. Auguste
5
K. Ferdinand
4
M. Chretien
11
D. Abzi
🎯 86' 🟨 75'
24
S. Mlah
⚽ 66'
20
O. Boughanmi
🟨 29' 🟨 90+3' 🟥 90+3'
19
B. Kabore
🎯 66' ↓ 76'
10
S. Rea
⚽ 86' ↓ 90+3'
7
D. Choiniere
🎯 69'
9
L. A. Kwemi
⚽ 69' ↓ 84'
Substitutes
28
M. Gerges
33
A. Sissoko
↑ 84'
77
R. Bey
↑ 76'
64
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
12
C. Bayiha
↑ 90+3'
8
O. El Kalkouli
37
S. Deslandes
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
Last matches: York United
04.07.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
0
4
L
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
H2H: Supra du Quebec vs York United
29.05.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Supra du Quebec
29.05.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
Last matches: York United
04.07.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
0
4
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
H2H away: York United
29.05.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
L