CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
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CEPSUM Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 46.9%
Draw 17.9%
Vancouver FC Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec1.47
Vancouver FC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
14 GF / 16 GA
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WLDWL
15 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
7
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
7
1
Shots on Goal
1.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 10 matches
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 14 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic Vancouver FC
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 8
14 Goals For 15
16 Goals Against 22
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
7 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 7
1 Shots On Goal 1.64
4.2 Total Shots 5.5
1.7 Corners 1.93
16.6% Ball Possession 19.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Vancouver FC's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vancouver FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vancouver FC.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec sit 7 with 11 points after 10 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 14:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Vancouver FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 14 points after 12 outings. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 15:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 0 times, Vancouver FC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec - / Vancouver FC 3-4-3
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 0, draws 1, Vancouver FC wins 0
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
Last matches: Vancouver FC
04.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
W
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
14.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
23.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
18.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
12.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
L
04.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
05.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
H2H: Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC
23.05.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
Last matches: Vancouver FC
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 1 1 20:7 13 31
W W W W W
2 11 8 2 1 22:5 17 26
W W W L W
3 12 5 2 5 18:22 -4 17
L W W L D
4 13 4 3 6 17:20 -3 15
W L W L L
5 12 4 2 6 15:14 1 14
W L W W L
6 10 3 3 4 13:21 -8 12
L L L L D
7 10 3 2 5 14:16 -2 11
L L D W D
8 12 0 3 9 13:27 -14 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)