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04.10.2026 20:00
CEPSUM Stadium
Supra du Quebec
Match Timeline
Pacific FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
I. Conde · Assist: D. Abzi
Supra du Quebec
🟨
42'
Ibrahim Condé
Supra du Quebec
🔄
46'
C. Bayiha ↔ O. El Kalkouli
Supra du Quebec
⚽
50'
L. A. Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
⚽
57'
D. Abzi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
63'
A. Daniels ↔ M. Schiavoni
Pacific FC
🔄
63'
R. Kratt ↔ A. Diaz
Pacific FC
🟨
67'
Matisse Chretien
Supra du Quebec
🟨
69'
Charles Auguste
Supra du Quebec
VAR
72'
Charles Auguste
Supra du Quebec
🔄
73'
Z. Brault-Guillard ↔ Z. Fernandez
Supra du Quebec
🔄
73'
A. Sissoko ↔ S. Mlah
Supra du Quebec
🔄
73'
Y. R. Toualy ↔ M. Vales
Pacific FC
🔄
73'
L. Browning Lagerfeldt ↔ R. Juhmi
Pacific FC
⚽
78'
M. Chretien · Assist: S. Rea
Supra du Quebec
🔄
81'
L. A. Kwemi ↔ T. Lebeuf
Supra du Quebec
🔄
81'
I. Conde ↔ N. Santos
Supra du Quebec
🔄
83'
M. Bustos ↔ D. DeMelo
Pacific FC
⚽
90'
N. Santos
Supra du Quebec

Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 44.2%
Draw 26.1%
Pacific FC Win 29.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec1.63
Pacific FC1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
31 GF / 44 GA
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WLDWL
30 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
16
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
14
4.52
Shots on Goal
3.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 23 matches
Pacific FC Pacific FC 23 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic Pacific FC
7 Wins 2
4 Draws 8
12 Losses 13
31 Goals For 30
44 Goals Against 47
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
16 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 6
4.52 Shots On Goal 3.65
14.48 Total Shots 11.3
4.74 Corners 3.78
48% Ball Possession 41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pacific FC. Supra du Quebec have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Supra du Quebec expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Pacific FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pacific FC having the stronger overall control. Supra du Quebec arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 25 points compared to Pacific FC in 8 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec sit 6 with 25 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 31:44, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Rea (1 goals), M. Chretien (1 goals), L. Kwemi (1 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (1 assists), D. Abzi (1 assists), D. Choinière (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pacific FC Analysis

Pacific FC sit 8 with 11 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 26:44 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Toualy (2 goals), M. Bustos (1 goals), R. Kratt (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Toualy (1 assists), M. Bustos (1 assists), R. Kratt (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 2 times, Pacific FC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.9%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec 4-3-3 / Pacific FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 2, draws 1, Pacific FC wins 0

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 17 6 4 57:23 34 57
W D L L W
2 27 17 6 4 48:21 27 57
W W W D D
3 27 13 4 10 41:43 -2 43
L W W W L
4 27 10 7 10 39:36 3 37
W D D D D
5 27 10 5 12 43:47 -4 35
W D W W L
6 27 7 7 13 41:46 -5 28
L D D L W
7 27 6 9 12 40:64 -24 27
L L L W L
8 27 2 8 17 32:61 -29 14
L L L L W