CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
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CEPSUM Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 32.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
32.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 73.5%
Draw 14.9%
Pacific FC Win 11.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec1.63
Pacific FC1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
9 GF / 8 GA
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WLDWL
8 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
4
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
6
0.71
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 7 matches
Pacific FC Pacific FC 8 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic Pacific FC
3 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 6
9 Goals For 8
8 Goals Against 17
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
4 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 3
0.71 Shots On Goal 0.5
4.14 Total Shots 2.88
2 Corners 1.5
16.4% Ball Possession 18.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Supra du Quebec's more proactive style and Pacific FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Pacific FC having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Pacific FC. Supra du Quebec arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 10 points compared to Pacific FC in 8 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Pacific FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 10 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. A. Kwemi (2 goals), M. Chretien (2 goals), S. Mlah (2 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (2 assists), Abzi Diyaeddine (1 assists), B. Kabore (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Pacific FC Analysis

With 2 points from 8 games and a place of 8, Pacific FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats with a 8:17 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Y. R. Toualy (2 goals), A. Diaz (1 goals), B. Juach (1 goals), with creative support from D. Konincks (1 assists), M. Bustos (1 assists), R. Kratt (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, Pacific FC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.4%)
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 1, draws 0, Pacific FC wins 0
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
Last matches: Pacific FC
30.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
17.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Forge
0
1
L
18.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
05.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
H2H: Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC
11.04.26
H2H
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
W
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
Last matches: Pacific FC
24.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
18.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 10:3 7 19
W L W W W
2 8 5 2 1 12:4 8 17
L W W W D
3 7 3 3 1 11:8 3 12
L D W W D
4 8 3 2 3 9:13 -4 11
D W W L D
5 7 3 1 3 9:8 1 10
W D L L W
6 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
W D L L L
7 8 1 2 5 5:9 -4 5
L D L W D
8 8 0 2 6 8:17 -9 2
D L L L L