CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
CEPSUM Stadium
Referee: C. Shaw-MacLaren
Supra du Quebec
Match Timeline
Pacific FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Eric Lajeunesse
Pacific FC
🟨
39'
Christian Greco-Taylor
Pacific FC
43'
A. Diaz · Assist: R. Kratt
Pacific FC
🟨
45+1'
Yann Régis Toualy
Pacific FC
🔄
46'
B. Kabore ↔ S. Deslandes
Supra du Quebec
54'
S. Rea · Assist: D. Choiniere
Supra du Quebec
🟨
61'
Safwane Mlah
Supra du Quebec
🔄
72'
S. Mlah ↔ R. Bey
Supra du Quebec
🔄
72'
D. Choiniere ↔ D. Abzi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
72'
T. Lebeuf ↔ O. El Kalkouli
Supra du Quebec
🟨
78'
Aboubacar Sissoko
Supra du Quebec
🔄
79'
M. Bustos ↔ M. Schiavoni
Pacific FC
🔄
81'
R. Kratt ↔ M. Edwards
Pacific FC
🟨
84'
Abzi Diyaeddine
Supra du Quebec
🔄
86'
L. A. Kwemi ↔ C. Bayiha
Supra du Quebec
🔄
86'
A. Diaz ↔ M. Vales
Pacific FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 76.6%
Draw 13.2%
Pacific FC Win 10.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec1.63
Pacific FC1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
9 GF / 8 GA
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WLDWL
8 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
2.13
4
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
6
0.71
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 7 matches
Pacific FC Pacific FC 8 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic Pacific FC
3 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 6
9 Goals For 8
8 Goals Against 17
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 2.13
4 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 3
0.71 Shots On Goal 0.5
4.14 Total Shots 2.88
2 Corners 1.5
16.4% Ball Possession 18.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Supra du Quebec's more proactive style and Pacific FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Pacific FC having the stronger overall control. Supra du Quebec arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 10 points compared to Pacific FC in 8 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Pacific FC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 10 points after 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on L. A. Kwemi (2 goals), M. Chretien (2 goals), S. Mlah (2 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (2 assists), Abzi Diyaeddine (1 assists), B. Kabore (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Pacific FC Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Pacific FC have collected 2 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 8:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on Y. R. Toualy (2 goals), A. Diaz (1 goals), B. Juach (1 goals), with creative support from D. Konincks (1 assists), M. Bustos (1 assists), R. Kratt (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, Pacific FC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.8%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1 / Pacific FC -
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 1, draws 1, Pacific FC wins 0
Stats
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC Pacific FC
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 1
17 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 4
9 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
499 Total passes 479
396 Passes accurate 389
0.84 expected_goals 1.15
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Pacific FC
Formation
Supra du Quebec
E. Himaras
E. Himaras
J. Heard
J. Heard
D. Konincks
D. Konincks
E. Lajeunesse
E. Lajeunesse
C. Greco-Taylor
C. Greco-Taylor
K. Chung
K. Chung
T. Gomulka
T. Gomulka
R. Kratt
🎯
R. Kratt
M. Bustos
M. Bustos
Y. R. Toualy
Y. R. Toualy
A. Diaz
A. Diaz
M. Gerges
M. Gerges
C. Auguste
C. Auguste
K. Ferdinand
K. Ferdinand
M. Chretien
M. Chretien
T. Lebeuf
T. Lebeuf
A. Sissoko
A. Sissoko
B. Kabore
B. Kabore
S. Mlah
S. Mlah
D. Choiniere
🎯
D. Choiniere
S. Rea
S. Rea
L. A. Kwemi
L. A. Kwemi
Pacific FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Himaras
G
11
J. Heard
D
4
D. Konincks
D
3
E. Lajeunesse
🟨 20'
D
15
C. Greco-Taylor
7
K. Chung
M
16
T. Gomulka
M
27
R. Kratt
🎯 43' ↓ 81'
10
M. Bustos
↓ 79'
M
64
Y. R. Toualy
9
A. Diaz
⚽ 43' ↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
55
S. Melvin
G
37
M. Vales
↑ 86'
2
T. Marshall
D
21
M. Schiavoni
↑ 79'
M
66
R. Juhmi
M
44
M. Edwards
↑ 81'
M
Supra du Quebec 3-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
28
M. Gerges
G
2
C. Auguste
D
5
K. Ferdinand
4
M. Chretien
D
3
T. Lebeuf
↓ 72'
D
33
A. Sissoko
🟨 78'
M
19
B. Kabore
↓ 46'
M
24
S. Mlah
↓ 72' 🟨 61'
M
7
D. Choiniere
🎯 54' ↓ 72'
M
10
S. Rea
⚽ 54'
M
9
L. A. Kwemi
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
16
J. Faury
G
77
R. Bey
↑ 72'
F
64
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
M
11
D. Abzi
↑ 72' 🟨 84'
D
12
C. Bayiha
↑ 86'
F
8
O. El Kalkouli
↑ 72'
M
37
S. Deslandes
↑ 46'
D
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
Last matches: Pacific FC
14.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
17.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Forge
0
1
L
18.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
05.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
H2H: Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC
06.06.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
11.04.26
H2H
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
W
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Supra du Quebec
06.06.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Pacific FC
14.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
24.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
18.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
H2H away: Pacific FC
06.06.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 15:4 11 25
W W W L W
2 10 7 2 1 19:5 14 23
W W L W W
3 10 4 2 4 15:18 -3 14
W L D W W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 12
L L L D W
5 9 3 2 4 13:14 -1 11
L D W D L
6 10 3 2 5 9:11 -2 11
W W L D L
7 10 2 3 5 9:14 -5 9
L L W D L
8 10 0 3 7 10:20 -10 3
L D D L L
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)