CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
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CEPSUM Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.3%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 23.5%
Draw 5.2%
Cavalry FC Win 71.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec1.11
Cavalry FC1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
21 GF / 26 GA
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WLDWL
30 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
2
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.53
11
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
7
1.29
Shots on Goal
2.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 14 matches
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 15 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic Cavalry FC
5 Wins 10
2 Draws 3
7 Losses 2
21 Goals For 30
26 Goals Against 8
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.53
11 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 3
1.29 Shots On Goal 2.2
5.5 Total Shots 6.87
1.86 Corners 2.53
23.7% Ball Possession 21.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cavalry FC's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cavalry FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cavalry FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Supra du Quebec sit 5 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cavalry FC having the stronger overall control. Supra du Quebec have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec sit 5 with 17 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 21:26 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 30 points from 14 games, Cavalry FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Elva (1 goals), G. Ntignee (1 goals), S. Camargo (1 goals), with creative support from C. Elva (1 assists), G. Ntignee (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 0 times, Cavalry FC won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec - / Cavalry FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 0, draws 0, Cavalry FC wins 2
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
02.08.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
0
W
29.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
25.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
18.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
0
W
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
H2H: Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry FC
29.07.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
2
1
L
03.05.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Supra du Quebec
03.05.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
Last matches: Cavalry FC
25.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
04.07.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
0
W
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Cavalry FC
03.05.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
W