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25.10.2026 16:00
Olaines Pilsetas Stadions
Super Nova
Match Timeline
Rīgas FS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Cedric kouadio ↔ martins kigurs
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
Roberts Savalnieks ↔ Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
Rīgas FS
⚽
50'
Ziga Lipuscek · Assist: Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
Rīgas FS
🟨
57'
Stefan Panić
Rīgas FS
⚽
59'
Darko Lemajić · Assist: lasha odisharia
Rīgas FS
🔄
60'
Valerijs lizunovs ↔ agris glaudans
Super Nova
🔄
60'
raivis kirss ↔ Ndiaye Pathé
Super Nova
🔄
65'
Darko Lemajić ↔ Rostand Ndjiki
Rīgas FS
🔄
65'
ivans patrikejevs ↔ Ralfs Šitjakovs
Super Nova
🔄
76'
Bamba ↔ Aram baghdasaryan
Super Nova
⚽
88'
Ziga Lipuscek · Assist: Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
Rīgas FS
🔄
90'
Ziga Lipuscek ↔ shina kumater
Rīgas FS
🔄
90'
Stefan Panić ↔ duje korac
Rīgas FS

Super Nova vs Rīgas FS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Super Nova Win 28.2%
Draw 13.2%
Rīgas FS Win 58.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Super Nova0.97
Rīgas FS1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Super Nova Super Nova
L L W L L
3 GF / 9 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
W W W D W
13 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
2.31
1.49
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
21
BTTS Yes
26
19
Over 2.5
29
0.33
Shots on Goal
1.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Super Nova Super Nova 37 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 51 matches
Super Nova Statistic Rīgas FS
12 Wins 37
6 Draws 9
19 Losses 5
38 Goals For 118
55 Goals Against 45
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
1.49 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
21 BTTS Yes 26
27 Over 1.5 41
19 Over 2.5 29
6 Over 3.5 20
8 Clean Sheets 22
10 Failed To Score 4
0.33 Shots On Goal 1.3
1.61 Total Shots 2.97
0.58 Corners 1.51
8.7% Ball Possession 13.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rīgas FS's more proactive style and Super Nova's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 80 points while Super Nova sit 6 on 38, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Super Nova expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Rīgas FS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rīgas FS. Super Nova have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Super Nova Analysis

Super Nova sit 6 with 38 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 31:45, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Rīgas FS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 80 points after 32 outings. With 25 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 79:24, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 1 times, Rīgas FS won 14 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:51 from Super Nova's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Super Nova 4-4-2 / Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Super Nova wins 1, draws 0, Rīgas FS wins 14

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 28 5 2 87:24 63 89
W W W W W
2 35 25 8 2 95:33 62 83
D W W W W
3 35 21 7 7 61:38 23 70
W W L W D
4 35 14 9 12 42:37 5 51
W W W W D
5 35 13 9 13 49:49 0 48
D D W L D
6 35 11 6 18 35:53 -18 39
D L L L W
7 35 8 8 19 37:61 -24 32
L L L L L
8 35 6 11 18 27:64 -37 29
L L W L D
9 35 5 10 20 44:67 -23 25
L D L L D
10 35 4 7 24 34:85 -51 19
D L L L W