LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
LNK Sporta Parks
Referee: A. Kenins
Super Nova
Match Timeline
Rīgas FS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
J. Cirulis
Super Nova
14'
A. Glaudans
Super Nova
18'
S. Panic
Rīgas FS
🟨
20'
G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
E. Emsis ↔ N. Barkovskis
Super Nova
🔄
46'
J. Cirulis ↔ K. Romanovs
Super Nova
🔄
46'
S. Rakic ↔ A. Kouadio
Rīgas FS
🔄
46'
H. Njie ↔ M. Saidy
Rīgas FS
🟨
63'
A. Grikovs
Super Nova
🔄
65'
A. Grikovs ↔ M. Vasilevskis
Super Nova
🟨
67'
M. Talla
Rīgas FS
🔄
68'
M. Talla ↔ A. Filipovic
Rīgas FS
🔄
69'
K. Skadmanis ↔ A. Baghdasaryan
Super Nova
🔄
74'
M. Kigurs ↔ R. Veips
Rīgas FS
🔄
81'
A. Glaudans ↔ K. Maksimovs
Super Nova
82'
D. Lemajic · Assist: G. Mankenda
Rīgas FS
🔄
85'
G. Mankenda ↔ N. Dusalijevs
Rīgas FS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Super Nova Win 17.5%
Draw 0%
Rīgas FS Win 82.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Super Nova1.08
Rīgas FS2.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Super Nova Super Nova
WWDLW
23 GF / 29 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WLDWL
63 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
12
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Super Nova Super Nova 19 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 27 matches
Super Nova Statistic Rīgas FS
7 Wins 21
3 Draws 4
9 Losses 2
23 Goals For 63
29 Goals Against 24
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
12 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 13
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Rīgas FS's more proactive style and Super Nova's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rīgas FS. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 37 points while Super Nova sit 4 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Rīgas FS look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Super Nova Analysis

Super Nova come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 20 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, while the 17:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on V. Lizunovs (4 goals), A. Glaudans (3 goals), M. Oss (3 goals), with creative support from Facu (5 assists), V. Lizunovs (1 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 37 points from 14 games, Rīgas FS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:9, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by D. Lemajic (6 goals), S. Panic (6 goals), J. Ikaunieks (5 goals), with creative support from R. Savalnieks (5 assists), L. Odisharia (4 assists), J. Ikaunieks (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 1 times, Rīgas FS won 14 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:53 from Super Nova's perspective. 14 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Super Nova 4-2-3-1 / Rīgas FS -
H2H summary: Super Nova wins 1, draws 0, Rīgas FS wins 14

Lineups

Super Nova
Formation
Rīgas FS
D. Veisbuks
D. Veisbuks
M. Tihonovics
M. Tihonovics
M. Oss
M. Oss
J. Cirulis
J. Cirulis
R. Iida
R. Iida
R. Sitjakovs
R. Sitjakovs
E. Emsis
E. Emsis
A. Glaudans
A. Glaudans
K. Skadmanis
K. Skadmanis
A. Grikovs
A. Grikovs
N. Pathe
N. Pathe
J. Nerugals
J. Nerugals
R. Savalnieks
R. Savalnieks
H. Prenga
H. Prenga
Z. Lipuscek
Z. Lipuscek
H. Njie
H. Njie
S. Panic
S. Panic
G. Mankenda
🎯
G. Mankenda
M. Talla
M. Talla
M. Kigurs
M. Kigurs
S. Rakic
S. Rakic
D. Lemajic
D. Lemajic
Super Nova 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
90
D. Veisbuks
21
M. Tihonovics
25
M. Oss
5
J. Cirulis
↓ 46' 🟨 9'
3
R. Iida
24
R. Sitjakovs
6
E. Emsis
↓ 46'
7
A. Glaudans
⚽ 14' ↓ 81'
22
K. Skadmanis
↓ 69'
19
A. Grikovs
↓ 65' 🟨 63'
27
N. Pathe
Substitutes
13
S. Vilkovs
18
M. Vasilevskis
↑ 65'
23
N. Barkovskis
↑ 46'
10
V. Lizunovs
8
K. Maksimovs
↑ 81'
16
K. Romanovs
↑ 46'
29
A. Baghdasaryan
↑ 69'
9
Bamba
20
I. Ndiaye
Rīgas FS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
J. Nerugals
11
R. Savalnieks
23
H. Prenga
43
Z. Lipuscek
30
H. Njie
↓ 46'
26
S. Panic
⚽ 18'
77
G. Mankenda
🎯 82' ↓ 85' 🟨 20'
70
M. Talla
↓ 68' 🟨 67'
49
M. Kigurs
↓ 74'
81
S. Rakic
↓ 46'
22
D. Lemajic
⚽ 82'
Substitutes
35
M. Maric
6
A. Filipovic
↑ 68'
17
A. Kouadio
↑ 46'
21
N. Dusalijevs
↑ 85'
5
N. Sliede
4
R. Veips
↑ 74'
3
V. Osuagwu
66
M. Saidy
↑ 46'
33
S. Boroviks
Last matches: Super Nova
06.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
1
2
L
01.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
25.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
5
L
21.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
15.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
Last matches: Rīgas FS
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
04.07.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
1
1
D
30.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
3
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
22.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
6
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
25.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
3
1
W
21.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
4
0
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
5
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
28.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
3
3
D
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
0
1
L
21.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
4
1
W
H2H: Super Nova vs Rīgas FS
29.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
18.04.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
0
L
14.01.26
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
2
L
02.11.25
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
10.08.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
4
1
L
14.06.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
L
20.04.25
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
11.01.25
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
7
0
L
05.11.23
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
13.08.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
5
0
L
04.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
6
L
24.04.23
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
1
L
23.10.22
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
07.08.22
H2H
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
2
3
W
23.05.22
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
Last matches: Super Nova
06.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
1
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
5
L
21.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
15.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
H2H at home: Super Nova
29.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
02.11.25
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.04.25
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
05.11.23
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
04.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
6
L
23.10.22
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
23.05.22
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
Last matches: Rīgas FS
09.07.26
UEF
Rīgas FS
Glentoran
2
1
W
26.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
2
0
W
17.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Riga
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Auda
3
0
W
13.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
4
3
W
22.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Grobiņa
1
0
W
13.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
Tukums
2
1
W
08.04.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
1
0
W
13.03.26
Vir
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Hvidovre
2
2
D
14.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Dynamo Kyiv
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kolding IF
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Paide
2
2
D
17.01.26
Fri
Rīgas FS
Kalju Nomme
2
0
W
21.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Hamrun Spartans
0
1
L
14.08.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
KuPS
0
1
L
30.07.25
UEF
Rīgas FS
Malmo FF
0
1
L
H2H away: Rīgas FS
29.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
W
02.11.25
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
3
W
20.04.25
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
W
05.11.23
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
4
W
04.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
6
W
23.10.22
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
4
W
23.05.22
H2H
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
3
W

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 18 2 2 54:16 38 56
D W W W L
2 22 17 4 1 65:19 46 55
W W D W W
3 22 12 4 6 37:26 11 40
D L D W L
4 22 8 4 10 28:34 -6 28
L W L L L
5 22 7 6 9 25:29 -4 27
W L D W D
6 22 6 7 9 24:38 -14 25
L W W W L
7 22 7 3 12 23:35 -12 24
L W L L D
8 22 4 8 10 15:33 -18 20
W L D L W
9 22 3 8 11 37:44 -7 17
L L L L W
10 22 3 4 15 21:55 -34 13
W L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga