Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Super Nova
Ogre United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Super Nova
25 matches
Ogre United
23 matches
| Super Nova | Statistic | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 13 | Losses | 17 |
| 28 | Goals For | 20 |
| 41 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.87 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.48 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ogre United. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Super Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 21 points compared to Ogre United in 10 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
With 21 points from 20 games and a place of 7, Super Nova still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 20:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 10 points from 20 games and a place of 10, Ogre United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 19:50 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 3 times, Ogre United won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Super Nova's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Lineups
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 55:16 | 39 | 59 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 48 | 58 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 30 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
Super Nova
Home
|
23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 7 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:35 | -20 | 20 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | -9 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 |
Ogre United
Away
|
23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 21:59 | -38 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
L
|