Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Super Nova
Ogre United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Super Nova
16 matches
Ogre United
14 matches
| Super Nova | Statistic | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 0 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 18 | Goals For | 11 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.79 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.29 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ogre United. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control. Super Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 14 points compared to Ogre United in 10 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
With 14 points from 12 games and a place of 4, Super Nova still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 12:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Oss (3 goals), A. Glaudans (2 goals), V. Lizunovs (2 goals), with creative support from Facu (5 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), V. Lizunovs (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ogre United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 3 points from 11 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 9:25, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through K. Cudars (4 goals), E. Evelons (1 goals), K. Johnson (1 goals), with creative support from M. Kalnins (1 assists), D. Vejkrigers (1 assists), F. Machado (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 3 times, Ogre United won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Super Nova's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Lineups
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
Grobiņa
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Super Nova
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
Auda
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
Tukums
Ogre United
Riga
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Super Nova
Home
|
22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Ogre United
Away
|
22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|