LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Slokas Stadions
Referee: J. Keziks
Super Nova
Match Timeline
Ogre United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
A. Glaudans
Super Nova
26'
J. Cirulis
Ogre United
🟨
36'
N. Barkovskis
Super Nova
42'
N. Barkovskis
Super Nova
🔄
46'
N. Pathe ↔ E. Emsis
Super Nova
🔄
46'
N. Barkovskis ↔ A. Grikovs
Super Nova
🔄
46'
R. Aditajs ↔ D. Vejkrigers
Ogre United
🔄
57'
K. Kumakura ↔ T. Marusiy
Ogre United
62'
V. Lizunovs
Super Nova
🔄
67'
H. Silagailis ↔ M. Pacepko
Ogre United
🔄
74'
R. Sitjakovs ↔ K. Skadmanis
Super Nova
🔄
74'
A. Glaudans ↔ I. Sylla
Super Nova
🟨
78'
I. Sylla
Super Nova
🔄
82'
Bamba ↔ M. Vasilevskis
Super Nova
🟨
84'
T. Marusiy
Ogre United
🔄
84'
M. Kalnins ↔ K. Johnson
Ogre United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Super Nova Win 65.7%
Draw 34.3%
Ogre United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Super Nova1.59
Ogre United1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Super Nova Super Nova
WWDLW
18 GF / 25 GA
Ogre United Ogre United
WLDWL
11 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
2.29
11
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Super Nova Super Nova 16 matches
Ogre United Ogre United 14 matches
Super Nova Statistic Ogre United
5 Wins 0
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 11
18 Goals For 11
25 Goals Against 32
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 2.29
11 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ogre United. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ogre United having the stronger overall control. Super Nova arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 14 points compared to Ogre United in 10 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Super Nova Analysis

With 14 points from 12 games and a place of 4, Super Nova still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 12:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Oss (3 goals), A. Glaudans (2 goals), V. Lizunovs (2 goals), with creative support from Facu (5 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), V. Lizunovs (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ogre United Analysis

Ogre United approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 3 points from 11 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 9:25, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through K. Cudars (4 goals), E. Evelons (1 goals), K. Johnson (1 goals), with creative support from M. Kalnins (1 assists), D. Vejkrigers (1 assists), F. Machado (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 3 times, Ogre United won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Super Nova's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Super Nova 4-2-3-1 / Ogre United -
H2H summary: Super Nova wins 3, draws 1, Ogre United wins 1

Lineups

Super Nova
Formation
Ogre United
D. Veisbuks
D. Veisbuks
M. Tihonovics
M. Tihonovics
M. Oss
M. Oss
J. Cirulis
J. Cirulis
N. Barkovskis
N. Barkovskis
R. Sitjakovs
R. Sitjakovs
Facu
Facu
Bamba
Bamba
V. Lizunovs
V. Lizunovs
A. Glaudans
A. Glaudans
N. Pathe
N. Pathe
N. Parfjonovs
N. Parfjonovs
K. Kumakura
K. Kumakura
M. Lormanis
M. Lormanis
K. Hayashi
K. Hayashi
R. Ziemelis
R. Ziemelis
R. Aditajs
R. Aditajs
M. Kalnins
M. Kalnins
T. Mickevics
T. Mickevics
K. Cudars
K. Cudars
M. Ivulans
M. Ivulans
H. Silagailis
H. Silagailis
Super Nova 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
90
D. Veisbuks
21
M. Tihonovics
25
M. Oss
5
J. Cirulis
⚽ 26'
23
N. Barkovskis
⚽ 42' ↓ 46' 🟨 36'
24
R. Sitjakovs
↓ 74'
14
Facu
9
Bamba
↓ 82'
10
V. Lizunovs
⚽ 62'
7
A. Glaudans
⚽ 11' ↓ 74'
27
N. Pathe
↓ 46'
Substitutes
13
S. Vilkovs
18
M. Vasilevskis
↑ 82'
22
K. Skadmanis
↑ 74'
6
E. Emsis
↑ 46'
16
K. Romanovs
19
A. Grikovs
↑ 46'
20
I. Ndiaye
26
I. Sylla
↑ 74' 🟨 78'
Ogre United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Parfjonovs
7
K. Kumakura
↓ 57'
37
M. Lormanis
5
K. Hayashi
2
R. Ziemelis
14
R. Aditajs
↓ 46'
10
M. Kalnins
↓ 84'
8
T. Mickevics
19
K. Cudars
21
M. Ivulans
9
H. Silagailis
↓ 67'
Substitutes
20
K. Biscuhis
6
D. Vejkrigers
↑ 46'
28
D. Sedols
77
M. Marusii
11
M. Pacepko
↑ 67'
3
T. Marusiy
↑ 57' 🟨 84'
23
E. Sprukts
47
K. Johnson
↑ 84'
Last matches: Super Nova
06.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
1
2
L
01.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
25.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
5
L
21.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
15.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
Last matches: Ogre United
06.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
26.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
3
2
W
22.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
6
L
17.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
13.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
1
4
L
30.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
0
2
L
25.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
02.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
3
4
L
27.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
22.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
0
4
L
17.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
1
1
D
13.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Grobiņa
1
1
D
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
03.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
L
20.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
1
L
15.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
1
D
H2H: Super Nova vs Ogre United
06.07.26
H2H
Super Nova
Ogre United
1
2
L
16.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
03.04.26
H2H
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
2
W
10.11.24
H2H
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
Ogre United
Super Nova
1
1
D
Last matches: Super Nova
06.07.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
1
2
L
25.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
5
L
21.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
15.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
H2H at home: Super Nova
06.07.26
H2H
Super Nova
Ogre United
1
2
L
16.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
10.11.24
H2H
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
0
W
Last matches: Ogre United
06.07.26
Vir
Ogre United
Super Nova
2
1
W
30.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
0
4
L
22.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
6
L
17.06.26
Vir
Ogre United
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
30.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Auda
0
2
L
21.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Ogre United
Tukums
1
6
L
22.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
Riga
0
4
L
07.04.26
Vir
Ogre United
BFC Daugavpils
1
2
L
06.03.26
Vir
Ogre United
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ogre United
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
H2H away: Ogre United
06.07.26
H2H
Super Nova
Ogre United
1
2
W
16.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
L
10.11.24
H2H
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
0
L

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 18 2 2 54:16 38 56
D W W W L
2 22 17 4 1 65:19 46 55
W W D W W
3 22 12 4 6 37:26 11 40
D L D W L
4 22 8 4 10 28:34 -6 28
L W L L L
5 22 7 6 9 25:29 -4 27
W L D W D
6 22 6 7 9 24:38 -14 25
L W W W L
7 22 7 3 12 23:35 -12 24
L W L L D
8 22 4 8 10 15:33 -18 20
W L D L W
9 22 3 8 11 37:44 -7 17
L L L L W
10 22 3 4 15 21:55 -34 13
W L W L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga