Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
62.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79.4%
|
- |
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Super Nova
11 matches
FK Liepaja
15 matches
| Super Nova | Statistic | FK Liepaja |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 5 | Losses | 6 |
| 14 | Goals For | 24 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Super Nova's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FK Liepaja. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Super Nova come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 10 points after 7 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Oss (3 goals), A. Glaudans (1 goals), I. Ndiaye (1 goals), with creative support from Facu (3 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), N. Pathe (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
FK Liepaja are currently 6 in the standings with 8 points from 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 5:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Gueye (2 goals), I. Patrikejevs (2 goals), E. Rodolphe (1 goals), with creative support from A. Ogunniyi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 2 times, FK Liepaja won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:37 from Super Nova's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.
Lineups
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Paide
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
Trans Narva
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Grobiņa
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
Alcoyano
FK Liepaja
Kryvbas KR
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
Auda
FK Liepaja
Rīgas FS
FK Liepaja
Riga
FK Liepaja
Tukums
FK Liepaja
BFC Daugavpils
FK Liepaja
Ogre United
FK Liepaja
AIK Stockholm
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 38:11 | 27 | 43 |
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|
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| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 50:17 | 33 | 39 |
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| 3 | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 32:20 | 12 | 34 |
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|
|
| 4 |
FK Liepaja
Away
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:23 | -2 | 22 |
?
|
| 5 |
Super Nova
Home
|
16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 |
?
|
| 6 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:30 | -18 | 15 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 13 |
?
|
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| 9 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 10:26 | -16 | 13 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13:38 | -25 | 4 |
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