LATVIA VIRSLIGA
23.04.2026 15:00
Slokas Stadions
Referee: D. Kozlovs
Super Nova
Match Timeline
FK Liepaja
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
D. Patijcuks
FK Liepaja
🟨
20'
E. Emsis
Super Nova
33'
L. Berzins
FK Liepaja
🔄
46'
L. Berzins ↔ J. Cirulis
Super Nova
47'
Bamba · Assist: Facu
Super Nova
🟨
58'
D. Patijcuks
FK Liepaja
🔄
69'
N. Barkovskis ↔ R. Sitjakovs
Super Nova
🔄
69'
I. Ndiaye ↔ M. Tihonovics
Super Nova
🔄
74'
Bamba ↔ N. Pathe
Super Nova
🔄
74'
D. Patijcuks ↔ I. Pulis
FK Liepaja
🔄
74'
A. Ogunniyi ↔ Fellipe Vieira
FK Liepaja
🟨
75'
A. Korobenko
FK Liepaja
🟨
78'
I. Pulis
FK Liepaja
🟨
79'
J. Cirulis
Super Nova
🔄
81'
E. Emsis ↔ A. Grikovs
Super Nova

Super Nova vs FK Liepaja Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Super Nova Win 29.1%
Draw 8.7%
FK Liepaja Win 62.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Super Nova1.4
FK Liepaja1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Super Nova Super Nova
WWDLW
14 GF / 19 GA
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
WLDWL
24 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
8
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Super Nova Super Nova 11 matches
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja 15 matches
Super Nova Statistic FK Liepaja
4 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 6
14 Goals For 24
19 Goals Against 24
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
8 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Super Nova's more proactive style and FK Liepaja's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FK Liepaja. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Liepaja having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Super Nova Analysis

Super Nova come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 10 points after 7 matches. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 7:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Oss (3 goals), A. Glaudans (1 goals), I. Ndiaye (1 goals), with creative support from Facu (3 assists), A. Glaudans (1 assists), N. Pathe (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

FK Liepaja Analysis

FK Liepaja are currently 6 in the standings with 8 points from 7 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 5:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Gueye (2 goals), I. Patrikejevs (2 goals), E. Rodolphe (1 goals), with creative support from A. Ogunniyi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 2 times, FK Liepaja won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:38 from Super Nova's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Super Nova 4-2-3-1 / FK Liepaja 4-4-2
H2H summary: Super Nova wins 2, draws 2, FK Liepaja wins 11

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 22 3 2 68:20 48 69
W D W W W
2 27 20 5 2 81:27 54 65
L D W W W
3 27 16 5 6 44:27 17 53
D W W W W
4 28 12 4 12 39:41 -2 40
W L W W L
5 28 10 7 11 33:32 1 37
L D W W L
6 28 8 7 13 32:47 -15 31
W W L L L
7 26 8 5 13 27:38 -11 29
D D L W L
8 28 5 9 14 20:50 -30 24
W L L L D
9 28 4 8 16 41:58 -17 20
L L L W L
10 27 3 5 19 26:71 -45 14
L L L D L