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08.11.2026 11:00
Olaines Pilsetas Stadions

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 74.8%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.8%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
74.8%
1.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.8%
1.73 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Super Nova Win 25.2%
Draw 25.6%
BFC Daugavpils Win 49.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Super Nova1.11
BFC Daugavpils1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Super Nova Super Nova
D L L L W
6 GF / 13 GA
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
W W W W D
7 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
22
BTTS Yes
21
21
Over 2.5
18
0.49
Shots on Goal
4.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Super Nova Super Nova 39 matches
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 43 matches
Super Nova Statistic BFC Daugavpils
12 Wins 16
7 Draws 9
20 Losses 18
41 Goals For 49
61 Goals Against 52
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
22 BTTS Yes 21
29 Over 1.5 26
21 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 14
0.49 Shots On Goal 4.37
2.06 Total Shots 12.26
0.71 Corners 3.97
10.6% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 4 times, BFC Daugavpils won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Super Nova's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (74.8%)
Predicted formations: Super Nova 4-4-2 / BFC Daugavpils 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Super Nova wins 4, draws 6, BFC Daugavpils wins 5

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 28 5 2 87:24 63 89
W W W W W
2 35 25 8 2 95:33 62 83
D W W W W
3 35 21 7 7 61:38 23 70
W W L W D
4 35 14 9 12 42:37 5 51
W W W W D
5 35 13 9 13 49:49 0 48
D D W L D
6 35 11 6 18 35:53 -18 39
D L L L W
7 35 8 8 19 37:61 -24 32
L L L L L
8 35 6 11 18 27:64 -37 29
L L W L D
9 35 5 10 20 44:67 -23 25
L D L L D
10 35 4 7 24 34:85 -51 19
D L L L W