LATVIA VIRSLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Jana Skredela stadions
Referee: A. Kenins
Super Nova
Match Timeline
Auda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
J. Vergara · Assist: J. Vergara
Auda
🔄
38'
I. Ndiaye ↔ A. Grikovs
Super Nova
🔄
46'
N. Pathe ↔ K. Skadmanis
Super Nova
🟨
48'
R. Sitjakovs
Super Nova
50'
J. Vergara · Assist: B. Diedhiou
Auda
🟨
55'
J. Vergara
Auda
🟨
63'
O. Rubenis
Auda
🔄
65'
R. Sitjakovs ↔ N. Barkovskis
Super Nova
🔄
65'
R. Iida ↔ A. Baghdasaryan
Super Nova
🔄
66'
O. Rubenis ↔ A. Ogunji
Auda
🔄
66'
B. Diedhiou ↔ J. Gerold
Auda
71'
K. Kone · Assist: R. Kragliks
Auda
🔄
74'
K. Romanovs ↔ J. Cirulis
Super Nova
🔄
80'
H. Ibrahim ↔ W. Fofana
Auda
🔄
80'
E. Bongemba ↔ A. Arroyo
Auda
🔄
88'
K. Kone ↔ H. Lusweki
Auda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Super Nova Win 26.2%
Draw 9.1%
Auda Win 64.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Super Nova1.18
Auda1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Super Nova Super Nova
WWDLW
25 GF / 33 GA
Auda Auda
WLDWL
36 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
14
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Super Nova Super Nova 22 matches
Auda Auda 22 matches
Super Nova Statistic Auda
7 Wins 12
4 Draws 4
11 Losses 6
25 Goals For 36
33 Goals Against 27
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
14 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 13
4 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Auda's more proactive style and Super Nova's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Auda. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Auda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 35 points while Super Nova sit 5 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Super Nova have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Auda having the stronger overall control.

Super Nova Analysis

Super Nova approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 20 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats with a 19:25 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on V. Lizunovs (5 goals), A. Glaudans (4 goals), M. Oss (3 goals), with creative support from Facu (5 assists), N. Pathe (2 assists), V. Lizunovs (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Auda Analysis

Auda approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 35 points after 17 outings. With 11 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:21, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Vergara (13 goals), E. Daskevics (4 goals), H. Ibrahim (4 goals), with creative support from E. Daskevics (6 assists), W. Fofana (4 assists), T. Hrvoj (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Super Nova won 0 times, Auda won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:31 from Super Nova's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
Predicted formations: Super Nova 4-2-3-1 / Auda -
H2H summary: Super Nova wins 0, draws 1, Auda wins 14

Lineups

Super Nova
Formation
Auda
S. Vilkovs
S. Vilkovs
I. Ndiaye
I. Ndiaye
M. Oss
M. Oss
K. Romanovs
K. Romanovs
R. Iida
R. Iida
E. Emsis
E. Emsis
R. Sitjakovs
R. Sitjakovs
M. Tihonovics
M. Tihonovics
V. Lizunovs
V. Lizunovs
Bamba
Bamba
N. Pathe
N. Pathe
N. Purins
N. Purins
T. Hrvoj
T. Hrvoj
R. Kragliks
🎯
R. Kragliks
M. Ouedraogo
M. Ouedraogo
O. Rubenis
O. Rubenis
H. Ibrahim
H. Ibrahim
E. Daskevics
E. Daskevics
B. Diedhiou
🎯
B. Diedhiou
E. Bongemba
E. Bongemba
K. Kone
K. Kone
J. Vergara
⚽ 2 🎯
J. Vergara
Super Nova 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
S. Vilkovs
20
I. Ndiaye
↓ 38'
25
M. Oss
16
K. Romanovs
↓ 74'
3
R. Iida
↓ 65'
6
E. Emsis
24
R. Sitjakovs
↓ 65' 🟨 48'
21
M. Tihonovics
10
V. Lizunovs
9
Bamba
27
N. Pathe
↓ 46'
Substitutes
90
D. Veisbuks
18
M. Vasilevskis
5
J. Cirulis
↑ 74'
22
K. Skadmanis
↑ 46'
23
N. Barkovskis
↑ 65'
8
K. Maksimovs
29
A. Baghdasaryan
↑ 65'
19
A. Grikovs
↑ 38'
26
I. Sylla
Auda 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
98
N. Purins
2
T. Hrvoj
6
R. Kragliks
🎯 71'
4
M. Ouedraogo
71
O. Rubenis
↓ 66' 🟨 63'
14
H. Ibrahim
↓ 80'
17
E. Daskevics
25
B. Diedhiou
🎯 50' ↓ 66'
8
E. Bongemba
↓ 80'
47
K. Kone
⚽ 71' ↓ 88'
7
J. Vergara
⚽ 23' ⚽ 50' 🎯 23' 🟨 55'
Substitutes
1
R. Sturins
22
A. Ogunji
↑ 66'
77
J. Minins
10
W. Fofana
↑ 80'
80
S. Aranda
46
J. Gerold
↑ 66'
18
A. Arroyo
↑ 80'
26
H. Lusweki
↑ 88'
23
M. Fofana
Last matches: Super Nova
25.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
5
L
16.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0
0
D
12.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
24.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
0
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
2
0
W
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
06.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
0
1
L
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
27.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
0
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
09.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Grobiņa
1
0
W
03.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
2
1
W
22.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
2
1
W
15.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
08.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Super Nova
Paide
0
1
L
Last matches: Auda
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
2
0
W
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
22.05.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
3
1
W
17.05.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
0
3
L
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
07.05.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
12.04.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
2
3
L
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
08.03.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
H2H: Super Nova vs Auda
21.06.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
01.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
08.03.26
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
L
22.09.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
2
L
18.08.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
1
L
01.07.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
1
L
11.05.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
1
D
16.03.25
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
L
02.03.24
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
L
02.09.23
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
1
0
L
25.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
5
L
02.05.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
11.03.23
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
2
0
L
18.09.22
H2H
Auda
Super Nova
3
0
L
02.07.22
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
Last matches: Super Nova
25.06.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
5
L
29.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Ogre United
3
1
W
11.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Tukums
1
1
D
01.05.26
Vir
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
23.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.04.26
Vir
Super Nova
Riga
1
4
L
15.03.26
Vir
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
H2H at home: Super Nova
21.06.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
01.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
01.07.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
1
L
11.05.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
5
L
02.05.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
L
02.07.22
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
L
Last matches: Auda
25.06.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vir
Auda
Tukums
1
2
L
26.05.26
Vir
Auda
BFC Daugavpils
1
0
W
12.05.26
Vir
Auda
Riga
1
4
L
01.05.26
Vir
Auda
Super Nova
2
1
W
21.04.26
Vir
Auda
FS Jelgava
3
2
W
17.04.26
Vir
Auda
Ogre United
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
Auda
FK Liepaja
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vir
Auda
Rīgas FS
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vir
Auda
Grobiņa
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Auda
FK Vozdovac
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Auda
Shanghai Shenhua
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Auda
Larne
0
0
D
H2H away: Auda
21.06.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
W
01.05.26
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
W
01.07.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
1
W
11.05.25
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
5
W
02.05.23
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
0
2
W
02.07.22
H2H
Super Nova
Auda
1
2
W

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 17 1 2 50:14 36 52
W W L W W
2 20 15 4 1 60:19 41 49
D W W W W
3
Auda Away
20 12 3 5 36:23 13 39
D W L D W
4 20 7 4 9 23:31 -8 25
L L L W W
5 20 6 6 8 21:25 -4 24
D W D D D
6 20 5 7 8 22:35 -13 22
W W L D D
7 20 6 3 11 20:32 -12 21
L L D L L
8 20 3 8 9 35:39 -4 17
L L W D L
9 20 3 8 9 12:30 -18 17
D L W L L
10 20 2 4 14 19:50 -31 10
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga