Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
89.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Sunderland
Manchester United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sunderland
38 matches
Manchester United
36 matches
| Sunderland | Statistic | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 18 |
| 12 | Draws | 10 |
| 13 | Losses | 8 |
| 39 | Goals For | 64 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.78 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 5.78 |
| 10.66 | Total Shots | 15.67 |
| 3.82 | Corners | 4.72 |
| 45.6% | Ball Possession | 52.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Manchester United's more proactive style and Sunderland's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Manchester United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 64 points while Sunderland sit 12 on 47, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Manchester United. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 35 matches, Sunderland have collected 47 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 12 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 37:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Brobbey (6 goals), W. Isidor (5 goals), C. Talbi (4 goals), with creative support from Granit Xhaka (6 assists), E. Le Fee (5 assists), N. Mukiele (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Manchester United approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 64 points after 35 outings. They have recorded 18 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, with a 63:48 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on B. Sesko (11 goals), B. Mbeumo (9 goals), Casemiro (9 goals), with creative support from Bruno Fernandes (19 assists), B. Mbeumo (3 assists), Patrick Dorgu (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sunderland won 3 times, Manchester United won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:26 from Sunderland's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Sunderland
4
1
6
5
5
5
Lineups
Sunderland
York
Sunderland
Chelsea
Sunderland
Everton
Sunderland
Wolves
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Tottenham
Sunderland
Newcastle
Sunderland
Brighton
Sunderland
Port Vale
Sunderland
Leeds
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
Oxford United
Sunderland
Liverpool
Sunderland
Arsenal
Sunderland
Burnley
Sunderland
West Ham
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
Sunderland
Everton
Manchester United
Rosenborg
Manchester United
Wrexham
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Liverpool
Manchester United
Brentford
Manchester United
Chelsea
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Newcastle
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Everton
Manchester United
West Ham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester United
Fulham
Manchester United
Arsenal
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Burnley
Sunderland
Chelsea
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
Tottenham
Sunderland
Brighton
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
Liverpool
Sunderland
Burnley
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
Sunderland
Manchester City
Sunderland
Leeds
Sunderland
Newcastle
Sunderland
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Arsenal
Sunderland
Everton
Sunderland
Wolves
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Brentford
Sunderland
West Ham
Manchester United
Rosenborg
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Chelsea
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Newcastle
Manchester United
Everton
Manchester United
West Ham
Manchester United
Arsenal
Manchester United
Burnley
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Wolves
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Liverpool
Manchester United
Brentford
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United
Fulham
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Manchester United
Away
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Sunderland
Home
|
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|