ITALY SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Marco Druso
Referee: L. Marinelli
Sudtirol
Match Timeline
Juve Stabia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
36'
A. Gabrielloni · Assist: F. Maistro
Juve Stabia
🔄
46'
F. Maistro ↔ K. Zeroli
Juve Stabia
🔄
46'
M. Bellich ↔ A. Giorgini
Juve Stabia
🔄
46'
S. Diakite ↔ S. Kassama
Juve Stabia
🔄
56'
F. Veseli ↔ K. Zedadka
Sudtirol
🔄
56'
F. Tait ↔ D. Crnigoj
Sudtirol
60'
D. Crnigoj · Assist: K. Zedadka
Sudtirol
🔄
62'
A. Ciammaglichella ↔ L. Candellone
Juve Stabia
🔄
64'
D. Casiraghi ↔ S. Verdi
Sudtirol
🔄
64'
S. Tronchin ↔ M. R. Frigerio
Sudtirol
🔄
74'
E. Pecorino ↔ R. Odogwu
Sudtirol
🔄
82'
M. Ricciardi ↔ P. Matheu
Juve Stabia
🟨
90'
Karim Zedadka
Sudtirol

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sudtirol Win 10.5%
Draw 26.2%
Juve Stabia Win 63.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sudtirol1.08
Juve Stabia1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sudtirol Sudtirol
WWDLW
38 GF / 50 GA
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
WLDWL
43 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
21
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
16
3.34
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 matches
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 matches
Sudtirol Statistic Juve Stabia
8 Wins 11
16 Draws 17
14 Losses 10
38 Goals For 43
50 Goals Against 46
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
21 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 28
16 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 11
3.34 Shots On Goal 4.03
11.79 Total Shots 12.21
4.13 Corners 4.95
40.1% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sudtirol have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Juve Stabia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 50 points while Sudtirol sit 15 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sudtirol expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Juve Stabia in 3-5-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juve Stabia having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Juve Stabia.

Sudtirol Analysis

With 40 points from 37 games and a place of 15, Sudtirol still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 16 draws, and 13 defeats with a 37:47 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on E. Pecorino (9 goals), S. Merkaj (9 goals), D. Casiraghi (4 goals), with creative support from D. Casiraghi (7 assists), S. Molina (4 assists), R. Odogwu (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juve Stabia Analysis

Juve Stabia sit 7 with 50 points after 37 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 17 draws, and 9 losses, while the 43:44 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Candellone (7 goals), N. Mosti (7 goals), L. Carissoni (6 goals), with creative support from F. Maistro (6 assists), A. Gabrielloni (3 assists), N. Mosti (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sudtirol won 1 times, Juve Stabia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Sudtirol's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: Sudtirol 3-5-2 / Juve Stabia 3-5-1-1
H2H summary: Sudtirol wins 1, draws 1, Juve Stabia wins 2
Stats
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 2
42% Ball Possession 58%
23 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 1
12 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 3
17 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
356 Total passes 535
261 Passes accurate 434
2.16 expected_goals 0.51
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sudtirol
Formation
Juve Stabia
M. Adamonis
M. Adamonis
H. El Kaouakibi
H. El Kaouakibi
N. Pietrangeli
N. Pietrangeli
F. Veseli
F. Veseli
S. Molina
S. Molina
F. Tait
F. Tait
S. Tronchin
S. Tronchin
D. Casiraghi
D. Casiraghi
S. Davi
S. Davi
S. Merkaj
S. Merkaj
E. Pecorino
E. Pecorino
P. Boer
P. Boer
S. Diakite
S. Diakite
C. Dalle Mura
C. Dalle Mura
M. Bellich
M. Bellich
M. Ricciardi
M. Ricciardi
C. Pierobon
C. Pierobon
E. Torrasi
E. Torrasi
A. Ciammaglichella
A. Ciammaglichella
M. Mannini
M. Mannini
F. Maistro
🎯
F. Maistro
A. Gabrielloni
A. Gabrielloni
Sudtirol 3-5-2
Starting XI
31
M. Adamonis
G
94
H. El Kaouakibi
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
D
34
F. Veseli
↓ 56'
D
79
S. Molina
M
21
F. Tait
↓ 56'
M
18
S. Tronchin
↓ 64'
M
17
D. Casiraghi
↓ 64'
M
24
S. Davi
M
33
S. Merkaj
F
9
E. Pecorino
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Borra
G
5
A. Masiello
D
90
R. Odogwu
↑ 74'
F
7
K. Zedadka
🎯 60' ↑ 56' 🟨 90'
M
23
F. Davi
D
6
J. Martini
M
46
D. Brik
M
99
S. Verdi
↑ 64'
M
89
D. Crnigoj
⚽ 60' ↑ 56'
M
11
R. Tonin
F
26
M. R. Frigerio
↑ 64'
M
4
D. Mancini
D
Juve Stabia 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
23
P. Boer
G
46
S. Diakite
↓ 46'
D
14
C. Dalle Mura
D
6
M. Bellich
↓ 46'
D
2
M. Ricciardi
↓ 82'
M
10
C. Pierobon
M
28
E. Torrasi
17
A. Ciammaglichella
↓ 62'
M
76
M. Mannini
M
37
F. Maistro
🎯 36' ↓ 46'
F
9
A. Gabrielloni
⚽ 36'
F
Substitutes
16
A. Signorini
G
27
L. Candellone
↑ 62'
F
98
N. Mosti
M
8
K. Zeroli
↑ 46'
M
77
A. Cacciamani
F
24
L. Carissoni
D
55
G. Leone
M
33
A. Giorgini
↑ 46'
D
7
R. Burnete
F
90
A. Okoro
F
21
S. Kassama
↑ 46'
D
70
P. Matheu
↑ 82'
F
Last matches: Sudtirol
25.07.26
Fri
Sudtirol
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
0
D
22.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
15.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
01.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Sampdoria
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Mantova
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Spezia
1
6
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Modena
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Cesena
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Frosinone
1
3
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Avellino
2
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Pescara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
03.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Reggiana
4
0
W
28.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Venezia
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Palermo
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
2
1
W
11.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Monza
0
0
D
07.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Carrarese
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Padova
3
0
W
Last matches: Juve Stabia
19.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Monza
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Monza
2
2
D
12.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Modena
1
0
W
01.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Frosinone
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Pescara
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Cesena
2
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Venezia
1
3
L
21.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Spezia
3
1
W
17.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Palermo
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Carrarese
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Mantova
0
2
L
04.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Sampdoria
1
1
D
28.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Avellino
0
0
D
22.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Modena
1
2
L
15.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Monza
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Empoli
2
1
W
07.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Padova
3
3
D
01.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Reggiana
1
1
D
24.01.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
H2H: Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia
08.05.26
H2H
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
27.12.25
H2H
Juve Stabia
Sudtirol
1
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
2
0
W
06.12.24
H2H
Juve Stabia
Sudtirol
2
1
L
Last matches: Sudtirol
25.07.26
Fri
Sudtirol
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
0
D
22.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Mantova
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Modena
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Frosinone
1
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Pescara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
28.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Venezia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Monza
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Padova
3
0
W
10.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Spezia
2
1
W
13.12.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
29.11.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Avellino
0
1
L
08.11.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Carrarese
1
1
D
25.10.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Cesena
0
1
L
05.10.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Empoli
1
2
L
27.09.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Reggiana
3
1
W
14.09.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Palermo
0
2
L
31.08.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Sampdoria
3
1
W
H2H at home: Sudtirol
08.05.26
H2H
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
2
0
W
Last matches: Juve Stabia
19.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Monza
1
2
L
12.05.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Modena
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Pescara
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Venezia
1
3
L
17.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Palermo
2
2
D
08.03.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Mantova
0
2
L
28.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Avellino
0
0
D
15.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Monza
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Empoli
2
1
W
01.02.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Reggiana
1
1
D
17.01.26
Ser
Juve Stabia
Bari
1
0
W
20.12.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Cesena
1
1
D
08.12.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Frosinone
0
3
L
24.11.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Sampdoria
0
1
L
02.11.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Modena
0
3
L
26.10.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Padova
2
2
D
05.10.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Carrarese
0
3
L
26.09.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
2
2
D
20.09.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Spezia
3
1
W
23.08.25
Ser
Juve Stabia
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
H2H away: Juve Stabia
08.05.26
H2H
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
2
0
L

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2 38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3 38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4 38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5 38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6 38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7 38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8 38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9 38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10 38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11 38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12 38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13 38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14 38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15 38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16 38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17 38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18 38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19 38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20 38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation