Stuttgart II vs Erzgebirge Aue Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
83.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
59.2%
|
- |
Stuttgart II
Erzgebirge Aue
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Stuttgart II
33 matches
Erzgebirge Aue
33 matches
| Stuttgart II | Statistic | Erzgebirge Aue |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 5 |
| 6 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 18 |
| 41 | Goals For | 38 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 61 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 3.07 |
| 11.3 | Total Shots | 9.48 |
| 4.15 | Corners | 4.78 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 40.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Erzgebirge Aue. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stuttgart II expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Erzgebirge Aue in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Erzgebirge Aue having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Erzgebirge Aue arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
So far, Stuttgart II have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 42 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 41:54 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Darvich (9 goals), M. Ouro-Tagba (7 goals), M. Sankoh (5 goals), with creative support from N. Sessa (5 assists), J. Diehl (3 assists), Leny Meyer (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Erzgebirge Aue approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 25 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 10 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 38:61 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Bar (7 goals), J. Guttau (4 goals), M. Stefaniak (4 goals), with creative support from Eric Uhlmann (4 assists), Mika Clausen (4 assists), Pascal Fallmann (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Stuttgart II won 0 times, Erzgebirge Aue won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Stuttgart II's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 32 | 80 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 21 | 72 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 12 | 70 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 17 | 68 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 25 | 67 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 34 | 64 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 64 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 2 | 53 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | -13 | 52 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | -2 | 51 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 9 | 49 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Stuttgart II
Home
|
38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | -12 | 46 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | -6 | 44 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | -6 | 43 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | -32 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 |
Erzgebirge Aue
Away
|
38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | -19 | 34 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | -29 | 33 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | -49 | 21 |
L
L
D
D
D
|