11.08.2026 18:30
Merkur Arena
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Sturm Graz
Match Timeline
Fenerbahçe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Nélson Semedo
Fenerbahçe
🟨
45'
Archie Brown
Fenerbahçe
🔄
61'
S. Jatta ↔ B. Beganovic
Sturm Graz
🔄
61'
A. Malic ↔ J. Heil
Sturm Graz
🔄
61'
A. Kayombo ↔ N. Weiper
Sturm Graz
🔄
62'
N. Semedo ↔ M. Muldur
Fenerbahçe
🔄
63'
M. Asensio ↔ Fred
Fenerbahçe
🔄
63'
M. Greenwood ↔ O. Aydin
Fenerbahçe
66'
Talisca
Fenerbahçe
🔄
70'
J. Gorenc Stankovic ↔ R. Fosso
Sturm Graz
🔄
73'
N. Kante ↔ I. Yuksek
Fenerbahçe
🔄
77'
Talisca ↔ V. Muriqi
Fenerbahçe
🔄
79'
P. Petrovic ↔ P. Koller
Sturm Graz
🟨
84'
Jeyland Mitchell
Sturm Graz
🟨
89'
Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Fenerbahçe

Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.5%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sturm Graz Win 55.5%
Draw 3.5%
Fenerbahçe Win 41%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sturm Graz1.65
Fenerbahçe2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
WWDLW
38 GF / 20 GA
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
WLDWL
15 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2.53
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
8
BTTS Yes
2
9
Over 2.5
3
5.4
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 15 matches
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 6 matches
Sturm Graz Statistic Fenerbahçe
8 Wins 5
5 Draws 1
2 Losses 0
38 Goals For 15
20 Goals Against 2
2.53 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
8 BTTS Yes 2
14 Over 1.5 5
9 Over 2.5 3
8 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 0
5.4 Shots On Goal 6
15.4 Total Shots 15.33
4.6 Corners 6.67
41.8% Ball Possession 67.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sturm Graz won 0 times, Fenerbahçe won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Sturm Graz's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Sturm Graz 4-4-2 / Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sturm Graz wins 0, draws 1, Fenerbahçe wins 3

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 6:1 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 1:6 -5 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)