NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Marienlyst Stadion
Referee: S. Hauge
Stromsgodset
Match Timeline
Lyn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
K. Krasniqi
Stromsgodset
🔄
57'
V. Dedes ↔ M. Mehnert
Stromsgodset
🔄
62'
J. Skaug ↔ J. Nois
Lyn
63'
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa · Assist: S. Pingel
Stromsgodset
🔄
67'
G. Wikheim ↔ E. Melkersen
Stromsgodset
🔄
67'
L. Vilsvik ↔ O. Enersen
Stromsgodset
73'
A. Hellum · Assist: H. Nilsen
Lyn
🔄
81'
K. Antonsen ↔ A. Skistad
Stromsgodset
🔄
81'
S. Pingel ↔ G. Valsvik
Stromsgodset
🟨
82'
D. Fredriksen
Lyn
🟨
86'
H. Stengel
Stromsgodset

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stromsgodset Win 80.2%
Draw 3.8%
Lyn Win 16%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stromsgodset2.37
Lyn1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
WWDLW
55 GF / 41 GA
Lyn Lyn
WLDWL
26 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
2.18
15
BTTS Yes
10
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 22 matches
Lyn Lyn 22 matches
Stromsgodset Statistic Lyn
9 Wins 5
7 Draws 2
6 Losses 15
55 Goals For 26
41 Goals Against 48
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 2.18
15 BTTS Yes 10
21 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Stromsgodset's more proactive style and Lyn's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lyn. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Stromsgodset arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 28 points compared to Lyn in 13 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lyn arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Lyn having the stronger overall control.

Stromsgodset Analysis

Placed 3 with 28 points from 14 outings, Stromsgodset continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 41:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Lyn Analysis

Lyn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 13 points from 14 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 17:30 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Stromsgodset won 0 times, Lyn won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Stromsgodset's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Stromsgodset 4-2-3-1 / Lyn 4-3-3
H2H summary: Stromsgodset wins 0, draws 1, Lyn wins 0

Lineups

Stromsgodset
Formation
Lyn
M. Lamhauge
M. Lamhauge
L. Vilsvik
L. Vilsvik
J. Taaje
J. Taaje
V. Dedes
V. Dedes
K. Krasniqi
K. Krasniqi
K. Antonsen
K. Antonsen
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
H. Stengel
H. Stengel
G. Wikheim
G. Wikheim
S. Pingel
🎯
S. Pingel
B. Sormo
B. Sormo
A. Pedersen
A. Pedersen
S. Haugen
S. Haugen
A. Midtskogen
A. Midtskogen
E. Race
E. Race
H. Nilsen
🎯
H. Nilsen
J. Skaug
J. Skaug
D. Fredriksen
D. Fredriksen
O. Kallevag
O. Kallevag
A. Olsen
A. Olsen
A. Hellum
A. Hellum
M. Johansen
M. Johansen
Stromsgodset 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Lamhauge
G
26
L. Vilsvik
↓ 67'
D
25
J. Taaje
D
3
V. Dedes
↓ 57'
D
8
K. Krasniqi
🟨 18'
M
22
K. Antonsen
↓ 81'
M
16
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa
⚽ 63'
M
10
H. Stengel
🟨 86'
M
80
G. Wikheim
↓ 67'
M
11
S. Pingel
🎯 63' ↓ 81'
F
5
B. Sormo
Substitutes
12
S. Lampinen-Skaug
G
9
E. Melkersen
↑ 67'
F
14
O. Enersen
↑ 67'
M
15
A. Heredia-Randen
19
A. Skistad
↑ 81'
37
S. A. Marcello Silalahi
71
G. Valsvik
↑ 81'
D
77
M. Mehnert
↑ 57'
Lyn 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
A. Pedersen
55
S. Haugen
6
A. Midtskogen
5
E. Race
18
H. Nilsen
🎯 73'
21
J. Skaug
↓ 62'
24
D. Fredriksen
🟨 82'
19
O. Kallevag
M
9
A. Olsen
11
A. Hellum
⚽ 73'
10
M. Johansen
Substitutes
25
M. Andersen
G
4
W. Sell
7
I. Monglo
17
J. Nois
↑ 62'
M
22
W. Kurtovic
M
26
E. Sawaneh
F
27
I. Barnett
29
O. Gueye
30
F. Sock
F
Last matches: Stromsgodset
01.08.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Bryne
2
0
W
04.07.26
1.
Stromsgodset
hodd
3
4
L
27.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
21.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Kongsvinger
4
4
D
14.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Raufoss
6
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Egersund
5
0
W
25.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Bryne
1
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Moss
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Ranheim
5
4
W
10.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Asane
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Strommen
3
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sandnes ULF
1
1
D
18.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sogndal
3
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Haugesund
2
4
L
05.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Stabaek
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Sandefjord
2
2
D
20.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Hønefoss
3
1
W
13.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Mjondalen
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Valerenga
3
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
KFUM Oslo
0
3
L
Last matches: Lyn
02.08.26
1.
Lyn
Sogndal
3
2
W
02.07.26
1.
Lyn
Asane
6
2
W
27.06.26
1.
Lyn
hodd
1
4
L
19.06.26
1.
Lyn
Ranheim
2
3
L
14.06.26
1.
Lyn
Bryne
0
3
L
30.05.26
1.
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
0
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Lyn
Strommen
1
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Lyn
Egersund
0
0
D
16.05.26
1.
Lyn
Kongsvinger
0
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Lyn
Raufoss
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Lyn
Stabaek
0
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Lyn
Moss
1
2
L
20.04.26
1.
Lyn
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Lyn
Sogndal
3
0
W
06.04.26
1.
Lyn
Haugesund
2
4
L
30.03.26
Fri
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Lyn
Moss
3
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Lyn
Ham-Kam
0
4
L
24.02.26
Fri
Lyn
Bryne
3
3
D
13.02.26
Fri
Lyn
Start
0
2
L
H2H: Stromsgodset vs Lyn
25.07.26
H2H
Stromsgodset
Lyn
1
1
D
Last matches: Stromsgodset
27.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
14.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Raufoss
6
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Bryne
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Ranheim
5
4
W
01.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Strommen
3
0
W
18.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sogndal
3
0
W
05.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Stabaek
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Sandefjord
2
2
D
20.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Hønefoss
3
1
W
13.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Mjondalen
1
1
D
H2H at home: Stromsgodset
25.07.26
H2H
Stromsgodset
Lyn
1
1
D
Last matches: Lyn
19.06.26
1.
Lyn
Ranheim
2
3
L
30.05.26
1.
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
0
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Lyn
Egersund
0
0
D
10.05.26
1.
Lyn
Raufoss
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Lyn
Moss
1
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Lyn
Sogndal
3
0
W
30.03.26
Fri
Lyn
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fri
Lyn
Ham-Kam
0
4
L
24.02.26
Fri
Lyn
Bryne
3
3
D
06.02.26
Fri
Lyn
Raufoss
1
2
L
H2H away: Lyn
25.07.26
H2H
Stromsgodset
Lyn
1
1
D