NORWAY 1. DIVISION
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Marienlyst Stadion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.24
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.8%
1.25
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.24
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.52
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.73
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Stromsgodset Win 50.8%
Draw 15.5%
hodd Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stromsgodset2.11
hodd1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
WWDLW
61 GF / 45 GA
hodd hodd
WLDWL
36 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
2.35
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
17
BTTS Yes
14
18
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 26 matches
hodd hodd 25 matches
Stromsgodset Statistic hodd
11 Wins 11
8 Draws 4
7 Losses 10
61 Goals For 36
45 Goals Against 44
2.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
17 BTTS Yes 14
25 Over 1.5 18
18 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Stromsgodset's more proactive style and hodd's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. hodd look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward hodd having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring hodd. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Stromsgodset Analysis

Stromsgodset come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 35 points from 18 matches. The record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 47:26 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

hodd Analysis

hodd approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 30 points after 18 outings. With 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:32, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Stromsgodset won 0 times, hodd won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Stromsgodset's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Stromsgodset 4-2-3-1 / hodd -
H2H summary: Stromsgodset wins 0, draws 0, hodd wins 1
Last matches: Stromsgodset
15.08.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Ranheim
3
1
W
09.08.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Egersund
0
2
L
01.08.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Bryne
2
0
W
25.07.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Lyn
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Stromsgodset
hodd
3
4
L
27.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
21.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Kongsvinger
4
4
D
14.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Raufoss
6
1
W
31.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Egersund
5
0
W
25.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Bryne
1
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Moss
1
1
D
16.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Ranheim
5
4
W
10.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Asane
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Strommen
3
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sandnes ULF
1
1
D
18.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sogndal
3
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Haugesund
2
4
L
05.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Stabaek
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Sandefjord
2
2
D
20.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Hønefoss
3
1
W
Last matches: hodd
16.08.26
1.
hodd
Strommen
4
3
W
09.08.26
1.
hodd
Sandnes ULF
4
3
W
02.08.26
1.
hodd
Moss
2
1
W
27.07.26
1.
hodd
Stabaek
0
6
L
04.07.26
1.
hodd
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
27.06.26
1.
hodd
Lyn
4
1
W
21.06.26
1.
hodd
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
14.06.26
1.
hodd
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
hodd
Bryne
0
1
L
25.05.26
1.
hodd
Egersund
3
1
W
20.05.26
1.
hodd
Ranheim
2
3
L
16.05.26
1.
hodd
Sogndal
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
hodd
Strommen
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
hodd
Asane
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
hodd
Raufoss
1
1
D
18.04.26
1.
hodd
Haugesund
0
2
L
12.04.26
1.
hodd
Moss
0
1
L
07.04.26
1.
hodd
Sandnes ULF
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
hodd
Asane
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
hodd
Sogndal
1
5
L
H2H: Stromsgodset vs hodd
04.07.26
H2H
hodd
Stromsgodset
4
3
L
Last matches: Stromsgodset
09.08.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Egersund
0
2
L
25.07.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Lyn
1
1
D
27.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
14.06.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Raufoss
6
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Bryne
1
0
W
16.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Ranheim
5
4
W
01.05.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Strommen
3
0
W
18.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Sogndal
3
0
W
05.04.26
1.
Stromsgodset
Stabaek
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Sandefjord
2
2
D
20.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Hønefoss
3
1
W
13.03.26
Fri
Stromsgodset
Mjondalen
1
1
D
Last matches: hodd
09.08.26
1.
hodd
Sandnes ULF
4
3
W
27.07.26
1.
hodd
Stabaek
0
6
L
27.06.26
1.
hodd
Lyn
4
1
W
21.06.26
1.
hodd
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
31.05.26
1.
hodd
Bryne
0
1
L
20.05.26
1.
hodd
Ranheim
2
3
L
10.05.26
1.
hodd
Strommen
2
1
W
26.04.26
1.
hodd
Raufoss
1
1
D
12.04.26
1.
hodd
Moss
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fri
hodd
Asane
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
hodd
Aalesund
0
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
hodd
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.04
Draw 6.55
Home 1.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 7.32
Draw 3.28
Home 1.56
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.24
Over 3.25 1.51
Over 3.5 1.68
Over 3.75 1.83
Over 4.0 2.06
Over 4.25 2.31
Over 4.5 2.54
Over 5.5 4.21
Under 2.5 3.87
Under 3.25 2.52
Under 3.5 2.16
Under 3.75 1.96
Under 4.0 1.74
Under 4.25 1.60
Under 4.5 1.49
Under 5.5 1.21
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.50
Draw 5.50
Home 1.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.20
Home 1.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 3.50
Home 1.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 2.5 1.28
Over 3.5 1.67
Over 4.5 2.50
Over 5.5 4.00
Over 6.5 8.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 26.00
Over 9.5 51.00
Under 0.5 26.00
Under 1.5 9.00
Under 2.5 3.60
Under 3.5 2.10
Under 4.5 1.50
Under 5.5 1.22
Under 6.5 1.08
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 6.40
Home 1.24
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.90
Draw 3.02
Home 1.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 7.05
Draw 3.72
Home 1.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.03
Over 2.0 1.04
Over 2.5 1.22
Over 2.75 1.26
Over 3.0 1.32
Over 3.25 1.47
Over 3.5 1.63
Over 3.75 1.78
Over 4.0 1.99
Over 4.25 2.20
Over 4.5 2.50
Over 4.75 2.80
Over 5.0 3.45
Over 5.25 3.62
Over 5.5 3.96
Over 5.75 4.84
Over 6.0 6.35
Over 6.25 6.65
Over 6.5 6.90
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 26.00
Over 9.5 50.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.0 15.50
Under 1.5 8.00
Under 2.0 6.85
Under 2.5 3.50
Under 2.75 3.20
Under 3.0 2.88
Under 3.25 2.35
Under 3.5 2.03
Under 3.75 1.88
Under 4.0 1.69
Under 4.25 1.54
Under 4.5 1.50
Under 4.75 1.35
Under 5.0 1.24
Under 5.25 1.20
Under 5.5 1.17
Under 5.75 1.11
Under 6.0 1.06
Under 6.25 1.05
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.03
Under 8.5 1.01
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 5.60
Home 1.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 3.20
Home 1.61
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.80
Draw 3.65
Home 1.52
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.03
Over 2.5 1.24
Over 3.25 1.47
Over 3.5 1.62
Over 3.75 1.76
Over 4.0 1.97
Over 4.25 2.18
Over 4.5 2.40
Over 5.5 3.85
Under 1.5 7.50
Under 2.5 3.55
Under 3.25 2.40
Under 3.5 2.10
Under 3.75 1.92
Under 4.0 1.72
Under 4.25 1.58
Under 4.5 1.48
Under 5.5 1.20

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 12 3 3 48:19 29 39
W W W W W
2 18 12 3 3 48:28 20 39
W W L W W
3 18 12 1 5 57:36 21 37
L W W L W
4 18 10 5 3 47:26 21 35
W L W D L
5
hodd Away
18 9 3 6 32:32 0 30
W W W L W
6 18 8 5 5 35:28 7 29
L D W D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
W W W L W
8 18 8 2 8 31:32 -1 26
L W W D W
9 18 7 2 9 44:45 -1 23
L W L L L
10 18 6 3 9 32:43 -11 21
W L L W L
11 18 6 2 10 29:38 -9 20
W L W D W
12 19 6 2 11 26:35 -9 20
L L L L L
13 18 5 3 10 29:41 -12 18
L D L L L
14 18 5 2 11 27:40 -13 17
W L L D L
15 18 5 1 12 22:43 -21 16
L L L W W
16 18 4 3 11 25:45 -20 15
L L W D L
Promotion
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Relegation