NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: H. Holthe
Strommen
Match Timeline
Stabaek
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
K. Somesi
Strommen
🔄
46'
H. Paulsrud ↔ S. Sharif
Strommen
🔄
46'
F. Riise ↔ A. Hoven
Stabaek
🔄
53'
A. Nord ↔ S. Beck
Strommen
🔄
61'
J. Hanstad ↔ A. Sanyang
Stabaek
🔄
61'
O. Solnordal ↔ M. Lundemo
Stabaek
🔄
61'
A. Matic ↔ O. Boesen
Stabaek
66'
S. Beck · Assist: S. Sharif
Strommen
🔄
71'
K. Somesi ↔ D. Dashaev
Strommen
🔄
71'
M. Paulsen ↔ E. Rogne
Strommen
🟨
78'
S. Olderheim
Stabaek
🔄
83'
N. Hristov ↔ M. Waehler
Strommen
🔄
87'
M. Dahlby ↔ A. Aamodt
Stabaek

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Strommen Win 6%
Draw 6%
Stabaek Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
Strommen1.36
Stabaek2.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Strommen Strommen
WWDLW
28 GF / 47 GA
Stabaek Stabaek
WLDWL
47 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
2.24
2.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
12
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Strommen Strommen 20 matches
Stabaek Stabaek 21 matches
Strommen Statistic Stabaek
6 Wins 12
2 Draws 4
12 Losses 5
28 Goals For 47
47 Goals Against 27
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.24
2.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
12 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 11
1 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Stabaek's more proactive style and Strommen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stabaek having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Stabaek. Stabaek carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 18 points while Strommen sit 16 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Strommen Analysis

Strommen sit 16 with 5 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 14:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on N. Hristov (7 goals), L. Fajfric (3 goals), D. Dashaev (1 goals), with creative support from D. Dashaev (4 assists), K. Somesi (2 assists), N. Hristov (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stabaek Analysis

Stabaek arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 18 points after 10 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 22:12 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by M. Lankhof-Dahlby (7 goals), J. Hanstad (4 goals), S. Olderheim (4 goals), with creative support from S. Olderheim (5 assists), B. Tobiassen (3 assists), O. Solnordal (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Strommen won 1 times, Stabaek won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Strommen's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
Predicted formations: Strommen 3-5-2 / Stabaek 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Strommen wins 1, draws 0, Stabaek wins 0

Lineups

Strommen
Formation
Stabaek
A. Skjaerstein
A. Skjaerstein
S. Rindal
S. Rindal
M. Balatoni
M. Balatoni
A. Solberg
A. Solberg
H. Paulsrud
H. Paulsrud
K. Somesi
K. Somesi
C. Crestani
C. Crestani
A. Nord
A. Nord
M. Paulsen
M. Paulsen
L. Fajfric
L. Fajfric
N. Hristov
N. Hristov
M. Ulla
M. Ulla
F. Riise
F. Riise
N. Naess
N. Naess
J. Skjelvik
J. Skjelvik
K. Ekorness
K. Ekorness
A. Matic
A. Matic
O. Solnordal
O. Solnordal
W. Wendt
W. Wendt
J. Hanstad
J. Hanstad
M. Dahlby
M. Dahlby
S. Olderheim
S. Olderheim
Strommen 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
A. Skjaerstein
2
S. Rindal
4
M. Balatoni
13
A. Solberg
15
H. Paulsrud
↓ 46'
8
K. Somesi
↓ 71' 🟨 16'
3
C. Crestani
16
A. Nord
↓ 53'
24
M. Paulsen
↓ 71'
18
L. Fajfric
9
N. Hristov
↓ 83'
Substitutes
1
M. Kristiansen
5
S. Sharif
🎯 66' ↑ 46'
6
S. Beck
⚽ 66' ↑ 53'
11
M. Waehler
↑ 83'
14
J. Kristengard
17
D. Dashaev
↑ 71'
19
E. Rogne
↑ 71'
21
T. Ogboji
77
L. Navik
Stabaek 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
22
M. Ulla
2
F. Riise
↓ 46'
4
N. Naess
5
J. Skjelvik
29
K. Ekorness
6
A. Matic
↓ 61'
7
O. Solnordal
↓ 61'
23
W. Wendt
24
J. Hanstad
↓ 61'
8
M. Dahlby
↓ 87'
10
S. Olderheim
🟨 78'
Substitutes
1
K. Lokkevik
9
A. Sanyang
↑ 61'
15
O. Veum
16
A. Hoven
↑ 46'
19
M. Lundemo
↑ 61'
20
O. Boesen
↑ 61'
33
A. Aamodt
↑ 87'
Last matches: Strommen
03.07.26
1.
Strommen
Raufoss
0
1
L
27.06.26
1.
Strommen
Moss
3
2
W
14.06.26
1.
Strommen
Sandnes ULF
0
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Strommen
Ranheim
2
2
D
31.05.26
1.
Strommen
Sogndal
2
3
L
25.05.26
1.
Strommen
Lyn
0
1
L
20.05.26
1.
Strommen
Haugesund
0
7
L
16.05.26
1.
Strommen
Bryne
2
4
L
10.05.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
1
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Strommen
Stromsgodset
0
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
19.04.26
1.
Strommen
Asane
5
4
W
11.04.26
1.
Strommen
Egersund
0
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Grorud
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Kongsvinger
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Raufoss
0
3
L
01.03.26
Fri
Strommen
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Skeid
3
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Kjelsås
3
2
W
Last matches: Stabaek
03.07.26
1.
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
27.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Bryne
2
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Stabaek
Egersund
3
1
W
30.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Moss
2
2
D
25.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
0
W
20.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sogndal
2
2
D
16.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Raufoss
1
2
L
10.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sandnes ULF
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Lyn
4
0
W
26.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Haugesund
3
2
W
19.04.26
1.
Stabaek
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
12.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Asane
4
0
W
05.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Stromsgodset
1
2
L
29.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Moss
2
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Kongsvinger
2
3
L
13.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Egersund
1
1
D
06.03.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sogndal
1
0
W
26.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sandefjord
1
2
L
22.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
IFK Goteborg
2
4
L
H2H: Strommen vs Stabaek
21.06.26
H2H
Strommen
Stabaek
1
0
W
Last matches: Strommen
27.06.26
1.
Strommen
Moss
3
2
W
31.05.26
1.
Strommen
Sogndal
2
3
L
20.05.26
1.
Strommen
Haugesund
0
7
L
10.05.26
1.
Strommen
hodd
1
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Strommen
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Strommen
Egersund
0
3
L
29.03.26
Fri
Strommen
Grorud
1
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Strommen
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
21.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Skeid
3
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Strommen
Kjelsås
3
2
W
H2H at home: Strommen
21.06.26
H2H
Strommen
Stabaek
1
0
W
Last matches: Stabaek
03.07.26
1.
Stabaek
Ranheim
5
2
W
30.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Moss
2
2
D
20.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sogndal
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Sandnes ULF
1
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Stabaek
Lyn
4
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Stabaek
ODD Ballklubb
2
2
D
05.04.26
1.
Stabaek
Stromsgodset
1
2
L
26.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Sandefjord
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
IFK Goteborg
2
4
L
06.02.26
Fri
Stabaek
Lillestrom
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Stabaek
Grorud
2
1
W
H2H away: Stabaek
21.06.26
H2H
Strommen
Stabaek
1
0
L

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 43:26 17 31
W W L W W
2 14 9 3 2 36:21 15 30
W L D W W
3 14 8 4 2 41:22 19 28
L D D W W
4 14 8 3 3 32:16 16 27
W W L W D
5 14 7 3 4 27:19 8 24
L D D L W
6 14 6 3 5 22:19 3 21
W W D L L
7 14 6 2 6 22:20 2 20
D W W W L
8 14 6 2 6 34:34 0 20
L L W L D
9 14 6 1 7 24:25 -1 19
W L W L L
10 14 5 2 7 19:23 -4 17
D L W W W
11 14 5 2 7 23:32 -9 17
L L L W D
12 14 4 3 7 25:36 -11 15
L W L L W
13 14 4 1 9 17:30 -13 13
W L L L L
14 14 4 1 9 17:31 -14 13
W L W L L
15 14 4 1 9 20:30 -10 12
L W L W L
16 14 3 2 9 18:36 -18 11
L W W L D
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation