FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de la Meinau
Referee: G. Angoula
Strasbourg
Match Timeline
Toulouse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Yaya Diémé
Strasbourg
27'
S. Amo-Ameyaw · Assist: I. Doukoure
Strasbourg
43'
D. Methalie · Assist: C. Casseres
Toulouse
🔄
46'
A. Ouattara ↔ S. El Mourabet
Strasbourg
🟨
56'
Dayann Methalie
Toulouse
🔄
63'
M. Amougou ↔ D. Moreira
Strasbourg
🔄
63'
J. Russell-Rowe ↔ Emersonn
Toulouse
🔄
71'
I. Doukoure ↔ A. Omobamidele
Strasbourg
🔄
72'
Y. Dieme ↔ J. Enciso
Strasbourg
🟨
75'
Alexis Vossah
Toulouse
🔄
77'
D. Methalie ↔ W. Kamanzi
Toulouse
🔄
78'
S. Hidalgo ↔ D. Sidibe
Toulouse
🔄
82'
S. Nanasi ↔ E. Emegha
Strasbourg
🔄
82'
A. Vossah ↔ M. Sauer
Toulouse
🔄
82'
Y. Gboho ↔ I. Azizi
Toulouse
84'
Emersonn · Assist: C. Casseres
Toulouse
🟨
90+7'
Aron Dønnum
Toulouse

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Strasbourg Win 68.5%
Draw 0%
Toulouse Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Strasbourg1.61
Toulouse1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WWDLW
83 GF / 56 GA
Toulouse Toulouse
WLDWL
50 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
29
BTTS Yes
18
30
Over 2.5
19
5.1
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Strasbourg Strasbourg 48 matches
Toulouse Toulouse 36 matches
Strasbourg Statistic Toulouse
25 Wins 12
10 Draws 10
13 Losses 14
83 Goals For 50
56 Goals Against 52
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
29 BTTS Yes 18
37 Over 1.5 24
30 Over 2.5 19
16 Over 3.5 13
13 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 10
5.1 Shots On Goal 4.33
12.38 Total Shots 12.92
4.27 Corners 4.56
55.2% Ball Possession 43.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Strasbourg's more proactive style and Toulouse's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Toulouse. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Toulouse arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Strasbourg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Toulouse in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Toulouse having the stronger overall control.

Strasbourg Analysis

Strasbourg sit 8 with 46 points after 30 league matches. The record of 13 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 49:39 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Panichelli (16 goals), Martial Godo (8 goals), E. Emegha (4 goals), with creative support from G. Doue (6 assists), D. Moreira (5 assists), Valentín Barco (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Toulouse Analysis

Toulouse approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 38 points from 31 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 43:44, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Gboho (8 goals), Emersonn (5 goals), F. Magri (5 goals), with creative support from S. Hidalgo (5 assists), Aron Dønnum (4 assists), D. Sidibe (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Strasbourg won 7 times, Toulouse won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:16 from Strasbourg's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Strasbourg 4-2-3-1 / Toulouse 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Strasbourg 4, Toulouse 3
H2H summary: Strasbourg wins 7, draws 4, Toulouse wins 3
Stats
Strasbourg Strasbourg
Toulouse Toulouse
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
8 Corner Kicks 3
7 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 3
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Goal 6
1 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 9
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
471 Total passes 403
414 Passes accurate 351
0.41 expected_goals 1.36
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Strasbourg
Formation
Toulouse
M. Penders
M. Penders
M. Oyedele
M. Oyedele
I. Doukoure
🎯
I. Doukoure
L. Hogsberg
L. Hogsberg
A. Ouattara
A. Ouattara
S. Amo-Ameyaw
S. Amo-Ameyaw
M. Amougou
M. Amougou
R. Luis
R. Luis
G. Yassine
G. Yassine
S. Nanasi
S. Nanasi
Y. Dieme
Y. Dieme
G. Restes
G. Restes
M. McKenzie
M. McKenzie
C. Cresswell
C. Cresswell
R. Nicolaisen
R. Nicolaisen
A. Donnum
A. Donnum
A. Vossah
A. Vossah
C. Casseres
🎯
C. Casseres
D. Methalie
D. Methalie
S. Hidalgo
S. Hidalgo
Y. Gboho
Y. Gboho
J. Russell-Rowe
J. Russell-Rowe
Strasbourg 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
39
M. Penders
G
8
M. Oyedele
D
6
I. Doukoure
🎯 27' ↓ 71'
D
24
L. Hogsberg
D
42
A. Ouattara
↓ 46'
D
27
S. Amo-Ameyaw
⚽ 27'
M
17
M. Amougou
↓ 63'
M
83
R. Luis
M
80
G. Yassine
M
11
S. Nanasi
↓ 82'
F
34
Y. Dieme
↓ 72' 🟨 20'
F
Substitutes
1
K. Johnsson
G
10
E. Emegha
↑ 82'
F
7
D. Moreira
↑ 63'
F
29
S. El Mourabet
↑ 46'
M
2
A. Omobamidele
↑ 71'
D
19
J. Enciso
↑ 72'
M
18
J. Mwanga
M
45
A. Cisse
D
28
T. Noubissie
M
Toulouse 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Restes
G
3
M. McKenzie
D
4
C. Cresswell
D
2
R. Nicolaisen
D
15
A. Donnum
🟨 90+7'
M
45
A. Vossah
↓ 82' 🟨 75'
M
23
C. Casseres
🎯 43' 🎯 84'
M
24
D. Methalie
⚽ 43' ↓ 77' 🟨 56'
M
11
S. Hidalgo
↓ 78'
F
10
Y. Gboho
↓ 82'
F
13
J. Russell-Rowe
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
16
K. Haug
G
12
W. Kamanzi
↑ 77'
D
77
M. Sauer
↑ 82'
M
44
G. Bakhouche Piernas
D
37
I. Azizi
↑ 82'
F
19
D. Sidibe
↑ 78'
D
20
Emersonn
⚽ 84' ↑ 63'
F
35
S. Koumbassa
D
7
J. Vignolo
F
Last matches: Strasbourg
17.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Monaco
5
4
W
13.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Angers
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
30.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lorient
3
2
W
22.04.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Nice
0
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
3
L
16.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
4
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Nice
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Nantes
3
2
W
19.03.26
UEF
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Paris FC
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
2
1
W
07.03.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Auxerre
0
0
D
03.03.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Reims
2
1
W
27.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lens
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lyon
3
1
W
14.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Marseille
2
2
D
Last matches: Toulouse
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
5
1
W
10.01.26
Cou
Toulouse
Angers
1
1
D
02.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
0
3
L
H2H: Strasbourg vs Toulouse
03.05.26
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
2
L
06.12.25
H2H
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1
0
L
16.03.25
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
2
1
W
12.01.25
H2H
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1
2
W
07.04.24
H2H
Toulouse
Strasbourg
0
0
D
27.08.23
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
2
0
W
29.01.23
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
2
L
23.10.22
H2H
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
2
D
05.02.20
H2H
Toulouse
Strasbourg
0
1
W
07.12.19
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
4
2
W
13.01.19
H2H
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1
2
W
03.11.18
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
1
D
17.03.18
H2H
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
2
D
16.12.17
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
2
1
W
Last matches: Strasbourg
17.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Monaco
5
4
W
07.05.26
UEF
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
22.04.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Nice
0
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
3
L
16.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
4
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Nice
3
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Paris FC
0
0
D
03.03.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Reims
2
1
W
27.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lens
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lyon
3
1
W
05.02.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Monaco
3
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Metz
2
1
W
21.12.25
Cou
Strasbourg
Dunkerque
2
1
W
18.12.25
UEF
Strasbourg
Breidablik
3
1
W
14.12.25
Lig
Strasbourg
Lorient
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
1
2
L
27.11.25
UEF
Strasbourg
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
09.11.25
Lig
Strasbourg
Lille
2
0
W
H2H at home: Strasbourg
03.05.26
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
2
L
16.03.25
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
2
1
W
27.08.23
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
2
0
W
29.01.23
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
2
L
07.12.19
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
4
2
W
03.11.18
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
1
D
16.12.17
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
2
1
W
Last matches: Toulouse
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
10.01.26
Cou
Toulouse
Angers
1
1
D
20.12.25
Cou
Toulouse
Lyon Duchere
2
1
W
13.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
3
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
1
D
25.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
0
1
L
05.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
21.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
1
L
14.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
1
2
L
16.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
1
0
W
17.05.25
Lig
Toulouse
Saint Etienne
3
2
W
H2H away: Toulouse
03.05.26
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
2
W
16.03.25
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
2
1
L
27.08.23
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
2
0
L
29.01.23
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
2
W
07.12.19
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
4
2
L
03.11.18
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
1
D
16.12.17
H2H
Strasbourg
Toulouse
2
1
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Strasbourg 4 missing
-
G. Doue
Missing Fixture Illness
OUT
-
J. Panichelli
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Anselmino
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
V. Barco
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
Toulouse 3 missing
-
A. Francis
Missing Fixture Broken Leg
OUT
-
F. Magri
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
R. Messali
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT