FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade de la Meinau
Referee: R. Buquet
Strasbourg
Match Timeline
Rennes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
E. Lepaul · Assist: S. Szymanski
Rennes
🟨
44'
Sebastian Szymański
Rennes
🔄
46'
D. D. Fofana ↔ M. Godo
Strasbourg
50'
B. Embolo · Assist: E. Lepaul
Rennes
52'
M. Tamari · Assist: L. Blas
Rennes
🔄
57'
M. Oyedele ↔ S. El Mourabet
Strasbourg
🔄
57'
G. Yassine ↔ A. Omobamidele
Strasbourg
🔄
57'
I. Sabaly ↔ J. Enciso
Strasbourg
🔄
68'
M. Tamari ↔ A. Nordin
Rennes
🔄
68'
B. Embolo ↔ D. Cisse
Rennes
🔄
68'
A. Seidu ↔ M. Nagida
Rennes
🔄
82'
S. Nanasi ↔ T. Noubissie
Strasbourg
🔄
82'
M. Camara ↔ G. Kamara
Rennes
🔄
86'
S. Szymanski ↔ Y. Zabiri
Rennes

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Strasbourg Win 44.9%
Draw 8.1%
Rennes Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Strasbourg1.66
Rennes1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WWDLW
80 GF / 48 GA
Rennes Rennes
WLDWL
55 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
28
BTTS Yes
17
28
Over 2.5
22
5.39
Shots on Goal
5.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Strasbourg Strasbourg 44 matches
Rennes Rennes 32 matches
Strasbourg Statistic Rennes
24 Wins 16
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 8
80 Goals For 55
48 Goals Against 45
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
28 BTTS Yes 17
34 Over 1.5 26
28 Over 2.5 22
15 Over 3.5 16
13 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 7
5.39 Shots On Goal 5.06
12.55 Total Shots 14.72
4.39 Corners 6.06
55% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Rennes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Strasbourg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Rennes in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rennes having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Strasbourg Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Strasbourg have collected 43 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 46:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Panichelli (16 goals), Martial Godo (8 goals), E. Emegha (4 goals), with creative support from G. Doue (6 assists), D. Moreira (5 assists), Valentín Barco (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without G. Doue, J. Panichelli, A. Anselmino, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

Rennes Analysis

So far, Rennes have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 50 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 49:41 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Embolo (7 goals), L. Blas (5 goals), Mousa Tamari (4 goals), with creative support from Mousa Tamari (5 assists), Valentin Rongier (5 assists), Q. Merlin (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with P. Frankowski, J. Jacquet, L. Rosier, V. Rongier unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Strasbourg won 3 times, Rennes won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:24 from Strasbourg's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Strasbourg 4-2-3-1 / Rennes 4-4-2
Missing players: Strasbourg 4, Rennes 4
H2H summary: Strasbourg wins 3, draws 2, Rennes wins 9
Stats
Strasbourg Strasbourg
Rennes Rennes
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
7
2 Corner Kicks 9
10 Fouls 12
6 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Goal 9
6 Shots off Goal 10
2 Blocked Shots 7
4 Shots insidebox 19
5 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Goalkeeper Saves 0
492 Total passes 399
422 Passes accurate 327
1.00 expected_goals 4.25
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Strasbourg
Formation
Rennes
M. Penders
M. Penders
A. Cisse
A. Cisse
J. Mwanga
J. Mwanga
L. Hogsberg
L. Hogsberg
R. Luis
R. Luis
M. Oyedele
M. Oyedele
I. Sabaly
I. Sabaly
G. Yassine
G. Yassine
S. Amo-Ameyaw
S. Amo-Ameyaw
S. Nanasi
S. Nanasi
D. D. Fofana
D. D. Fofana
B. Samba
B. Samba
A. Seidu
A. Seidu
A. Ait Boudlal
A. Ait Boudlal
L. Brassier
L. Brassier
Q. Merlin
Q. Merlin
L. Blas
🎯
L. Blas
S. Szymanski
🎯
S. Szymanski
M. Camara
M. Camara
M. Tamari
M. Tamari
E. Lepaul
🎯
E. Lepaul
B. Embolo
B. Embolo
Strasbourg 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
39
M. Penders
G
45
A. Cisse
D
18
J. Mwanga
D
24
L. Hogsberg
D
83
R. Luis
D
8
M. Oyedele
↓ 57'
M
34
I. Sabaly
↓ 57'
M
80
G. Yassine
↓ 57'
M
27
S. Amo-Ameyaw
M
11
S. Nanasi
↓ 82'
M
15
D. D. Fofana
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
K. Johnsson
G
50
S. Bajic
G
20
M. Godo
↑ 46'
F
29
S. El Mourabet
↑ 57'
M
2
A. Omobamidele
↑ 57'
D
19
J. Enciso
↑ 57'
M
35
Y. Becker
D
28
T. Noubissie
↑ 82'
M
33
J. Bosey
F
Rennes 4-4-2
Starting XI
30
B. Samba
G
36
A. Seidu
↓ 68'
D
48
A. Ait Boudlal
D
3
L. Brassier
D
26
Q. Merlin
D
10
L. Blas
🎯 52'
M
17
S. Szymanski
🎯 20' ↓ 86' 🟨 44'
M
45
M. Camara
↓ 82'
M
11
M. Tamari
⚽ 52' ↓ 68'
M
9
E. Lepaul
⚽ 20' 🎯 50'
F
7
B. Embolo
⚽ 50' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
50
M. Silistrie
G
70
A. Nordin
↑ 68'
F
24
A. Rouault
D
77
Y. Zabiri
↑ 86'
F
4
G. Kamara
↑ 82'
M
65
N. Mukiele
F
6
D. Cisse
↑ 68'
M
18
M. Nagida
↑ 68'
D
69
H. Do Marcolino
F
Last matches: Strasbourg
08.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
SC Freiburg
0
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
SV Elversberg
2
5
L
01.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Brighton
3
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Blackburn
0
2
L
20.07.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Sporting CP
0
7
L
17.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Monaco
5
4
W
13.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Angers
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lorient
3
2
W
22.04.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Nice
0
2
L
16.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
4
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Nice
3
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Nantes
3
2
W
19.03.26
UEF
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Paris FC
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
2
1
W
Last matches: Rennes
08.08.26
Fri
Rennes
Brentford
2
4
L
08.08.26
Fri
Rennes
Brentford U21
1
2
L
02.08.26
Fri
Rennes
Galatasaray
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Rennes
Club Brugge KV
2
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Rennes
Guingamp
3
1
W
09.07.26
Fri
Rennes
Caen
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Rennes
Marseille
1
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Rennes
Paris FC
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Rennes
Lyon
2
4
L
26.04.26
Lig
Rennes
Nantes
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Rennes
Angers
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
4
3
W
22.03.26
Lig
Rennes
Metz
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Rennes
Lille
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Rennes
Nice
4
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Toulouse
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Auxerre
3
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
3
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Lens
1
3
L
03.02.26
Cou
Rennes
Marseille
0
3
L
H2H: Strasbourg vs Rennes
19.04.26
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
3
L
02.11.25
H2H
Rennes
Strasbourg
4
1
L
02.02.25
H2H
Rennes
Strasbourg
1
0
L
25.08.24
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
3
1
W
31.03.24
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
2
0
W
29.10.23
H2H
Rennes
Strasbourg
1
1
D
01.02.23
H2H
Rennes
Strasbourg
3
0
L
01.10.22
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
1
3
L
20.04.22
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
2
1
W
24.10.21
H2H
Rennes
Strasbourg
1
0
L
14.03.21
H2H
Rennes
Strasbourg
1
0
L
27.11.20
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
1
1
D
26.04.20
H2H
Rennes
Strasbourg
0
0
D
25.08.19
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
2
L
18.05.19
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
2
L
Last matches: Strasbourg
04.08.26
Fri
Strasbourg
SV Elversberg
2
5
L
25.07.26
Fri
Strasbourg
Blackburn
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Monaco
5
4
W
07.05.26
UEF
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Toulouse
1
2
L
22.04.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Nice
0
2
L
16.04.26
UEF
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
4
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Nice
3
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
Strasbourg
HNK Rijeka
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Paris FC
0
0
D
03.03.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Reims
2
1
W
27.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lens
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Lyon
3
1
W
05.02.26
Cou
Strasbourg
Monaco
3
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
18.01.26
Lig
Strasbourg
Metz
2
1
W
21.12.25
Cou
Strasbourg
Dunkerque
2
1
W
18.12.25
UEF
Strasbourg
Breidablik
3
1
W
14.12.25
Lig
Strasbourg
Lorient
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
1
2
L
H2H at home: Strasbourg
19.04.26
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
3
L
25.08.24
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
3
1
W
31.03.24
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
2
0
W
01.10.22
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
1
3
L
20.04.22
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
2
1
W
27.11.20
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
1
1
D
25.08.19
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
2
L
18.05.19
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
2
L
Last matches: Rennes
02.08.26
Fri
Rennes
Galatasaray
3
3
D
17.05.26
Lig
Rennes
Marseille
1
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Rennes
Lyon
2
4
L
04.04.26
Lig
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
4
3
W
08.03.26
Lig
Rennes
Nice
4
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Auxerre
3
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Rennes
Lens
1
3
L
03.02.26
Cou
Rennes
Marseille
0
3
L
31.01.26
Lig
Rennes
Monaco
0
4
L
11.01.26
Cou
Rennes
Chantilly
3
1
W
03.01.26
Lig
Rennes
Lille
2
0
W
06.12.25
Lig
Rennes
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
28.11.25
Lig
Rennes
Metz
1
0
W
07.11.25
Lig
Rennes
Paris FC
1
0
W
29.10.25
Lig
Rennes
Toulouse
2
2
D
05.10.25
Lig
Rennes
Le Havre
2
2
D
20.09.25
Lig
Rennes
Nantes
2
2
D
31.08.25
Lig
Rennes
Angers
1
1
D
24.08.25
Lig
Rennes
Lorient
0
4
L
17.05.25
Lig
Rennes
Marseille
2
4
L
H2H away: Rennes
19.04.26
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
3
W
25.08.24
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
3
1
L
31.03.24
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
2
0
L
01.10.22
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
1
3
W
20.04.22
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
2
1
L
27.11.20
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
1
1
D
25.08.19
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
2
W
18.05.19
H2H
Strasbourg
Rennes
0
2
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Strasbourg 4 missing
-
G. Doue
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
J. Panichelli
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Anselmino
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
V. Barco
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
Rennes 4 missing
-
P. Frankowski
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Jacquet
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
L. Rosier
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
V. Rongier
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT