FRANCE LIGUE 1
19.04.2026 15:15
Stade de la Meinau
Referee: R. Buquet
Strasbourg
Match Timeline
Rennes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
E. Lepaul · Assist: S. Szymanski
Rennes
🟨
44'
Sebastian Szymański
Rennes
🔄
46'
D. D. Fofana ↔ M. Godo
Strasbourg
50'
B. Embolo · Assist: E. Lepaul
Rennes
52'
M. Tamari · Assist: L. Blas
Rennes
🔄
57'
M. Oyedele ↔ S. El Mourabet
Strasbourg
🔄
57'
G. Yassine ↔ A. Omobamidele
Strasbourg
🔄
57'
I. Sabaly ↔ J. Enciso
Strasbourg
🔄
68'
M. Tamari ↔ A. Nordin
Rennes
🔄
68'
B. Embolo ↔ D. Cisse
Rennes
🔄
68'
A. Seidu ↔ M. Nagida
Rennes
🔄
82'
S. Nanasi ↔ T. Noubissie
Strasbourg
🔄
82'
M. Camara ↔ G. Kamara
Rennes
🔄
86'
S. Szymanski ↔ Y. Zabiri
Rennes

Strasbourg vs Rennes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Strasbourg Win 44.9%
Draw 8.1%
Rennes Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
Strasbourg1.66
Rennes1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WWDLW
80 GF / 48 GA
Rennes Rennes
WLDWL
55 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
28
BTTS Yes
17
28
Over 2.5
22
5.39
Shots on Goal
5.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Strasbourg Strasbourg 44 matches
Rennes Rennes 32 matches
Strasbourg Statistic Rennes
24 Wins 16
10 Draws 8
10 Losses 8
80 Goals For 55
48 Goals Against 45
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
28 BTTS Yes 17
34 Over 1.5 26
28 Over 2.5 22
15 Over 3.5 16
13 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 7
5.39 Shots On Goal 5.06
12.55 Total Shots 14.72
4.39 Corners 6.06
55% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Rennes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Strasbourg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Rennes in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rennes having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Strasbourg Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Strasbourg have collected 43 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 46:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Panichelli (16 goals), Martial Godo (8 goals), E. Emegha (4 goals), with creative support from G. Doue (6 assists), D. Moreira (5 assists), Valentín Barco (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without G. Doue, J. Panichelli, A. Anselmino, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

Rennes Analysis

So far, Rennes have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 50 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 49:41 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Embolo (7 goals), L. Blas (5 goals), Mousa Tamari (4 goals), with creative support from Mousa Tamari (5 assists), Valentin Rongier (5 assists), Q. Merlin (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with P. Frankowski, J. Jacquet, L. Rosier, V. Rongier unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Strasbourg won 3 times, Rennes won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:24 from Strasbourg's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Strasbourg 4-2-3-1 / Rennes 4-4-2
Missing players: Strasbourg 4, Rennes 4
H2H summary: Strasbourg wins 3, draws 2, Rennes wins 9

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
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Relegation