FRANCE LIGUE 1
29.08.2026 15:15
Stade de la Meinau
Referee: Bastien Dechepy, France
Strasbourg
Match Timeline
Lens
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Jeyland Mitchell
Strasbourg
38'
F. Thauvin
Lens
48'
G. Yassine · Assist: S. Nanasi
Strasbourg
VAR
56'
Jacobo Ortega
Strasbourg
🔄
62'
M. Nawrocki ↔ R. Aguilar
Lens
🟨
69'
Franjo Ivanović
Lens
🔄
72'
M. Cuisance ↔ A. Bulatovic
Lens
🔄
73'
F. Ivanovic ↔ T. Hazard
Lens
🔄
76'
G. Reyna ↔ S. Amo-Ameyaw
Strasbourg
🟨
80'
Ruben Aguilar
Lens
🟨
83'
Gessime Yassine
Strasbourg
🔄
83'
L. Hogsberg ↔ K. Coulibaly
Strasbourg
🔄
83'
J. Ortega ↔ S. Mara
Strasbourg
85'
G. Yassine · Assist: S. Nanasi
Strasbourg
🔄
89'
M. Skoras ↔ M. Soares
Lens
🔄
89'
A. Sima ↔ F. Sotoca
Lens
🔄
90'
S. Nanasi ↔ M. Del Blanco
Strasbourg
🔄
90'
G. Yassine ↔ F. Balde
Strasbourg

Strasbourg vs Lens Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.3%
Odds 2.09
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.3%
2.09
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.66
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Strasbourg Win 21%
Draw 23.7%
Lens Win 55.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Strasbourg1.16
Lens2.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Strasbourg Strasbourg
WWDLW
6 GF / 25 GA
Lens Lens
WLDWL
13 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
2.6
3.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
2
Shots on Goal
9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Strasbourg Strasbourg 7 matches
Lens Lens 5 matches
Strasbourg Statistic Lens
0 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
6 Losses 1
6 Goals For 13
25 Goals Against 8
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 2.6
3.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
3 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 1
2 Shots On Goal 9
5 Total Shots 12
4 Corners 4
33% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Strasbourg won 6 times, Lens won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Strasbourg's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (79%)
Predicted formations: Strasbourg 4-3-3 / Lens 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Strasbourg 6, Lens 6
H2H summary: Strasbourg wins 6, draws 4, Lens wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 3 3 0 0 5:1 4 9
W W W
2 3 2 1 0 6:2 4 7
W D W
3 3 2 1 0 5:2 3 7
W D W
4 2 1 1 0 3:0 3 4
W D
5 2 1 1 0 5:4 1 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
W D
7
Lens Away
2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
8 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 2:5 -3 3
W L
11 2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
12 3 0 2 1 5:6 -1 2
L D D
13 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
15 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
16 3 0 1 2 2:5 -3 1
L D L
17 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
L D
18 3 0 0 3 4:11 -7 0
L L L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation