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29.08.2026 15:15
Stade de la Meinau
Referee: Bastien Dechepy, France
Strasbourg
Match Timeline
Lens
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Jeyland Mitchell
Strasbourg
⚽
38'
Florian Thauvin
Lens
⚽
48'
Gessime Yassine · Assist: Sebastian Nanasi
Strasbourg
VAR
56'
Jacobo Ortega
Strasbourg
🔄
62'
Maik Nawrocki ↔ Ruben Aguilar
Lens
🟨
69'
Franjo Ivanović
Lens
🔄
72'
Michaël Cuisance ↔ Andrija Bulatović
Lens
🔄
73'
Franjo Ivanović ↔ Thorgan Hazard
Lens
🔄
76'
Giovanni Reyna ↔ Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
Strasbourg
🟨
80'
Ruben Aguilar
Lens
🟨
83'
Gessime Yassine
Strasbourg
🔄
83'
Jacobo Ortega ↔ Sékou Mara
Strasbourg
🔄
83'
Lucas Høgsberg ↔ Karim Coulibaly
Strasbourg
⚽
85'
Gessime Yassine · Assist: Sebastian Nanasi
Strasbourg
🔄
89'
Michał Skóraś ↔ Mezian Mesloub
Lens
🔄
89'
Abdallah Sima ↔ Florian Sotoca
Lens
🔄
90'
Gessime Yassine ↔ Fabio Baldé
Strasbourg
🔄
90'
Sebastian Nanasi ↔ Mateo Del Blanco
Strasbourg

Strasbourg vs Lens Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Strasbourg Win 21%
Draw 23.7%
Lens Win 55.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Strasbourg1.16
Lens2.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Strasbourg Strasbourg
L D L L L
6 GF / 16 GA
Lens Lens
W L D W W
13 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
2.6
3.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
2
Shots on Goal
9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Strasbourg Strasbourg 7 matches
Lens Lens 5 matches
Strasbourg Statistic Lens
0 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
6 Losses 1
6 Goals For 13
25 Goals Against 8
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 2.6
3.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
3 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 1
2 Shots On Goal 9
5 Total Shots 12
4 Corners 4
33% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Strasbourg won 6 times, Lens won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Strasbourg's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (79%)
Predicted formations: Strasbourg 4-3-3 / Lens 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Strasbourg 6, Lens 6
H2H summary: Strasbourg wins 6, draws 4, Lens wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 21:10 11 20
W W W W W
2 9 5 3 1 12:6 6 18
W D D W L
3 9 5 2 2 15:7 8 17
W L W L W
4 9 5 2 2 16:10 6 17
W L W L W
5 9 5 1 3 20:19 1 16
L W L W L
6 9 5 0 4 20:13 7 15
W W W W L
7 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
L D L D W
8 9 4 2 3 13:12 1 14
W W L W W
9
Lens Away
9 4 1 4 16:13 3 13
L W W W L
10 9 3 3 3 16:12 4 12
W L D W L
11 9 3 3 3 7:8 -1 12
L D W W L
12 9 2 4 3 12:13 -1 10
L D W D W
13 9 3 1 5 17:19 -2 10
W L L L L
14 9 3 1 5 13:23 -10 10
L D W L W
15 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L D L L W
16 9 2 2 5 7:16 -9 8
W D L L L
17 9 1 4 4 11:18 -7 7
L D L L W
18 9 0 2 7 9:20 -11 2
L L L L L
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Relegation