ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
19.09.2026 11:30
bet365 Stadium
Referee: Tim Robinson
Stoke City
Match Timeline
Sheffield Utd
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Kalvin Phillips
Sheffield Utd
🟨
32'
Justin Devenny
Stoke City
🟨
43'
Maksym Taloverov
Stoke City
51'
Kalvin Phillips
Sheffield Utd
🟨
54'
Oliver Arblaster
Sheffield Utd
🟨
63'
Ethan Galbraith
Stoke City
🟨
63'
Eric Junior Bocat
Stoke City
🟨
63'
Liam Kitching
Sheffield Utd
🔄
64'
Lamine Cissé ↔ George Hirst
Stoke City
🔄
64'
El Hadji Soumare ↔ Sam Gallagher
Stoke City
🔄
65'
Maksym Taloverov ↔ Junior Tchamadeu
Stoke City
🔄
67'
Oliver Arblaster ↔ Thomas Cannon
Sheffield Utd
🟨
69'
Rhys Norrington-Davies
Sheffield Utd
78'
Jack Mcglynn · Assist: Junior Tchamadeu
Stoke City
🔄
80'
Hamza Choudhury ↔ Jamie Shackleton
Sheffield Utd
🔄
80'
Ben Brereton ↔ Tahith Chong
Sheffield Utd
🔄
80'
Patrick Bamford ↔ Jordan Ayew
Sheffield Utd
🔄
80'
Eric Junior Bocat ↔ Luca Bombino
Stoke City
🔄
80'
Justin Devenny ↔ Million·Manhoef
Stoke City
86'
Sam Gallagher · Assist: Ethan Galbraith
Stoke City
🔄
88'
Jamal Baptiste ↔ Romelle Donovan
Sheffield Utd

Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.8%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.98
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.8%
1.30
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.98
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.5%
1.17
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Stoke City Win 43.1%
Draw 13.2%
Sheffield Utd Win 43.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stoke City1.13
Sheffield Utd1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stoke City Stoke City
WWDLW
14 GF / 14 GA
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
WLDWL
18 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
7
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
3.86
Shots on Goal
3.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City Stoke City 11 matches
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 13 matches
Stoke City Statistic Sheffield Utd
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 2
14 Goals For 18
14 Goals Against 12
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 5
3.86 Shots On Goal 3.14
12.14 Total Shots 8.29
4 Corners 3.14
44.3% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stoke City expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Sheffield Utd in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sheffield Utd having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sheffield Utd. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Stoke City Analysis

With 7 points from 6 games and a place of 15, Stoke City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 9:10 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Galbraith (2 goals), J. Devenny (2 goals), E. Bocat (1 goals), with creative support from E. Bocat (2 assists), S. Gallagher (1 assists), R. Boženík (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sheffield Utd Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Sheffield Utd have collected 9 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Cannon (2 goals), Sydie Peck (1 goals), P. Bamford (1 goals), with creative support from Sydie Peck (1 assists), P. Bamford (1 assists), J. Rothwell (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 2 times, Sheffield Utd won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:19 from Stoke City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Stoke City 3-5-2 / Sheffield Utd 4-4-2
Missing players: Stoke City 4, Sheffield Utd 5
H2H summary: Stoke City wins 2, draws 2, Sheffield Utd wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One