ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
21.01.2026 20:00
Bet365 Stadium
Referee: Adam Herczeg, England
Stoke City
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
T. Rigo · Assist: L. Cisse
Stoke City
🟨
45+2'
Bosun Lawal
Stoke City
🔄
46'
A. Gilbert ↔ D. Burgzorg
Middlesbrough
🔄
46'
S. Silvera ↔ L. Castledine
Middlesbrough
⚽
48'
A. Browne · Assist: M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🟨
52'
Luke Ayling
Middlesbrough
⚽
59'
T. Conway · Assist: A. Browne
Middlesbrough
🟨
66'
Ben Pearson
Stoke City
🔄
67'
M. Manhoef ↔ T. Seko
Stoke City
🔄
75'
B. Pearson ↔ E. Bocat
Stoke City
🟨
77'
Bosun Lawal
Stoke City
🟥
77'
Bosun Lawal
Stoke City
🔄
79'
M. Whittaker ↔ S. Nypan
Middlesbrough
🔄
90+2'
T. Conway ↔ D. Fry
Middlesbrough

Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Stoke City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stoke City1.15
Middlesbrough1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stoke City Stoke City
WWDLW
33 GF / 23 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
41 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.46
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
9
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
15
3.96
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City Stoke City 28 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 28 matches
Stoke City Statistic Middlesbrough
13 Wins 14
5 Draws 7
10 Losses 7
33 Goals For 41
23 Goals Against 31
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
9 BTTS Yes 16
15 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 7
3.96 Shots On Goal 4.11
11.57 Total Shots 14.11
5.89 Corners 6.11
53.6% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 4 times, Middlesbrough won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Stoke City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Stoke City 4-2-3-1 / Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stoke City wins 4, draws 4, Middlesbrough wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation