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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Stoke City
FT
1 - 2
Middlesbrough
Bet365 Stadium
Referee: Adam Herczeg, England
Stoke City
Match Timeline
Middlesbrough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
T. Rigo · Assist: L. Cisse
Stoke City
🟨
45+2'
Bosun Lawal
Stoke City
🔄
46'
A. Gilbert ↔ D. Burgzorg
Middlesbrough
🔄
46'
S. Silvera ↔ L. Castledine
Middlesbrough
⚽
48'
A. Browne · Assist: M. Whittaker
Middlesbrough
🟨
52'
Luke Ayling
Middlesbrough
⚽
59'
T. Conway · Assist: A. Browne
Middlesbrough
🟨
66'
Ben Pearson
Stoke City
🔄
67'
M. Manhoef ↔ T. Seko
Stoke City
🔄
75'
B. Pearson ↔ E. Bocat
Stoke City
🟨
77'
Bosun Lawal
Stoke City
🟥
77'
Bosun Lawal
Stoke City
🔄
79'
M. Whittaker ↔ S. Nypan
Middlesbrough
🔄
90+2'
T. Conway ↔ D. Fry
Middlesbrough

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Stoke City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stoke City1.15
Middlesbrough1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stoke City Stoke City
WWDLW
33 GF / 23 GA
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
WLDWL
41 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.46
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
9
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
15
3.96
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City Stoke City 28 matches
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 28 matches
Stoke City Statistic Middlesbrough
13 Wins 14
5 Draws 7
10 Losses 7
33 Goals For 41
23 Goals Against 31
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
9 BTTS Yes 16
15 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 15
3 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 7
3.96 Shots On Goal 4.11
11.57 Total Shots 14.11
5.89 Corners 6.11
53.6% Ball Possession 56.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 4 times, Middlesbrough won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Stoke City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Stoke City 4-2-3-1 / Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stoke City wins 4, draws 4, Middlesbrough wins 7
Stats
Stoke City Stoke City
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 4
11 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 4
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 8
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
332 Total passes 497
256 Passes accurate 416
0.81 expected_goals 1.22
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Stoke City
Formation
Middlesbrough
T. Simkin
T. Simkin
M. Talovierov
M. Talovierov
A. Phillips
A. Phillips
B. Wilmot
B. Wilmot
B. Lawal
B. Lawal
T. Rigo
⚽
T. Rigo
B. Pearson
↓
B. Pearson
M. Manhoef
↓
M. Manhoef
J. Bae
J. Bae
S. Thomas
S. Thomas
L. Cisse
🎯
L. Cisse
S. Brynn
S. Brynn
A. Browne
⚽ 🎯
A. Browne
L. Ayling
L. Ayling
A. Malanda
A. Malanda
M. Targett
M. Targett
H. Hackney
H. Hackney
A. Morris
A. Morris
S. Silvera
↓
S. Silvera
M. Whittaker
🎯 ↓
M. Whittaker
A. Gilbert
↓
A. Gilbert
T. Conway
⚽ ↓
T. Conway
Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
T. Simkin
G
40
M. Talovierov
D
26
A. Phillips
D
16
B. Wilmot
D
18
B. Lawal
19
T. Rigo
⚽ 15'
M
4
B. Pearson
↓ 75' 🟨 66'
M
42
M. Manhoef
↓ 67'
M
10
J. Bae
M
7
S. Thomas
M
29
L. Cisse
🎯 15'
F
Substitutes
17
E. Bocat
↑ 75'
D
3
A. Cresswell
D
47
J. Griffin
D
34
F. Fielding
G
41
J. Dixon
D
15
S. N'Zonzi
M
55
R. Curley
M
12
T. Seko
↑ 67'
M
56
F. Fawunmi
F
Middlesbrough 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
S. Brynn
G
16
A. Browne
⚽ 48' 🎯 59'
D
12
L. Ayling
🟨 52'
D
29
A. Malanda
D
3
M. Targett
D
7
H. Hackney
M
18
A. Morris
M
22
S. Silvera
↓ 46'
M
11
M. Whittaker
🎯 48' ↓ 79'
M
14
A. Gilbert
↓ 46'
M
9
T. Conway
⚽ 59' ↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
33
J. McLaughlin
G
6
D. Fry
↑ 90+2'
D
10
D. Burgzorg
↑ 46'
F
15
F. Munroe
D
19
S. Nypan
↑ 79'
M
23
L. Castledine
↑ 46'
M
27
S. Hansen
F
28
L. McCabe
M
44
C. Ibeh
F
Last matches: Stoke City
01.08.26
Fri
Stoke City
Valencia
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
Last matches: Middlesbrough
01.08.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Espanyol
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Huddersfield
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
H2H: Stoke City vs Middlesbrough
21.01.26
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
30.09.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
0
D
25.02.25
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
28.09.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
0
L
27.08.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
5
W
02.03.24
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
28.10.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
2
W
14.03.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
1
1
D
17.08.22
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
30.04.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
3
1
L
11.12.21
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
13.03.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
3
0
L
05.12.20
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
27.06.20
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
2
L
20.12.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
L
Last matches: Stoke City
01.08.26
Fri
Stoke City
Valencia
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
QPR
0
0
D
10.01.26
FA
Stoke City
Coventry
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
2
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
3
0
W
H2H at home: Stoke City
21.01.26
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.02.25
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
02.03.24
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
17.08.22
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
11.12.21
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
05.12.20
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
27.06.20
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
2
L
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
16.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
West Brom
3
2
W
10.01.26
FA
Middlesbrough
Fulham
1
3
L
01.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
0
2
L
09.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
2
1
W
05.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
4
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
1
1
D
04.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
0
3
L
H2H away: Middlesbrough
21.01.26
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
W
25.02.25
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
3
W
02.03.24
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
2
0
L
17.08.22
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
11.12.21
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
05.12.20
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
27.06.20
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
2
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough Away
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City Home
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation