SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
20.09.2026 13:00
Danderyd IP
Stocksund
Match Timeline
Umeå FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
32'
R. Hadad ↔ I. Johansson
Umeå FC
54'
E. Yeboah
Umeå FC
🟨
63'
A. Floric
Stocksund
🔄
67'
M. Vogele ↔ C. Selfven
Stocksund
🔄
67'
S. Forsman ↔ H. Hassan
Umeå FC
🔄
68'
M. Njie ↔ A. Shakir
Umeå FC
🔄
73'
C. Royo ↔ K. Engstrom
Stocksund
80'
N. Linden
Umeå FC
🔄
81'
E. Yeboah ↔ T. Lindgren
Umeå FC
🔄
81'
N. Linden ↔ A. Sandstrom
Umeå FC
🔄
85'
N. Wagberg ↔ D. Hussein
Stocksund
89'
Z. Bawa
Umeå FC

Stocksund vs Umeå FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.9%
Odds 2.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.9%
2.55
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.10
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Stocksund Win 54.9%
Draw 6.1%
Umeå FC Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stocksund1.65
Umeå FC1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stocksund Stocksund
WWDLW
54 GF / 75 GA
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WLDWL
48 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.45
2.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
24
BTTS Yes
18
24
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stocksund Stocksund 31 matches
Umeå FC Umeå FC 33 matches
Stocksund Statistic Umeå FC
5 Wins 12
7 Draws 6
19 Losses 15
54 Goals For 48
75 Goals Against 50
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
2.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
24 BTTS Yes 18
28 Over 1.5 26
24 Over 2.5 19
16 Over 3.5 14
1 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Umeå FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Stocksund have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Umeå FC having the stronger overall control.

Stocksund Analysis

With 14 points from 21 games and a place of 16, Stocksund still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 41:50, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Umeå FC Analysis

Umeå FC are currently 11 in the standings with 23 points from 20 matches. The record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 26:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Stocksund won 1 times, Umeå FC won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Stocksund's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
H2H summary: Stocksund wins 1, draws 2, Umeå FC wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 3 4 53:19 34 48
W W W W W
2 22 13 4 5 41:29 12 43
W W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
9 22 8 4 10 29:36 -7 28
L W L D L
10 22 8 3 11 28:41 -13 27
L W L D W
11 22 7 5 10 28:37 -9 26
W L W W D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 22 3 5 14 43:55 -12 14
L W L L L