SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
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Danderyd IP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48%
Odds 1.98
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.40
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48%
1.98
BTTS Yes
75%
1.40
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.42
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Stocksund Win 35.7%
Draw 16.4%
Arlanda Win 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stocksund1.61
Arlanda2.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stocksund Stocksund
WWDLW
47 GF / 64 GA
Arlanda Arlanda
WLDWL
48 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.85
2.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
20
BTTS Yes
17
20
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stocksund Stocksund 27 matches
Arlanda Arlanda 26 matches
Stocksund Statistic Arlanda
4 Wins 11
7 Draws 9
16 Losses 6
47 Goals For 48
64 Goals Against 37
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
2.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
20 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 18
20 Over 2.5 15
14 Over 3.5 13
1 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Arlanda's more proactive style and Stocksund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Arlanda. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arlanda having the stronger overall control. Arlanda carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 30 points while Stocksund sit 15 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Stocksund have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Stocksund Analysis

With 11 points from 17 games and a place of 15, Stocksund still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 33:40 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arlanda Analysis

Placed 4 with 30 points from 17 outings, Arlanda continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, while the 25:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Stocksund won 2 times, Arlanda won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Stocksund's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 4.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
H2H summary: Stocksund wins 2, draws 1, Arlanda wins 2
Last matches: Stocksund
23.08.26
Ett
Stocksund
Vasalund
3
4
L
15.08.26
Ett
Stocksund
Karlberg
0
2
L
08.08.26
Ett
Stocksund
Gefle IF
5
0
W
01.08.26
Ett
Stocksund
Karlberg
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Stocksund
Sollentuna
1
1
D
27.06.26
Ett
Stocksund
Gefle IF
1
2
L
18.06.26
Ett
Stocksund
Arlanda
0
1
L
13.06.26
Ett
Stocksund
Sollentuna
3
3
D
08.06.26
Ett
Stocksund
Järfälla
6
1
W
31.05.26
Ett
Stocksund
Umeå FC
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ett
Stocksund
Assyriska FF
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ett
Stocksund
Piteå
2
3
L
14.05.26
Ett
Stocksund
IF Karlstad
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ett
Stocksund
Stockholm Internazionale
1
6
L
01.05.26
Ett
Stocksund
Vasalund
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ett
Stocksund
FBK Karlstad
0
1
L
20.04.26
Ett
Stocksund
AFC Eskilstuna
4
4
D
11.04.26
Ett
Stocksund
Hammarby Talang
2
4
L
04.04.26
Ett
Stocksund
Enköping
2
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Stocksund
Vasalund
2
1
W
Last matches: Arlanda
23.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
FBK Karlstad
5
1
W
16.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stockholm Internazionale
1
4
L
09.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Piteå
0
0
D
03.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Hammarby Talang
1
5
L
25.07.26
Fri
Arlanda
Haninge
6
1
W
27.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
IF Karlstad
1
0
W
18.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stocksund
1
0
W
13.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Järfälla
3
2
W
07.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Assyriska FF
2
0
W
01.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Gefle IF
2
3
L
23.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
FBK Karlstad
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
AFC Eskilstuna
0
0
D
13.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Karlberg
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Sollentuna
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Piteå
2
1
W
24.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Enköping
7
1
W
18.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stockholm Internazionale
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Umeå FC
1
0
W
03.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Vasalund
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Arlanda
Sollentuna
2
2
D
H2H: Stocksund vs Arlanda
18.06.26
H2H
Arlanda
Stocksund
1
0
L
03.08.25
H2H
Stocksund
Arlanda
2
1
W
23.05.25
H2H
Arlanda
Stocksund
5
3
L
12.10.21
H2H
Stocksund
Arlanda
5
2
W
23.06.21
H2H
Arlanda
Stocksund
1
1
D
Last matches: Stocksund
08.08.26
Ett
Stocksund
Gefle IF
5
0
W
01.08.26
Ett
Stocksund
Karlberg
0
2
L
13.06.26
Ett
Stocksund
Sollentuna
3
3
D
23.05.26
Ett
Stocksund
Assyriska FF
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ett
Stocksund
Piteå
2
3
L
09.05.26
Ett
Stocksund
Stockholm Internazionale
1
6
L
01.05.26
Ett
Stocksund
Vasalund
2
2
D
20.04.26
Ett
Stocksund
AFC Eskilstuna
4
4
D
11.04.26
Ett
Stocksund
Hammarby Talang
2
4
L
28.03.26
Fri
Stocksund
Vasalund
2
1
W
22.03.26
Fri
Stocksund
Piteå
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Stocksund
Sollentuna
0
2
L
H2H at home: Stocksund
03.08.25
H2H
Stocksund
Arlanda
2
1
W
12.10.21
H2H
Stocksund
Arlanda
5
2
W
Last matches: Arlanda
16.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Stockholm Internazionale
1
4
L
03.08.26
Ett
Arlanda
Hammarby Talang
1
5
L
13.06.26
Ett
Arlanda
Järfälla
3
2
W
23.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
FBK Karlstad
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
AFC Eskilstuna
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ett
Arlanda
Piteå
2
1
W
24.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Enköping
7
1
W
12.04.26
Ett
Arlanda
Umeå FC
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Arlanda
Sollentuna
2
2
D
07.03.26
Fri
Arlanda
AFC Eskilstuna
1
4
L
21.02.26
Fri
Arlanda
Enköping
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
Arlanda
Assyriska FF
1
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Arlanda
Karlberg
2
3
L
25.01.26
Fri
Arlanda
Vasalund
2
3
L
H2H away: Arlanda
03.08.25
H2H
Stocksund
Arlanda
2
1
L
12.10.21
H2H
Stocksund
Arlanda
5
2
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.98
Draw 3.90
Home 2.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.51
Over 3.0 1.65
Over 3.25 1.88
Over 3.5 2.08
Over 3.75 2.34
Over 4.0 2.79
Under 2.5 2.67
Under 2.75 2.40
Under 3.0 2.15
Under 3.25 1.88
Under 3.5 1.69
Under 3.75 1.54
Under 4.0 1.39
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.05
Draw 3.75
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.50
Home 3.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.99
Draw 3.80
Home 3.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.46
Draw 2.42
Home 3.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.29
Draw 2.83
Home 3.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 1.75 1.10
Over 2.0 1.12
Over 2.25 1.26
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 2.75 1.47
Over 3.0 1.59
Over 3.25 1.84
Over 3.5 2.04
Over 3.75 2.31
Over 4.0 2.70
Over 4.25 2.97
Over 4.5 3.28
Over 4.75 3.98
Over 5.0 5.25
Over 5.25 5.55
Over 5.5 5.90
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 16.50
Under 1.5 5.55
Under 1.75 5.10
Under 2.0 4.65
Under 2.25 3.20
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 2.75 2.35
Under 3.0 2.10
Under 3.25 1.86
Under 3.5 1.69
Under 3.75 1.54
Under 4.0 1.36
Under 4.25 1.30
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 4.75 1.17
Under 5.0 1.09
Under 5.25 1.08
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.08
Draw 3.55
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.50
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 3.5 1.97
Over 4.5 3.15
Under 2.5 2.65
Under 3.5 1.68
Under 4.5 1.28

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
2 18 11 3 4 38:17 21 36
W W L W W
3 18 11 3 4 29:15 14 36
L L W W L
4 18 9 6 3 30:20 10 33
W L D L W
5 18 9 4 5 31:25 6 31
W W W W W
6 18 9 2 7 27:28 -1 29
D L W L L
7 18 8 4 6 27:28 -1 28
L W D L L
8 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
9 18 6 5 7 30:31 -1 23
L W W W W
10 18 6 5 7 28:35 -7 23
W D W D L
11 18 7 2 9 23:35 -12 23
W W L W W
12 18 4 8 6 17:25 -8 20
W W L D L
13 18 4 5 9 21:30 -9 17
D L L L L
14 18 4 3 11 23:39 -16 15
L L L L W
15 18 2 6 10 18:36 -18 12
D D D L L
16 18 2 5 11 36:44 -8 11
L L W L L