Stockport County vs Stevenage Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
29.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Stockport County
Stevenage
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Stockport County
49 matches
Stevenage
48 matches
| Stockport County | Statistic | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 21 |
| 12 | Draws | 12 |
| 13 | Losses | 15 |
| 75 | Goals For | 49 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.02 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 29 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 29 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 19 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 3.53 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 9.85 |
| 5.19 | Corners | 4.38 |
| 54.2% | Ball Possession | 44.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Stockport County hold an advantage after winning the first leg 1-0, so Stevenage now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Stockport County had more of the ball in the first leg (60% possession compared to 40%). both sides produced the same number of shots on target. Stockport County also attempted more passes (355 to 234) and completed 256. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stevenage having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Stevenage.
Ahead of this knockout test, Stockport County arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 77 points after 46 matches. The return of 22 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 71:58 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by K. Wootton (20 goals), O. Norwood (8 goals), N. Lowe (7 goals), with creative support from O. Norwood (11 assists), Jack Diamond (7 assists), B. Osborn (5 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Stevenage enter this tie with a season profile built on 75 points from 46 matches, placing them 6 in their league. Their record of 21 wins, 12 draws, and 13 defeats with goals at 49:46 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on J. Reid (14 goals), Daniel Kemp (7 goals), C. Campbell (4 goals), with creative support from H. White (7 assists), Daniel Kemp (4 assists), J. Reid (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, which supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Stockport County won 4 times, Stevenage won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Stockport County's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Stockport County
Home
|
46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Stevenage
Away
|
46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|