ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
28.04.2026 18:45
Edgeley Park
Referee: A. Chilowicz
Stockport County
Match Timeline
Port Vale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
M. Sherif · Assist: B. Waine
Port Vale
⚽
23'
J. Lawrence-Gabriel · Assist: G. Hall
Port Vale
🟨
36'
Che Gardner
Stockport County
🔄
46'
J. Stokes ↔ T. Edun
Stockport County
🔄
46'
M. Mothersille ↔ L. Barry
Stockport County
🔄
46'
C. Gardner ↔ C. Grogan
Stockport County
🔄
46'
B. Waine ↔ O. Hernandez
Port Vale
🔄
46'
G. Hall ↔ E. Archer
Port Vale
🔄
65'
J. Diamond ↔ L. Bate
Stockport County
🔄
65'
A. Sidibeh ↔ B. Andresson
Stockport County
🔄
76'
G. Ward ↔ B. Heneghan
Port Vale
⚽
86'
O. Bailey · Assist: O. Norwood
Stockport County
🔄
89'
R. Walters ↔ R. Croasdale
Port Vale
🔄
89'
M. Sherif ↔ G. Byers
Port Vale
🟨
90+1'
Ben Osborn
Stockport County

Stockport County vs Port Vale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 89%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 48.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 31.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
89%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
48.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
31.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stockport County Win 89%
Draw 0%
Port Vale Win 11%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stockport County1.44
Port Vale1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stockport County Stockport County
WWDLW
70 GF / 56 GA
Port Vale Port Vale
WLDWL
43 GF / 66 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
27
BTTS Yes
16
27
Over 2.5
19
4.64
Shots on Goal
3.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stockport County Stockport County 46 matches
Port Vale Port Vale 50 matches
Stockport County Statistic Port Vale
22 Wins 14
12 Draws 12
12 Losses 24
70 Goals For 43
56 Goals Against 66
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
27 BTTS Yes 16
36 Over 1.5 25
27 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 12
13 Clean Sheets 17
9 Failed To Score 24
4.64 Shots On Goal 3.1
12.96 Total Shots 10.94
4.91 Corners 5
54% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Stockport County's more proactive style and Port Vale's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Port Vale. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Stockport County arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 74 points compared to Port Vale in 23 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Stockport County Analysis

Placed 4 with 74 points from 44 outings, Stockport County continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 21 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 67:55 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Wootton (20 goals), N. Lowe (7 goals), O. Norwood (7 goals), with creative support from O. Norwood (10 assists), Jack Diamond (7 assists), B. Osborn (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Port Vale Analysis

Port Vale sit 23 with 39 points after 44 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 23 losses, together with goals at 34:58, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Tolaj (17 goals), D. Cole (6 goals), R. Croasdale (4 goals), with creative support from L. Tolaj (6 assists), R. Curtis (6 assists), J. Shipley (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Stockport County won 2 times, Port Vale won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Stockport County's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Stockport County 4-2-3-1 / Port Vale 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stockport County wins 2, draws 0, Port Vale wins 2

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two