ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
25.04.2026 11:30
Edgeley Park
Referee: J. Miles
Stockport County
Match Timeline
Peterborough
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
H. Leonard · Assist: B. Shofowoke
Peterborough
28'
L. Barry · Assist: A. Sidibeh
Stockport County
🟨
45+1'
Harley Mills
Peterborough
48'
L. Barry · Assist: T. Edun
Stockport County
🟨
53'
Odin Bailey
Stockport County
🟨
57'
Adetayo Edun
Stockport County
64'
L. Barry · Assist: O. Norwood
Stockport County
🔄
65'
J. Morgan ↔ B. Woods
Peterborough
🔄
65'
M. Garbett ↔ D. Kamara
Peterborough
🔄
73'
L. Barry ↔ J. Diamond
Stockport County
🔄
73'
O. Bailey ↔ L. Bate
Stockport County
🔄
77'
A. Sidibeh ↔ T. Olaofe
Stockport County
🔄
78'
M. Mothersille ↔ L. Fiorini
Stockport County
🔄
80'
H. Mills ↔ J. Mendy
Peterborough
🔄
80'
K. Lisbie ↔ C. Hayes
Peterborough
🔄
85'
C. Gardner ↔ B. Osborn
Stockport County

Stockport County vs Peterborough Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
84.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Stockport County Win 81.1%
Draw 5%
Peterborough Win 14%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stockport County1.45
Peterborough1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stockport County Stockport County
WWDLW
67 GF / 55 GA
Peterborough Peterborough
WLDWL
63 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
26
BTTS Yes
25
26
Over 2.5
24
4.5
Shots on Goal
3.98

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stockport County Stockport County 45 matches
Peterborough Peterborough 45 matches
Stockport County Statistic Peterborough
21 Wins 16
12 Draws 7
12 Losses 22
67 Goals For 63
55 Goals Against 63
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
26 BTTS Yes 25
35 Over 1.5 35
26 Over 2.5 24
10 Over 3.5 10
13 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 10
4.5 Shots On Goal 3.98
12.61 Total Shots 11.56
4.86 Corners 4.2
53.9% Ball Possession 54.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Peterborough. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Peterborough arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Stockport County arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 71 points compared to Peterborough in 17 on 52, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Stockport County Analysis

Stockport County arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 71 points after 43 matches. The record of 20 wins, 11 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 59:50 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Wootton (20 goals), N. Lowe (7 goals), O. Norwood (7 goals), with creative support from O. Norwood (9 assists), Jack Diamond (7 assists), B. Osborn (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Peterborough Analysis

Peterborough sit 17 with 52 points after 43 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 21 losses, together with goals at 60:58, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through H. Leonard (14 goals), J. Morgan (12 goals), Kyrell Lisbie (11 goals), with creative support from Archie Collins (7 assists), Kyrell Lisbie (6 assists), H. Leonard (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Stockport County won 2 times, Peterborough won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Stockport County's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Stockport County 4-2-3-1 / Peterborough 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stockport County wins 2, draws 1, Peterborough wins 1

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two