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10.10.2026 14:00
Referee: H. M. Jonasson
Stjarnan
Match Timeline
KA Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
G. Nokkvason
Stjarnan
⚽
33'
H. Steingrimsson
KA Akureyri
⚽
38'
A. Palsson · Assist: J. Arnason
KA Akureyri
🔄
58'
B. Ingason ↔ A. Hauksson
Stjarnan
🔄
58'
I. Turay ↔ J. Gunnarsson
Stjarnan
🔄
58'
E. Atlason ↔ A. Bjarnason
Stjarnan
🔄
64'
M. Thordarson ↔ J. Robertsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
64'
A. Palsson ↔ V. Saevarsson
KA Akureyri
🟥
68'
B. Waren
Stjarnan
⚽
70'
V. Saevarsson · Assist: H. Gudmundsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
79'
S. T. Ingimarsson ↔ S. Jonsson
Stjarnan
🔄
79'
O. Eggertsson ↔ A. Vilhjalmsson
Stjarnan
🔄
79'
B. Baldvinsson ↔ H. Steingrimsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
79'
J. Pedersen ↔ D. Djuric
KA Akureyri
🟨
83'
B. Hauksson
Stjarnan
🔄
83'
H. Steingrimsson ↔ S. Johannsson
KA Akureyri

Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stjarnan Win 77.1%
Draw 4.8%
KA Akureyri Win 18%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stjarnan1.97
KA Akureyri1.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stjarnan Stjarnan
L W D W W
12 GF / 9 GA
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
W L W D L
10 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.6
2.07
Average Goals Conceded
2.08
23
BTTS Yes
16
23
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stjarnan Stjarnan 30 matches
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 25 matches
Stjarnan Statistic KA Akureyri
13 Wins 7
5 Draws 5
12 Losses 13
57 Goals For 40
62 Goals Against 52
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
2.07 Avg Goals Conceded 2.08
23 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 21
23 Over 2.5 18
20 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward KA Akureyri. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KA Akureyri having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Stjarnan Analysis

Stjarnan are currently 7 in the standings with 28 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 42:50 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

KA Akureyri Analysis

So far, KA Akureyri have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 20 points from 22 matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 35:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Stjarnan won 3 times, KA Akureyri won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:7 from Stjarnan's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Stjarnan wins 3, draws 2, KA Akureyri wins 0

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W D W W D
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
L L D L D
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W W L W L
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L W L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W D W L W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L D L L
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L L L W D
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W L D W W
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
L W W W L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
W W L L W
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
L W W L W
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs