ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. I. Jonsson
Stjarnan
Match Timeline
KA Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
E. Atlason
Stjarnan
21'
B. Waren · Assist: O. Eggertsson
Stjarnan
🟨
41'
G. Kjeldsen
Stjarnan
51'
H. Steingrimsson · Assist: O. Heidarsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
56'
D. Djuric
KA Akureyri
🔄
59'
D. Dankerlui ↔ T. Thorisson
Stjarnan
🔄
65'
D. Djuric ↔ D. Montiel
KA Akureyri
🔄
65'
J. Arnason ↔ J. Robertsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
67'
K. Gautason
KA Akureyri
🟨
68'
B. Baldvinsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
70'
O. Eggertsson ↔ A. Hauksson
Stjarnan
🔄
70'
B. Waren ↔ D. Matthiasson
Stjarnan
🟨
72'
H. Gudmundsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
76'
K. Gautason ↔ G. Hrafnkelsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
82'
O. Heidarsson ↔ B. Baldursson
KA Akureyri
🟨
89'
H. O. Brink
Stjarnan
🔄
89'
B. Ingason ↔ H. O. Brink
Stjarnan
🔄
89'
G. Nokkvason ↔ A. Bjarnason
Stjarnan
90'
T. Thorisson
Stjarnan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stjarnan Win 14.1%
Draw 18.5%
KA Akureyri Win 67.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stjarnan1.97
KA Akureyri1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WWDLW
28 GF / 31 GA
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
WLDWL
18 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
13
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stjarnan Stjarnan 14 matches
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 12 matches
Stjarnan Statistic KA Akureyri
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
7 Losses 7
28 Goals For 18
31 Goals Against 23
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
13 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 10
12 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KA Akureyri having the stronger overall control. Stjarnan have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors KA Akureyri.

Stjarnan Analysis

Stjarnan sit 9 with 10 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 18:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Atlason (6 goals), A. Bjarnason (5 goals), O. Eggertsson (3 goals), with creative support from O. Eggertsson (3 assists), B. Ingason (3 assists), A. Bjarnason (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

KA Akureyri Analysis

KA Akureyri sit 8 with 10 points after 9 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, while the 12:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Steingrimsson (3 goals), B. Baldvinsson (2 goals), J. Arnason (2 goals), with creative support from J. Pedersen (2 assists), H. Steingrimsson (1 assists), J. Robertsson (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stjarnan won 6 times, KA Akureyri won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:21 from Stjarnan's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Stjarnan 4-3-3 / KA Akureyri 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Stjarnan wins 6, draws 3, KA Akureyri wins 6

Lineups

Stjarnan
Formation
KA Akureyri
A. Olafsson
A. Olafsson
D. Dankerlui
D. Dankerlui
S. T. Ingimarsson
S. T. Ingimarsson
G. Kjeldsen
G. Kjeldsen
O. Orvarsson
O. Orvarsson
J. Gunnarsson
J. Gunnarsson
G. Nokkvason
G. Nokkvason
B. Waren
B. Waren
O. Eggertsson
🎯
O. Eggertsson
E. Atlason
E. Atlason
B. Ingason
B. Ingason
S. Audunsson
S. Audunsson
K. Gautason
K. Gautason
M. M. Petursson
M. M. Petursson
H. Gudmundsson
H. Gudmundsson
B. Baldvinsson
B. Baldvinsson
J. Pedersen
J. Pedersen
S. Hauksson
S. Hauksson
J. Arnason
J. Arnason
H. Steingrimsson
H. Steingrimsson
D. Djuric
D. Djuric
O. Heidarsson
🎯
O. Heidarsson
Stjarnan 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
A. Olafsson
27
D. Dankerlui
↓ 59'
6
S. T. Ingimarsson
3
G. Kjeldsen
🟨 41'
32
O. Orvarsson
8
J. Gunnarsson
18
G. Nokkvason
↓ 89'
23
B. Waren
⚽ 21' ↓ 70'
7
O. Eggertsson
🎯 21' ↓ 70'
22
E. Atlason
⚽ 18'
11
B. Ingason
↓ 89'
Substitutes
1
D. Bergmann Gylfason
29
A. Hauksson
↑ 70'
4
T. Thorisson
⚽ 90' ↑ 59'
14
B. Hauksson
17
H. O. Brink
↑ 89' 🟨 89'
99
A. Bjarnason
↑ 89'
10
D. Matthiasson
↑ 70'
30
A. D. Martin M.
36
A. Bjornsson
KA Akureyri 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
S. Audunsson
3
K. Gautason
↓ 76' 🟨 67'
23
M. M. Petursson
28
H. Gudmundsson
🟨 72'
2
B. Baldvinsson
🟨 68'
8
J. Pedersen
9
S. Hauksson
29
J. Arnason
↓ 65'
10
H. Steingrimsson
⚽ 51'
14
D. Djuric
↓ 65' 🟨 56'
15
O. Heidarsson
🎯 51' ↓ 82'
Substitutes
12
I. Thorhallsson
20
D. Montiel
↑ 65'
16
J. Robertsson
↑ 65'
75
I. Johannsson
32
S. Johannsson
25
V. Hjartarson
30
G. Hrafnkelsson
↑ 76'
19
B. Baldursson
↑ 82'
26
T. Hrafn Ellertsson
Last matches: Stjarnan
03.08.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
3
2
W
30.07.26
UEF
Stjarnan
Ilves
0
1
L
26.07.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
IA Akranes
1
5
L
23.07.26
UEF
Stjarnan
Ilves
1
0
W
19.07.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
0
5
L
16.07.26
UEF
Stjarnan
Vikingur Gota
2
2
D
09.07.26
UEF
Stjarnan
Vikingur Gota
3
1
W
03.07.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
2
2
D
21.06.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
2
L
16.06.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Breidablik
4
4
D
31.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Thor Akureyri
3
1
W
26.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Fram Reykjavik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Keflavik
1
1
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
IA Akranes
1
2
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
L
23.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
17.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
3
2
W
12.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
Last matches: KA Akureyri
05.08.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
0
3
L
27.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
0
0
D
19.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
12.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IA Akranes
3
2
W
02.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
21.06.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Breidablik
1
3
L
15.06.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
31.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
3
5
L
22.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
FH hafnarfjordur
2
1
W
10.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
0
W
02.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
26.04.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
1
2
L
22.04.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IA Akranes
1
1
D
17.04.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
2
L
12.04.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
2
3
L
01.03.26
Fri
KA Akureyri
Strommen
2
1
W
31.07.25
UEF
KA Akureyri
Silkeborg
2
3
L
23.07.25
UEF
KA Akureyri
Silkeborg
1
1
D
H2H: Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri
28.06.26
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
12.04.26
H2H
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
2
3
W
31.08.25
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
01.06.25
H2H
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
1
D
18.08.24
H2H
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
1
D
26.05.24
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
5
0
W
26.08.23
H2H
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
2
1
L
02.06.23
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
4
0
W
23.10.22
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
0
3
L
21.08.22
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
2
4
L
21.05.22
H2H
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
0
2
W
15.08.21
H2H
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
2
1
L
23.06.21
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
24.05.21
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
0
1
L
30.08.20
H2H
KA Akureyri
Stjarnan
0
0
D
Last matches: Stjarnan
23.07.26
UEF
Stjarnan
Ilves
1
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Stjarnan
Vikingur Gota
3
1
W
16.06.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Breidablik
4
4
D
26.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Fram Reykjavik
0
1
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
IA Akranes
1
2
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
L
17.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
3
2
W
H2H at home: Stjarnan
28.06.26
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
31.08.25
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
26.05.24
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
5
0
W
02.06.23
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
4
0
W
23.10.22
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
0
3
L
21.08.22
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
2
4
L
23.06.21
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
1
2
L
24.05.21
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
0
1
L
Last matches: KA Akureyri
05.08.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Keflavik
0
3
L
19.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
02.07.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
21.06.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Breidablik
1
3
L
31.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
3
5
L
17.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
FH hafnarfjordur
2
1
W
02.05.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
1
0
W
22.04.26
Úrv
KA Akureyri
IA Akranes
1
1
D
01.03.26
Fri
KA Akureyri
Strommen
2
1
W
23.07.25
UEF
KA Akureyri
Silkeborg
1
1
D
H2H away: KA Akureyri
28.06.26
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
1
L
31.08.25
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
2
L
26.05.24
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
5
0
L
02.06.23
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
4
0
L
23.10.22
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
0
3
W
21.08.22
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
2
4
W
23.06.21
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
1
2
W
24.05.21
H2H
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
0
1
W

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 14 2 1 56:14 42 44
D W L W W
2 17 11 4 2 43:29 14 37
W D W W D
3 17 11 3 3 59:37 22 36
D W W D L
4 17 8 5 4 35:27 8 29
L W D W W
5 17 6 4 7 28:33 -5 22
W L W L D
6 17 6 1 10 28:35 -7 19
L L L L W
7 17 5 4 8 28:36 -8 19
D W L L L
8 17 5 3 9 32:43 -11 18
W L L D W
9 17 4 4 9 27:36 -9 16
L L D L W
10 17 4 3 10 24:35 -11 15
L D D W L
11 17 4 3 10 18:42 -24 15
W D W L D
12 17 2 8 7 21:32 -11 14
D D D W D