ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: J. I. Jonsson
Stjarnan
Match Timeline
KA Akureyri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
E. Atlason
Stjarnan
21'
B. Waren · Assist: O. Eggertsson
Stjarnan
🟨
41'
G. Kjeldsen
Stjarnan
51'
H. Steingrimsson · Assist: O. Heidarsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
56'
D. Djuric
KA Akureyri
🔄
59'
D. Dankerlui ↔ T. Thorisson
Stjarnan
🔄
65'
D. Djuric ↔ D. Montiel
KA Akureyri
🔄
65'
J. Arnason ↔ J. Robertsson
KA Akureyri
🟨
67'
K. Gautason
KA Akureyri
🟨
68'
B. Baldvinsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
70'
O. Eggertsson ↔ A. Hauksson
Stjarnan
🔄
70'
B. Waren ↔ D. Matthiasson
Stjarnan
🟨
72'
H. Gudmundsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
76'
K. Gautason ↔ G. Hrafnkelsson
KA Akureyri
🔄
82'
O. Heidarsson ↔ B. Baldursson
KA Akureyri
🟨
89'
H. O. Brink
Stjarnan
🔄
89'
B. Ingason ↔ H. O. Brink
Stjarnan
🔄
89'
G. Nokkvason ↔ A. Bjarnason
Stjarnan
90'
T. Thorisson
Stjarnan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stjarnan Win 14.1%
Draw 18.5%
KA Akureyri Win 67.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stjarnan1.97
KA Akureyri1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WWDLW
28 GF / 31 GA
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
WLDWL
18 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.92
13
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stjarnan Stjarnan 14 matches
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 12 matches
Stjarnan Statistic KA Akureyri
5 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
7 Losses 7
28 Goals For 18
31 Goals Against 23
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.92
13 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 10
12 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KA Akureyri having the stronger overall control. Stjarnan have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors KA Akureyri.

Stjarnan Analysis

Stjarnan sit 9 with 10 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 18:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through E. Atlason (6 goals), A. Bjarnason (5 goals), O. Eggertsson (3 goals), with creative support from O. Eggertsson (3 assists), B. Ingason (3 assists), A. Bjarnason (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

KA Akureyri Analysis

KA Akureyri sit 8 with 10 points after 9 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, while the 12:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on H. Steingrimsson (3 goals), B. Baldvinsson (2 goals), J. Arnason (2 goals), with creative support from J. Pedersen (2 assists), H. Steingrimsson (1 assists), J. Robertsson (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stjarnan won 6 times, KA Akureyri won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:21 from Stjarnan's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85.9%)
H2H summary: Stjarnan wins 6, draws 3, KA Akureyri wins 6

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 3 1 64:18 46 51
W W D D W
2 21 13 5 3 54:40 14 44
D W W L W
3 20 13 4 3 72:45 27 43
W D W D W
4 20 8 6 6 42:37 5 30
L D L L W
5 21 8 4 9 32:36 -4 28
L W W L W
6 21 7 6 8 36:40 -4 27
D D W W D
7 21 7 3 11 37:44 -7 24
D L D W L
8 20 7 3 10 38:48 -10 24
W L W W L
9 21 4 9 8 27:38 -11 21
W D L W D
10 21 5 3 13 21:50 -29 18
W L L L W
11 21 4 5 12 30:43 -13 17
L L L D L
12 21 4 5 12 33:47 -14 17
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs