ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
06.09.2026 14:00

Stjarnan vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stjarnan Win 83.3%
Draw 4.6%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Win 12%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stjarnan1.93
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WWDLW
51 GF / 55 GA
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar
WLDWL
32 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.45
2.04
Average Goals Conceded
2
21
BTTS Yes
16
21
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stjarnan Stjarnan 27 matches
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 matches
Stjarnan Statistic IBV Vestmannaeyjar
12 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
11 Losses 12
51 Goals For 32
55 Goals Against 44
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
2.04 Avg Goals Conceded 2
21 BTTS Yes 16
23 Over 1.5 18
21 Over 2.5 14
18 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. IBV Vestmannaeyjar arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IBV Vestmannaeyjar having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

Stjarnan Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Stjarnan have collected 24 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 38:48 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Analysis

IBV Vestmannaeyjar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 17 points from 21 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 30:43, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stjarnan won 8 times, IBV Vestmannaeyjar won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:20 from Stjarnan's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Stjarnan - / IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stjarnan wins 8, draws 0, IBV Vestmannaeyjar wins 7

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 4 1 65:19 46 52
D W W D D
2 21 13 5 3 73:46 27 44
D W D W D
3 21 13 5 3 54:40 14 44
D W W L W
4 21 8 6 7 42:39 3 30
L L D L L
5 21 8 4 9 32:36 -4 28
L W W L W
6 21 7 6 8 36:40 -4 27
D D W W D
7 21 8 3 10 40:48 -8 27
W W L W W
8 21 7 3 11 37:44 -7 24
D L D W L
9 21 4 9 8 27:38 -11 21
W D L W D
10 21 5 3 13 21:50 -29 18
W L L L W
11 21 4 5 12 30:43 -13 17
L L L D L
12 21 4 5 12 33:47 -14 17
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs