ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: I. O. Kristjansson
Stjarnan
Match Timeline
Breidablik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
V. Einarsson
Breidablik
6'
A. Bjarnason · Assist: K. Kristinsson
Breidablik
🔄
27'
D. Ingvarsson ↔ A. Orrason
Breidablik
28'
A. Bjarnason · Assist: A. Thorsteinsson
Breidablik
29'
E. Atlason · Assist: O. Eggertsson
Stjarnan
38'
E. Atlason · Assist: B. Waren
Stjarnan
🟨
43'
J. Gunnarsson
Stjarnan
🟨
51'
E. Atlason
Stjarnan
54'
K. Kristinsson · Assist: V. Margeirsson
Breidablik
🔄
57'
K. Kristinsson ↔ A. Gunnleifsson
Breidablik
🔄
63'
B. Waren ↔ H. O. Brink
Stjarnan
64'
E. Atlason · Assist: H. O. Brink
Stjarnan
🟨
67'
O. Orvarsson
Stjarnan
🟨
76'
V. Margeirsson
Breidablik
🔄
77'
A. Bjarnason ↔ K. Jonsson
Breidablik
🔄
77'
A. Yeoman ↔ K. Steindorsson
Breidablik
🔄
77'
A. Thorsteinsson ↔ A. Jonsson
Breidablik
80'
B. Ingason · Assist: G. Nokkvason
Stjarnan
🔄
82'
H. Aegisson ↔ D. Dankerlui
Stjarnan
🔄
87'
D. Matthiasson ↔ B. Gardarsson
Stjarnan

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
80.7%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stjarnan Win 9.7%
Draw 9.7%
Breidablik Win 80.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stjarnan1.82
Breidablik2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stjarnan Stjarnan
WWDLW
23 GF / 25 GA
Breidablik Breidablik
WLDWL
22 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.92
Average Goals Scored
2.44
2.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
11
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stjarnan Stjarnan 12 matches
Breidablik Breidablik 9 matches
Stjarnan Statistic Breidablik
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
6 Losses 2
23 Goals For 22
25 Goals Against 15
1.92 Avg Goals Scored 2.44
2.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
11 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 7
10 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 5
0 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Breidablik's more proactive style and Stjarnan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Stjarnan have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Breidablik having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Breidablik. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Breidablik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 15 points while Stjarnan sit 9 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Stjarnan Analysis

With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 9, Stjarnan still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 18:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Bjarnason (5 goals), E. Atlason (3 goals), O. Eggertsson (3 goals), with creative support from B. Ingason (3 assists), O. Eggertsson (2 assists), A. Bjarnason (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Breidablik Analysis

Breidablik come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 15 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 22:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Kristinsson (8 goals), I. Arnason (3 goals), A. Ludviksson (2 goals), with creative support from A. Bjarnason (5 assists), A. Thorsteinsson (3 assists), A. Ludviksson (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stjarnan won 4 times, Breidablik won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:32 from Stjarnan's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Stjarnan 4-3-3 / Breidablik -
H2H summary: Stjarnan wins 4, draws 3, Breidablik wins 8

Lineups

Stjarnan
Formation
Breidablik
A. Olafsson
A. Olafsson
H. Aegisson
H. Aegisson
S. T. Ingimarsson
S. T. Ingimarsson
J. Gunnarsson
J. Gunnarsson
O. Orvarsson
O. Orvarsson
D. Matthiasson
D. Matthiasson
O. Eggertsson
🎯
O. Eggertsson
G. Nokkvason
🎯
G. Nokkvason
B. Ingason
B. Ingason
B. Waren
🎯
B. Waren
E. Atlason
⚽ 3
E. Atlason
A. Einarsson
A. Einarsson
O. Omarsson
O. Omarsson
V. Margeirsson
🎯
V. Margeirsson
I. Arnason
I. Arnason
D. Ingvarsson
D. Ingvarsson
A. Yeoman
A. Yeoman
A. Ludviksson
A. Ludviksson
A. Thorsteinsson
🎯
A. Thorsteinsson
V. Einarsson
V. Einarsson
A. Bjarnason
⚽ 2
A. Bjarnason
K. Kristinsson
🎯
K. Kristinsson
Stjarnan 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
A. Olafsson
2
H. Aegisson
↓ 82'
6
S. T. Ingimarsson
8
J. Gunnarsson
🟨 43'
32
O. Orvarsson
🟨 67'
10
D. Matthiasson
↓ 87'
7
O. Eggertsson
🎯 29'
18
G. Nokkvason
🎯 80'
11
B. Ingason
⚽ 80'
23
B. Waren
🎯 38' ↓ 63'
22
E. Atlason
⚽ 29' ⚽ 38' ⚽ 64' 🟨 51'
Substitutes
1
D. Bergmann Gylfason
27
D. Dankerlui
↑ 82'
29
A. Hauksson
4
T. Thorisson
14
B. Hauksson
17
H. O. Brink
🎯 64' ↑ 63'
33
B. Gardarsson
↑ 87'
28
B. Saemundsson
36
A. Bjornsson
Breidablik 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Einarsson
9
O. Omarsson
21
V. Margeirsson
🎯 54' 🟨 76'
5
I. Arnason
18
D. Ingvarsson
↓ 27'
30
A. Yeoman
↓ 77'
13
A. Ludviksson
15
A. Thorsteinsson
🎯 28' ↓ 77'
8
V. Einarsson
⚽ 5'
11
A. Bjarnason
⚽ 6' ⚽ 28' ↓ 77'
23
K. Kristinsson
⚽ 54' 🎯 6' ↓ 57'
Substitutes
99
E. Halldorsson
19
K. Jonsson
↑ 77'
10
K. Steindorsson
↑ 77'
6
A. Jonsson
↑ 77'
4
A. Orrason
↑ 27'
16
D. Fjeldsted
29
G. Hallsson
33
A. Gunnleifsson
↑ 57'
45
T. Willumsson
Last matches: Stjarnan
19.07.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
0
5
L
16.07.26
UEF
Stjarnan
Vikingur Gota
2
2
D
09.07.26
UEF
Stjarnan
Vikingur Gota
3
1
W
03.07.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
2
2
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
2
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Thor Akureyri
3
1
W
26.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Fram Reykjavik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Keflavik
1
1
D
08.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
IA Akranes
1
2
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
L
23.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
3
L
17.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
3
2
W
12.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
12.02.26
Fri
Stjarnan
B 93
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Stjarnan
Karpaty
2
1
W
Last matches: Breidablik
20.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
0
D
13.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
W
04.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
2
1
W
25.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
4
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
29.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
6
3
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
3
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
3
3
D
03.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Thor Akureyri
4
0
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Keflavik
0
0
D
17.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
1
0
W
10.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
18.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Strasbourg
1
3
L
11.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Shamrock Rovers
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Breidablik
Samsunspor
2
2
D
06.11.25
UEF
Breidablik
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
L
23.10.25
UEF
Breidablik
KuPS
0
0
D
02.10.25
UEF
Breidablik
Lausanne
0
3
L
H2H: Stjarnan vs Breidablik
16.06.26
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
4
4
D
26.10.25
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
2
3
L
27.06.25
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
1
4
L
23.04.25
H2H
Breidablik
Stjarnan
2
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
Breidablik
Stjarnan
2
1
L
11.08.24
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
2
2
D
21.05.24
H2H
Breidablik
Stjarnan
2
1
L
08.10.23
H2H
Breidablik
Stjarnan
0
2
W
29.07.23
H2H
Breidablik
Stjarnan
1
1
D
04.05.23
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
0
2
L
03.10.22
H2H
Breidablik
Stjarnan
3
0
L
07.08.22
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
5
2
W
11.05.22
H2H
Breidablik
Stjarnan
3
2
L
10.03.22
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
4
1
W
27.01.22
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
3
1
W
Last matches: Stjarnan
09.07.26
UEF
Stjarnan
Vikingur Gota
3
1
W
28.06.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
26.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Fram Reykjavik
0
1
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
KR Reykjavik
2
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
IA Akranes
1
2
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
L
17.04.26
Úrv
Stjarnan
FH hafnarfjordur
3
2
W
H2H at home: Stjarnan
16.06.26
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
4
4
D
26.10.25
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
2
3
L
27.06.25
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
1
4
L
11.08.24
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
2
2
D
04.05.23
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
0
2
L
07.08.22
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
5
2
W
10.03.22
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
4
1
W
27.01.22
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
3
1
W
Last matches: Breidablik
20.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
0
D
04.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
2
1
W
29.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
1
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Keflavik
0
0
D
10.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
18.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Strasbourg
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Breidablik
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
L
02.10.25
UEF
Breidablik
Lausanne
0
3
L
28.08.25
UEF
Breidablik
Virtus
3
1
W
07.08.25
UEF
Breidablik
Zrinjski
1
1
D
22.07.25
UEF
Breidablik
Lech Poznan
1
7
L
08.07.25
UEF
Breidablik
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0
1
L
H2H away: Breidablik
16.06.26
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
4
4
D
26.10.25
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
2
3
W
27.06.25
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
1
4
W
11.08.24
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
2
2
D
04.05.23
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
0
2
W
07.08.22
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
5
2
L
10.03.22
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
4
1
L
27.01.22
H2H
Stjarnan
Breidablik
3
1
L

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 13 1 1 49:11 38 40
L W W W W
2 16 11 2 3 58:36 22 35
W W D L W
3 15 10 3 2 41:28 13 33
W W D W L
4 15 7 5 3 34:26 8 26
D W W L W
5 15 5 4 6 24:28 -4 19
W L D W D
6 16 6 1 9 26:32 -6 19
L L L W D
7 15 4 4 7 26:33 -7 16
D L W D W
8 15 4 3 8 28:36 -8 15
L D W L D
9 15 4 3 8 21:33 -12 15
L L L L L
10 15 4 2 9 24:32 -8 14
D W L L L
11 15 2 6 7 20:31 -11 12
D W D D D
12 15 3 2 10 17:42 -25 11
W L D L D