ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
22.08.2026 14:00
Broadhall Way
Referee: J. Oldham
Stevenage
Match Timeline
Oxford United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
J. Cumming ↔ S. Eastwood
Oxford United
🟨
15'
Michał Helik
Oxford United
🔄
33'
J. Pattenden ↔ J. Houghton
Stevenage
🟨
56'
Lewis Freestone
Stevenage
🟨
60'
Cameron Brannagan
Oxford United
🔄
65'
S. Dembele ↔ S. Mills
Oxford United
🔄
65'
L. Sibley ↔ G. O'Donkor
Oxford United
67'
G. O'Donkor · Assist: S. Mills
Oxford United
🔄
72'
L. Thompson ↔ T. Taylor
Stevenage
🔄
72'
S. Earley ↔ P. Patterson
Stevenage
🟨
76'
Mark Harris
Oxford United
🔄
80'
D. Phillips ↔ J. Roberts
Stevenage
🔄
80'
J. Reid ↔ O. Sanderson
Stevenage
87'
C. Brannagan
Oxford United
🔄
88'
J. Currie ↔ B. Spencer
Oxford United
🔄
88'
M. Harris ↔ T. Goodrham
Oxford United
🟨
90+5'
Stanley Mills
Oxford United
90'
J. Roberts
Stevenage

Stevenage vs Oxford United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.5%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
81.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Stevenage Win 39.4%
Draw 22.1%
Oxford United Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stevenage0.76
Oxford United1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stevenage Stevenage
WWDLW
3 GF / 6 GA
Oxford United Oxford United
WLDWL
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
4
1
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stevenage Stevenage 5 matches
Oxford United Oxford United 5 matches
Stevenage Statistic Oxford United
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
3 Goals For 12
6 Goals Against 5
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 4
2 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
3 Shots On Goal 4
5 Total Shots 17
0 Corners 8
48% Ball Possession 63%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage won 1 times, Oxford United won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:21 from Stevenage's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.9%)
Predicted formations: Stevenage 4-4-1-1 / Oxford United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stevenage wins 1, draws 3, Oxford United wins 5

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 0 2 7:4 3 15
W W W L L
2 7 4 2 1 13:6 7 14
D D W W W
3 7 4 1 2 14:10 4 13
W W W L W
4 7 3 3 1 11:6 5 12
L D D W W
5 7 3 3 1 12:10 2 12
D W D W L
6 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
D W W L W
7 7 3 2 2 5:7 -2 11
D W W L W
8 6 3 1 2 14:7 7 10
W L W W D
9 7 3 1 3 16:10 6 10
D L W L W
10 7 3 1 3 13:9 4 10
W L D W L
11 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
L W W D D
12 7 2 3 2 12:12 0 9
D L D W L
13 7 2 3 2 9:11 -2 9
D W L W D
14 7 2 3 2 11:14 -3 9
W W D L L
15 7 2 2 3 13:13 0 8
L D L L W
16 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L L D W L
17 7 2 2 3 10:13 -3 8
D D L L W
18 7 2 2 3 7:12 -5 8
D L L W W
19 7 2 2 3 8:18 -10 8
W D L L L
20 7 1 4 2 7:9 -2 7
L L D D W
21 7 1 3 3 8:9 -1 6
W L L D D
22 7 0 6 1 8:10 -2 6
D D D L D
23 7 1 2 4 4:12 -8 5
L D L D L
24 7 1 1 5 5:12 -7 4
L D L W L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two