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22.08.2026 14:00
Lamex Stadium
Referee: J. Oldham
Stevenage
Match Timeline
Oxford United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
9'
J. Cumming ↔ S. Eastwood
Oxford United
🟨
15'
Michał Helik
Oxford United
🔄
33'
J. Pattenden ↔ J. Houghton
Stevenage
🟨
56'
Lewis Freestone
Stevenage
🟨
60'
Cameron Brannagan
Oxford United
🔄
65'
S. Dembele ↔ S. Mills
Oxford United
🔄
65'
L. Sibley ↔ G. O'Donkor
Oxford United
⚽
67'
G. O'Donkor · Assist: S. Mills
Oxford United
🔄
72'
L. Thompson ↔ T. Taylor
Stevenage
🔄
72'
S. Earley ↔ P. Patterson
Stevenage
🟨
76'
Mark Harris
Oxford United
🔄
80'
D. Phillips ↔ J. Roberts
Stevenage
🔄
80'
J. Reid ↔ O. Sanderson
Stevenage
⚽
87'
C. Brannagan
Oxford United
🔄
88'
J. Currie ↔ B. Spencer
Oxford United
🔄
88'
M. Harris ↔ T. Goodrham
Oxford United
🟨
90+5'
Stanley Mills
Oxford United
⚽
90'
J. Roberts
Stevenage

Stevenage vs Oxford United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
81.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stevenage Win 39.4%
Draw 22.1%
Oxford United Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stevenage0.76
Oxford United1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stevenage Stevenage
D W W L D
3 GF / 6 GA
Oxford United Oxford United
D W W W W
12 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
4
1
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stevenage Stevenage 5 matches
Oxford United Oxford United 5 matches
Stevenage Statistic Oxford United
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
3 Goals For 12
6 Goals Against 5
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 4
2 Over 1.5 5
1 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
3 Shots On Goal 4
5 Total Shots 17
0 Corners 8
48% Ball Possession 63%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage won 1 times, Oxford United won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:21 from Stevenage's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.9%)
Predicted formations: Stevenage 4-4-1-1 / Oxford United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stevenage wins 1, draws 3, Oxford United wins 5

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 4 1 27:11 16 28
W W W W D
2 14 8 2 4 26:14 12 26
W L D W W
3 12 6 5 1 20:11 9 23
D W D W D
4 13 7 2 4 26:20 6 23
W W W W L
5 14 7 2 5 21:19 2 23
D W L L W
6 13 6 4 3 25:13 12 22
D W W L W
7 13 6 4 3 10:8 2 22
L D D W D
8 14 5 6 3 21:21 0 21
L D L D W
9 13 5 5 3 22:14 8 20
D D L L W
10 13 5 4 4 22:19 3 19
D W L W W
11 13 4 6 3 22:20 2 18
W W W L W
12 12 5 3 4 20:18 2 18
L W W D W
13 13 4 6 3 21:23 -2 18
W D D W L
14 13 5 2 6 19:14 5 17
W L L W D
15 14 4 5 5 18:21 -3 17
L W D D L
16 12 4 4 4 17:13 4 16
D L W L W
17 12 3 5 4 13:14 -1 14
W D W L L
18 13 3 4 6 9:21 -12 13
L D L L L
19 12 3 3 6 17:21 -4 12
D L W L L
20 13 3 3 7 14:22 -8 12
L L W L L
21 13 3 1 9 11:22 -11 10
W L L L W
22 13 2 4 7 11:23 -12 10
L D L D W
23 12 2 3 7 12:22 -10 9
D L L L L
24 13 2 3 8 13:33 -20 9
L L D L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two