Stevenage
Match Timeline
Luton
Stevenage vs Luton Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
67%
|
2.21 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.70 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.91 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.3%
|
1.36 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Probability Distribution
Stevenage Win 28.7%
Draw 4.3%
Luton Win 67%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stevenage1.36
Luton1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stevenage
WWDLW
11 GF / 11 GA
Luton
WLDWL
20 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
5.2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Stevenage
9 matches
Luton
9 matches
| Stevenage | Statistic | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 11 | Goals For | 20 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.22 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5.2 |
| 9.6 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 4.2 | Corners | 5.2 |
| 44.6% | Ball Possession | 53.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage won 4 times, Luton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Stevenage's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Stevenage 4-4-1-1 / Luton 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Stevenage wins 4, draws 3, Luton wins 4
Standings
League One
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 13 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 11 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 10 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 10 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Stevenage
Home
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 |
Luton
Away
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 22 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two