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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
10.09.2026 19:00
SPORTA Arena
Referee: B. Toner
Stevenage
Match Timeline
Luton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Daniel Phillips
Stevenage
⚽
23'
Daniel Kemp
Stevenage
🟨
26'
Lewis Freestone
Stevenage
🟨
30'
Liam Walsh
Luton
🟨
44'
Daniel Kemp
Stevenage
🔄
56'
Jordan Roberts ↔ Ben Broggio
Stevenage
🔄
58'
Jamie Donley ↔ Jake Richards
Luton
🔄
58'
Gideon Kodua ↔ Kasey Palmer
Luton
🔄
66'
Callum Marshall ↔ Nahki Wells
Luton
⚽
70'
Josh Magennis
Stevenage
⚽
75'
Mads Andersen · Assist: Kasey Palmer
Luton
🔄
76'
Daniel Kemp ↔ Jordan Houghton
Stevenage
🔄
76'
Josh Magennis ↔ Michael Mellon
Stevenage
🔄
76'
Oliver Sanderson ↔ Saxon Earley
Stevenage
🟨
80'
Saxon Earley
Stevenage
🔄
84'
Hakeem Odofin ↔ Tudor Mendel-Idowu
Luton
🔄
85'
Daniel Phillips ↔ Matthew Smith
Stevenage
🟨
90+3'
Luther James-Wildin
Stevenage
🟨
90+5'
Mads Andersen
Luton

Stevenage vs Luton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stevenage Win 28.7%
Draw 4.3%
Luton Win 67%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stevenage1.36
Luton1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stevenage Stevenage
WWDLW
11 GF / 11 GA
Luton Luton
WLDWL
20 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stevenage Stevenage 9 matches
Luton Luton 9 matches
Stevenage Statistic Luton
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 20
11 Goals Against 14
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 5
9.6 Total Shots 13.6
4.2 Corners 5.2
44.6% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage won 4 times, Luton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Stevenage's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Stevenage 4-4-1-1 / Luton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Stevenage wins 4, draws 3, Luton wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 18:12 6 19
W W L W W
2 9 5 2 2 8:5 3 17
D D W W W
3 9 5 1 3 20:11 9 16
W W D L W
4 9 4 4 1 16:9 7 16
D W L D D
5 9 4 4 1 14:11 3 16
W D D W D
6 9 4 3 2 22:11 11 15
W D D W L
7 8 4 3 1 15:8 7 15
D D D W W
8 7 4 2 1 15:8 7 14
W D W W L
9 8 3 3 2 12:8 4 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:16 -2 12
L L W D L
11 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
L D D W W
12 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
D L W L D
13
Luton Away
8 3 2 3 16:15 1 11
W L L D W
14 8 3 2 3 12:14 -2 11
W D D L L
15 9 2 4 3 14:20 -6 10
L D W W D
16 8 2 3 3 9:9 0 9
W W L L D
17 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
L D W L W
18 8 2 2 4 13:14 -1 8
L L D L L
19 8 2 2 4 8:15 -7 8
L D L L W
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
W L L D L
21 8 2 2 4 9:20 -11 8
L W D L L
22 8 1 4 3 8:11 -3 7
L L L D D
23 8 0 6 2 9:15 -6 6
L D D D L
24 8 1 1 6 5:13 -8 4
L L D L W
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two