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10.09.2026 19:00
SPORTA Arena
Referee: B. Toner
Stevenage
Match Timeline
Luton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Daniel Phillips
Stevenage
⚽
23'
D. Kemp
Stevenage
🟨
26'
Lewis Freestone
Stevenage
🟨
30'
Liam Walsh
Luton
🟨
44'
Daniel Kemp
Stevenage
🔄
56'
J. Roberts ↔ B. Broggio
Stevenage
🔄
58'
G. Kodua ↔ K. Palmer
Luton
🔄
58'
J. Donley ↔ J. Richards
Luton
🔄
66'
C. Marshall ↔ N. Wells
Luton
⚽
70'
J. Magennis
Stevenage
⚽
75'
M. Andersen · Assist: K. Palmer
Luton
🔄
76'
D. Kemp ↔ J. Houghton
Stevenage
🔄
76'
O. Sanderson ↔ S. Earley
Stevenage
🔄
76'
J. Magennis ↔ M. Mellon
Stevenage
🟨
80'
Saxon Earley
Stevenage
🔄
84'
H. Odoffin ↔ T. Mendel-Idowu
Luton
🔄
85'
D. Phillips ↔ M. Smith
Stevenage
🟨
90+3'
Luther James-Wildin
Stevenage
🟨
90+5'
Mads Andersen
Luton

Stevenage vs Luton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stevenage Win 28.7%
Draw 4.3%
Luton Win 67%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stevenage1.36
Luton1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stevenage Stevenage
W D D L D
9 GF / 6 GA
Luton Luton
D W L D W
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stevenage Stevenage 9 matches
Luton Luton 9 matches
Stevenage Statistic Luton
3 Wins 4
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 20
11 Goals Against 14
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 5
9.6 Total Shots 13.6
4.2 Corners 5.2
44.6% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage won 4 times, Luton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Stevenage's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Stevenage 4-2-3-1 / Luton 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Stevenage wins 4, draws 3, Luton wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 5 1 28:12 16 29
D W W W W
2 14 8 2 4 26:14 12 26
W L D W W
3
Luton Away
14 7 3 4 27:21 6 24
D W W W W
4 12 6 5 1 20:11 9 23
D W D W D
5 14 7 2 5 21:19 2 23
D W L L W
6 13 6 4 3 25:13 12 22
D W W L W
7 13 6 4 3 10:8 2 22
L D D W D
8 14 5 6 3 21:21 0 21
L D L D W
9 13 5 5 3 22:14 8 20
D D L L W
10 13 5 4 4 22:19 3 19
D W L W W
11 13 5 4 4 20:18 2 19
D L W W D
12 13 4 6 3 22:20 2 18
W W W L W
13 13 4 6 3 21:23 -2 18
W D D W L
14 13 5 2 6 19:14 5 17
W L L W D
15 14 4 5 5 18:21 -3 17
L W D D L
16 12 4 4 4 17:13 4 16
D L W L W
17 12 3 5 4 13:14 -1 14
W D W L L
18 13 3 4 6 9:21 -12 13
L D L L L
19 12 3 3 6 17:21 -4 12
D L W L L
20 13 3 3 7 14:22 -8 12
L L W L L
21 14 3 2 9 11:22 -11 11
D W L L L
22 13 2 4 7 11:23 -12 10
L D L D W
23 12 2 3 7 12:22 -10 9
D L L L L
24 13 2 3 8 13:33 -20 9
L L D L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two