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NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
11.10.2026 15:00
Sør Arena
Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam
Start
Match Timeline
Ham-Kam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
35'
Fredrik Sjolstad
Ham-Kam
⚽
36'
L. Mares
Ham-Kam
⚽
43'
J. Norheim
Start
⚽
53'
L. Mettler
Ham-Kam
🔄
61'
H. Lorentzen ↔ N. Koutsakos
Start
🔄
62'
M. Ugland ↔ E. Schulze
Start
🔄
69'
F. Sjolstad ↔ A. Potur
Ham-Kam
🔄
69'
D. Moreira ↔ M. Ofkir
Ham-Kam
🔄
69'
D. Al Saed ↔ D. Benjamin
Ham-Kam
⚽
74'
M. Ofkir · Assist: A. Potur
Ham-Kam
🔄
75'
A. Ujkani ↔ F. Palerud
Start
🔄
75'
E. Reitan ↔ N. Jojic
Start
🔄
82'
J. Barros ↔ E. Amundsen-Day
Ham-Kam
🔄
84'
S. Mvoue ↔ M. Nordal
Start
⚽
90'
M. Ofkir · Assist: A. Potur
Ham-Kam
⚽
90'
E. Segberg
Start

Start vs Ham-Kam Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds 1.82
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
1.82 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.64 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Start Win 62.3%
Draw 6.4%
Ham-Kam Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Start1.4
Ham-Kam1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Start Start
WWDLW
35 GF / 61 GA
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WLDWL
45 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.8
16
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
21
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Start Start 31 matches
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 30 matches
Start Statistic Ham-Kam
8 Wins 10
5 Draws 7
18 Losses 13
35 Goals For 45
61 Goals Against 54
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.8
16 BTTS Yes 18
29 Over 1.5 27
18 Over 2.5 21
9 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 5
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.9
13.76 Total Shots 10.43
4.29 Corners 4.1
42.5% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ham-Kam. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Start Analysis

Start sit 16 with 16 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 22:44, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Cornelius (5 goals), H. Lorentzen (3 goals), O. Toure (3 goals), with creative support from E. Segberg (4 assists), H. Lorentzen (3 assists), Tom Strannegård (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ham-Kam Analysis

Ham-Kam sit 13 with 23 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 29:44 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (4 goals), H. Udahl (4 goals), with creative support from P. Metcalfe (5 assists), M. Gjone (3 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Start won 3 times, Ham-Kam won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Start's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.6%)
Predicted formations: Start 5-3-2 / Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Missing players: Start 5, Ham-Kam 4
H2H summary: Start wins 3, draws 0, Ham-Kam wins 4

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W W W D W
2 22 17 2 3 56:20 36 53
W L W W W
3 22 11 6 5 41:30 11 39
D W L L D
4 22 11 4 7 46:34 12 37
D L W W W
5 22 10 4 8 40:31 9 34
D W W W L
6 22 10 3 9 30:31 -1 33
D L W W L
7 22 9 2 11 39:34 5 29
L W L L D
8 22 8 5 9 26:33 -7 29
D D D L W
9 22 7 7 8 28:31 -3 28
W L D D D
10 22 8 4 10 27:36 -9 28
W W W L L
11 22 7 5 10 33:46 -13 26
W L L L D
12 22 6 6 10 22:28 -6 24
D W L D D
13 22 6 5 11 35:45 -10 23
L D L D L
14 22 4 9 9 35:50 -15 21
L W L W L
15 22 5 4 13 22:43 -21 19
L L L W D
16
Start Home
22 4 4 14 24:48 -24 16
L L W L W
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