SENEGAL › LIGUE 1
10.05.2026 17:00

Stade de Mbour vs Wally Daan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stade de Mbour Win 21.6%
Draw 0%
Wally Daan Win 78.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade de Mbour0.65
Wally Daan0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stade de Mbour Stade de Mbour
WWDLW
15 GF / 16 GA
Wally Daan Wally Daan
WLDWL
23 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
0.92
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
7
BTTS Yes
12
3
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stade de Mbour Stade de Mbour 25 matches
Wally Daan Wally Daan 25 matches
Stade de Mbour Statistic Wally Daan
4 Wins 9
16 Draws 11
5 Losses 5
15 Goals For 23
16 Goals Against 18
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
7 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 13
3 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 1
14 Clean Sheets 10
14 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Wally Daan's more proactive style and Stade de Mbour's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Wally Daan having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Wally Daan. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Stade de Mbour Analysis

Stade de Mbour are currently 10 in the standings with 28 points from 25 matches. The record of 4 wins, 16 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 15:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Wally Daan Analysis

Wally Daan come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 38 points after 25 matches. The return of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 23:18, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Stade de Mbour won 0 times, Wally Daan won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Stade de Mbour's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Stade de Mbour wins 0, draws 1, Wally Daan wins 1

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
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Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation