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23.10.2026 18:45
Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Referee: G. Paradis
Stade Brestois 29
Match Timeline
Nice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
Ludovic Ajorque
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
54'
Jonathan Clauss ↔ Hamza Koutoune
Nice
🟨
58'
Hamza Koutoune
Nice
⚽
61'
Sepe Elye Wahi · Assist: Mohamed Amoura
Nice
🟨
62'
Kamory Doumbia
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
63'
Gauthier Hein ↔ Sofiane Diop
Nice
🟨
64'
Ludovic Ajorque
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
68'
Sepe Elye Wahi
Nice
🔄
70'
Pathé Mboup ↔ Noah Edjouma
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
70'
Mama Baldé ↔ Joseph Nonge
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
71'
Bradley Locko
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
76'
Mohamed Amoura ↔ Isak Jansson
Nice
🔄
76'
Axel Witsel ↔ Djibril Coulibaly
Nice
🔄
80'
Joris Chotard ↔ Mamady Diambou
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
80'
Kamory Doumbia ↔ Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté
Stade Brestois 29
⚽
83'
Sofiane Diop · Assist: Sepe Elye Wahi
Nice
🟨
85'
Yehvann Diouf
Nice
🔄
87'
Hugo Magnetti ↔ Mathis Lainé
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
90'
Niels Nkounkou
Nice
🟨
90+1'
Olivier Pantaloni
Nice
VAR
90+7'
Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
90+8'
Isak Jansson
Nice
⚽
90+10'
Kenny Lala
Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stade Brestois 29 Win 69.6%
Draw 17.4%
Nice Win 13%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade Brestois 291.39
Nice1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
D W D L L
9 GF / 7 GA
Nice Nice
L W W L D
6 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
11
BTTS Yes
4
10
Over 2.5
6
5.86
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 14 matches
Nice Nice 12 matches
Stade Brestois 29 Statistic Nice
3 Wins 4
7 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
24 Goals For 13
24 Goals Against 11
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
11 BTTS Yes 4
13 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 6
5.86 Shots On Goal 3.71
17.57 Total Shots 11.71
4.86 Corners 5.71
45.9% Ball Possession 54.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Stade Brestois 29's more proactive style and Nice's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stade Brestois 29 expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Nice in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nice having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nice. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Stade Brestois 29 Analysis

Stade Brestois 29 are currently 7 in the standings with 8 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 12:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Doumbia (4 goals), P. Mboup (2 goals), L. Ajorque (1 goals), with creative support from J. Chotard (2 assists), K. Doumbia (1 assists), P. Mboup (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Nice Analysis

Nice sit 9 with 8 points after 6 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Clauss (1 goals), E. Wahi (1 goals), M. Amoura (1 goals), with creative support from S. Diop (2 assists), G. Hein (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 3 times, Nice won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from Stade Brestois 29's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87%)
Predicted formations: Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1 / Nice 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Stade Brestois 29 3, Nice 4
H2H summary: Stade Brestois 29 wins 3, draws 5, Nice wins 6

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 21:10 11 20
W W W W W
2 9 5 3 1 12:6 6 18
W D D W L
3 9 5 2 2 15:7 8 17
W L W L W
4 9 5 2 2 16:10 6 17
W L W L W
5 9 5 1 3 20:19 1 16
L W L W L
6 9 5 0 4 20:13 7 15
W W W W L
7 9 4 3 2 12:10 2 15
L D L D W
8
Nice Away
9 4 2 3 13:12 1 14
W W L W W
9 9 4 1 4 16:13 3 13
L W W W L
10 9 3 3 3 16:12 4 12
W L D W L
11 9 3 3 3 7:8 -1 12
L D W W L
12 9 2 4 3 12:13 -1 10
L D W D W
13 9 3 1 5 17:19 -2 10
W L L L L
14 9 3 1 5 13:23 -10 10
L D W L W
15 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L D L L W
16 9 2 2 5 7:16 -9 8
W D L L L
17 9 1 4 4 11:18 -7 7
L D L L W
18 9 0 2 7 9:20 -11 2
L L L L L
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