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17.05.2026 19:00
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Referee: M. Vernice
Stade Brestois 29
Match Timeline
Angers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
8'
Amine Sbai
Angers
🟨
10'
Abdoulaye Bamba
Angers
🟨
19'
Brendan Chardonnet
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
49'
H. Koffi ↔ M. Zinga
Angers
⚽
55'
R. Del Castillo · Assist: K. Doumbia
Stade Brestois 29
⚽
60'
A. Sbai · Assist: G. Koyalipou
Angers
🔄
64'
R. Del Castillo ↔ R. Labeau Lascary
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
65'
A. Bamba ↔ C. Arcus
Angers
🔄
65'
F. Hanin ↔ J. Ekomie
Angers
🔄
73'
K. Doumbia ↔ H. Magnetti
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
74'
L. Tousart ↔ J. Chotard
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
78'
P. Capelle ↔ E. Biumla
Angers
🔄
78'
G. Koyalipou ↔ L. Machine
Angers
🔄
82'
D. Guindo ↔ B. Locko
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
82'
P. Mboup ↔ I. Y. Kante
Stade Brestois 29

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
86.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Stade Brestois 29 Win 79.6%
Draw 8.3%
Angers Win 12.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade Brestois 291.3
Angers1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
L L L D D
5 GF / 11 GA
Angers Angers
D L L D L
4 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
16
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
10
3.47
Shots on Goal
3.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 34 matches
Angers Angers 35 matches
Stade Brestois 29 Statistic Angers
10 Wins 9
9 Draws 10
15 Losses 16
43 Goals For 29
55 Goals Against 48
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
16 BTTS Yes 14
28 Over 1.5 22
17 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 13
3.47 Shots On Goal 3.26
11 Total Shots 9.34
3.82 Corners 3.77
43.2% Ball Possession 42.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stade Brestois 29 expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Angers in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Angers having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Angers. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Stade Brestois 29 Analysis

Stade Brestois 29 sit 12 with 38 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 41:52 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Del Castillo (8 goals), Ludovic Ajorque (7 goals), J. Dina Ebimbe (5 goals), with creative support from Ludovic Ajorque (9 assists), R. Del Castillo (3 assists), Kamory Doumbia (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Angers Analysis

Angers sit 13 with 35 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 28:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on E. Lepaul (20 goals), P. Peter (5 goals), Sidiki Cherif (4 goals), with creative support from E. Lepaul (5 assists), L. Raolisoa (4 assists), Carlens Arcus (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 8 times, Angers won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:10 from Stade Brestois 29's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Stade Brestois 29 4-1-4-1 / Angers 5-3-2
Missing players: Stade Brestois 29 4, Angers 5
H2H summary: Stade Brestois 29 wins 8, draws 3, Angers wins 4

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation