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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
10.10.2026 18:45
Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Referee: Eric Wattellier

Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.8%
1.80 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.76 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
8.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Stade Brestois 29 Win 34.2%
Draw 21.2%
Angers Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade Brestois 291.42
Angers1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
WWDLW
18 GF / 22 GA
Angers Angers
WLDWL
18 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
9
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
7
6
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 12 matches
Angers Angers 10 matches
Stade Brestois 29 Statistic Angers
2 Wins 6
6 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
18 Goals For 18
22 Goals Against 13
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
9 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
6 Shots On Goal 3
19.2 Total Shots 15
5.6 Corners 7.6
46.8% Ball Possession 51.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Angers's more proactive style and Stade Brestois 29's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Angers. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Stade Brestois 29 Analysis

So far, Stade Brestois 29 have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 5 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Doumbia (4 goals), P. Mboup (1 goals), Romain Del Castillo (1 goals), with creative support from K. Doumbia (1 assists), J. Chotard (1 assists), Mama Baldé (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Angers Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Angers have collected 7 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 6:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. El Ouazzani (1 goals), B. van den Boomen (1 goals), A. Sbaï (1 goals), with creative support from A. El Ouazzani (2 assists), B. van den Boomen (1 assists), A. Sbaï (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 8 times, Angers won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:10 from Stade Brestois 29's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.8%)
Predicted formations: Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1 / Angers 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Stade Brestois 29 5, Angers 0
H2H summary: Stade Brestois 29 wins 8, draws 3, Angers wins 4

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
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